Shao Zonghai: Can the United States formally diplomatic acknowledged Taiwan?

Author: Shao Zonghai

The China Times only reproduced the editorial of the United States News Weekly on September 8th that two American scholars have been on the normalization of the United States and Taiwan relations. One is Zhang Jiadun, who has written the author of China who is about to collapse.Foreign diplomatic recognition of the Republic of China; the other is Kong Jierong. He was a guidance professor of Ma Ying -jeou's doctoral dissertation in Harvard. He believes that once the United States recognizes Taiwan, it is likely to pull the three parties in the United States and China into the nuclear war.Promote US -Taiwan relations.

In fact, the United States is currently promoting the US-Taiwan relations step by step. For example, the Taipei Act of the U.S. Congress has just passed and sold the F-16 fighter at Taiwan and the Minister of Health.American beef pork import restrictions.However, for those who care about the situation on both sides of the strait, will the United States design a new independent country Taiwan in diplomacy?Or restore diplomatic relations with the Republic of China?This is the topic that is emphasized in the United States, China and Taiwan and cross -strait relations at this stage.

Perhaps many people are looking forward to such a result in Taiwan, but many people think that such evolution is impossible, but it is cautious that the United States seems to be providing such a scenario illusion that it is true.Let's take a look at the phenomenon that the United States will now support Taiwan in 1978 after the United States announced her break of diplomatic relations with the Republic of China in 1978. It has been seen that the United States has now supporting Taiwan to support Taiwan?Even retired U.S. officials will also propose to re -recognize the appeal of the Republic of China in diplomacy?

If you show a record of this shouting this year, it is worthy of being worthy of being able to get along with the hope of peace on both sides of the strait.For example, the former White House Guoan consultant Bolton said on July 2 when he participated in the Video Symposium on the US Foreign Journalists Association: The United States should fully recognize Taiwan to show that everything is not the same; in fact, for Polton, he holds this statement.It has been more than once this year, and at least in the middle of April, he has issued a post in Twitter, urging the United States to consider giving Taiwan a comprehensive diplomatic recognition.

In addition, Tan Shenge, a former US diplomat who had been stationed in Taipei, had this view in a report on August 16th in Dongsen News in Taiwan: It is no longer possible to formally recognize the Representative of the Republic of China. For the United States,It is possible to do it in diplomacy formally acknowledged an independent Taiwan or the Republic of Taiwan.However, the author visited Tan Shenge in the traditional foundation in 2001. At that time, he saw that his desk was filled with the banner of Taiwan independence, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Taiwan Federation.But if he speaks, will he say such a tone, does it mean that there are such voices in American society?This is the point.

In fact, not only officials, in addition to the above -mentioned news and weekly magazines, the US media also touched this topic. State interests once published a researcher Schmidt in the American Institute of Enterprise Research on the 9th.It has shifted from people's livelihood policies to national sovereign defense war.Therefore, if Tsai Ing -wen was successfully re -elected, the United States should change the cross -strait policy since the 1970s, and considers to recognize Taiwan's diplomatic status.On August 18th, a report of the New York Times also said: The US Minister of Health Azar led the group to visit Taiwan and the United States continued to sell Taiwan for military sales. When the relationship between Taiwan and the United States became increasingly closely watched.It is reported that officials of the United States should let the US -Taiwan relations as much as possible as possible, and currently only do not recognize sovereignty.

Of course, the United States will have such a trend of recognition of Taiwan's gradual transformation, because Xi Jinping hopes to unify the vision of cross -strait to hit Trump's free and open Indo -Pacific regional strategy.When the United States considers China as a intention to flip the security order established by the United States in this district, it is naturally impossible to accommodate the United States, and at this time, someone must compromise.

But is there really this possibility that the United States wants to turn back and admit Taiwan's sovereignty?Try to recall that after Taiwan was forced to withdraw from the United Nations in 1971, Nixon showed the techniques of table tennis diplomacy, and established some past events such as the official contact office in Beijing.How to abolish the treaty and other things.As a result, this was extended to 1978, when Carter also used the empty gear of the Christmas holiday of the year.But the most important thing is the comparison of the strengths on both sides of the strait. Mainland China is still better than Taiwan. Even if the United States offends Taiwan, the burden is still less heavy.But if you change to today, even if the United States does not like China anymore, is he willing to change to Taiwan?Perhaps Taiwan is temporarily used to balance China instead of recognizing Taipei in diplomacy. It should be the best strategy in the United States at this stage!

(The author is Honorary Professor of Macau Institute of Technology)