Zhou Wenxing

I am a Taiwanese MDASH; MDASH; the Czech Senate Speaker Vestchr said in a speech in the Taiwan Legislative Yuan on September 1.By imitating former US President Kennedy's speech on me as a Berlin, Vestinch was expressing his support for Taiwan's democracy and freedom.

On August 30, Westchl resolutely led a high -standard delegation from the Czech President and Prime Minister's opposition and the Chinese government's warnings, and resolutely led a high -standard delegation composed of nearly 90 members including the capital Prague Mayor He Rup.

The Czech Republic has the legislative agencies of the two institutions.Westchor's trip made him the first Czech Republic leader and the highest level of Czech politicians to date.This time, the reports and interviews from Taiwan and foreign media, especially the meeting between Vestchr and Taiwan President Tsai Ing -wen, made this small country in China and Taiwan the focus of global attention.As the world's countries are tired of responding to crown diseases, the Czech delegation visits Taiwan deserves more attention.

The common role of many factors eventually contributed to the visit of the Czech delegation.According to the level analysis method that is widely used in political science and international relations, these factors can be divided into three levels.

Personal level

Almost all members of the delegation have suffered the pain of Czelovakia's life under the control of the former Soviet Communist.When Dostchr gave a speech at the National University of Political University on August 31, he expressed his sympathy for democracy and freedom in Taiwan, and urged democratic countries to unite to resist strong countries MDASH; MDASH; meaning the Communist Party of China.

In addition to the memory of the old life of Czechoslovakia, He Rupe also has his experience in living and studying in Taiwan.He had been in an internship at Chang Gung Hospital in Taiwan in 2005. At that time, Taiwan had just realized the second party rotation. He fell in love with Taiwan and claimed to be a Taiwan fan.At the end of 2018, He Ruop served as Mayor of Prague. In October the following year, the city and Beijing's friendly city agreement was torn and instead signed a new friendly city agreement with Taipei City.

The firm support of Westchl and He Rupe's in Taiwan is also related to their respective liberal parties. They are the Citizen Democratic Party (ODS) and the Czech Pirate Party.Compared to money (economy and investment), the two parties pay more attention to values (freedom and democracy).On the issue of Taiwan, they tend to have a closer relationship with Taiwan, while challenging a Chinese policy advocated by the Chinese government.

National level

Two opposed political camps have long -term domestic Czech Republic, one advocates values -oriented diplomacy, and the other emphasizes diplomatic pragmatism.Since the first President of the Czech Republic and the founder of values, the founder of the values, Vaclav has adopted a pro -platform policy during his tenure, the competition of the above two camps has caused the Taiwan issue to become a Taiwan issue.A battlefield.The Citizen Democratic Party and the Czech Pirates, as well as other political parties, are inheriting Harveil's diplomatic heritage.

The current President Zeman is more pragmatic.As a representative of the pro -Chinese camp, Zeman has supported a Chinese policy. Since taking office in 2013, he has called on the Czech Republic to develop a closer relationship with mainland China.However, in recent years, China's investment in the Czech Republic has been reduced by the opposition camp as an excuse for attacking Ziman and its pro -Chinese initiative.Jiezhong's relations have deteriorated sharply since then.

On the other hand, He Rupe's anti -China measures, such as hanging Tibetan flags in the city hall to support Tibet's independence, which led the Chinese government to ban the Prague Philharmonic's tour in China, further stimulating the Czech anti -China emotions.Czepan, the former Senate Speaker of the Czech Republic, plans to visit Taiwan in January 2020, but his sudden death terminate the plan.Czech liberal party leaders and minority media believe that the death of Kubella or high pressure applied to mainland China.This emergencies have caused the relationship between the two countries to the lowest tide in decades.

According to the latest survey released by the well -known poll institution Pieye Research Center in 2019, about 60%of the Czechs hold a negative view of China, making the Czech Republic one of the most anti -China countries in Europe.With the increase of negative public opinion in China, especially the discovery of the opposition party and small political parties, criticizing China is profitable, and the competition between the two camps has provided more space for pro -politicians.

International System level

With the sharp deterioration of US -China relations, the United States has strengthened the strength of third countries to choose between China and the United States.There is no doubt that the Czech Republic has become the forefront of the United States and China to compete.

On August 12th, two weeks ago, Vistle visited Taiwan two weeks ago, US Secretary of State Pompeo visited the Czech Republic. During the period, a anti -communist speech was delivered in the Senate, calling on democratic countries to strengthen cooperation to resist the so -called Chinese threat and praise.Vestlech deepen the efforts between the Czech Republic and Taiwan.

It is also worth noting that one week before the Czech delegation visited Taiwan, the Minister of Health and Public Service, Azar, just ended his visit to Taiwan.At the time, Azar was a cabinet -level official in the United States who visited Taiwan since the United States and Taiwan broke diplomatic relations in 1979. The Czech delegation of Taiwan had set an example.

The outbreak and diffusion of the crown disease have exacerbated the competition in the United States and China, and the diplomacy that Taiwan actively carried out the mask has won some friends.Taiwan donated a large number of protective masks and ventilators to the Czech Republic. The Czech Republic signed and issued a joint statement in the Taiwan Porsche Anti -Echola. As a result, the Czech Republic became the first European country to establish partnerships with Taiwan with Taiwan.

The crisis of the front road is heavier?

The Czech delegation was warmly welcomed by all walks of life in Taiwan.Tsai Ing -wen and his colleagues, and Pan Green Media made this interview as Taiwan's huge lsquo; diplomatic RSQUO; progress.In fact, for the DPP authorities with a clear tendency to Taiwan independence, the Czech delegation's visit is of great significance to Taiwan.However, Taiwan must carefully consider the consequences of the Czech speaker's trip.

Mainland China and Taiwan are facing such a core issue: Will there be other democratic countries in the near future, as the call for Vestchr to visit Taiwan?This prospect to a large extent depends on how the Chinese government responds to the interviews of the Czech delegation.As Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said, the Czech delegation will pay a heavy price for his short -sighted behavior.

However, Beijing now seems to be in a dilemma in dealing with this tricky issue.Czech Minister of Foreign Affairs, Tomas Petrice, Tomas Petrice, has opposed Vestchl's plan to visit Taiwan. However, after Wang Yi made the above remarks, he criticized Wang Yi's speech.Any more stringent countermeasures in China will definitely be counterproductive and alienate more pro -Chinese people.

However, it is difficult for the Chinese government to make concessions on Taiwan's core interests and principles.With the increasingly fierce statement of Wu Tong Taiwan in mainland China, the Chinese government will face greater pressure on public opinion.Any mild response may be regarded as a manifestation of weakness, and then endangers the Communist Party's ruling legitimacy.In fact, the successful visit of the Czech delegation has indicated the failure of China's mandatory diplomacy.In order to prevent more countries from visiting Taiwan, Beijing is very likely to take more severe measures, although the relationship with other countries may worsen.

The high -profile interviews between the Czech politics and business people may marked a turning point in world politics.Fundamental changes have taken place in world politics, and the crown disease epidemic has accelerated these changes.For Taiwan, is it ready for a foreign war or even military conflict with the mainland?The Taiwan issue will eventually be resolved by both sides of the Taiwan Strait.Taiwan's efforts to attract international participants to fight against mainland China will only put themselves in danger.Based on the diplomatic offseason proposed by former Taiwan President Ma Ying -jeou, maintaining a balanced policy with the mainland may create a better future.

The author is a guest researcher at the Shangdao Social Research Institute

Original Lianhe Morning Post's English Electronic Magazine Thought China (ThinkChina)