Current affairs perspective
Recently, the United States Democratic and Republican Party held a national congress in order to welcome the presidential election in early November.The Chinese topic is not a hot spot at the Democratic Party conference, although its new party charter has deleted the original commitment to fulfill the principle of China, it is also a heavy policy change.At the Republican Conference, China was eye -catching. The most prominent was that President Trump's government decoupled comprehensively with China as one of the main administrative goals of the next term.
Decumbling, in popular terms, just don't play with you anymore.Of course, decoupling may not have to meet each other, or it can be easy to say, in short, it is to cut each other's relationship.The general law is that the so -called relationship must involve bilateral or multi -sides, but the decoupling can be dominated by one -sidedness, that is, if someone is unwilling to associate with you, if you still shave your head with a hot head, then it is not interesting.As the saying goes, the twisted melon is not sweet, which is the truth.
The author believes that since the United States is determined to decompose with China, it will inevitably cause tremendous changes in the three major levels.The first is the level of economic and trade, which will be mainly manifested in the sanctions and confession of science and technology, and the manufacturing industry is relocated to a third country or returned to the United States.Its goals are also different. Science and technology are mainly to stop transferring core technologies and equipment to China, and the manufacturing industry is to reduce the passive dependence of the industrial chain to China.
Then there is the decoupling of politics, military, culture, education and other aspects.Political decoupling is mainly manifested in ideological aspects. In the past 40 years, the tacit understanding of the success of the two sides has no longer existed. Military decouples have been manifested in the recent speech by US Minister of Defense Esper.The internal and external functions are completely different from the past, and the U.S. military has recently strengthened its tension with China in the Indo -Pacific region.
In terms of culture and education, the United States has vigorously strengthened regulatory and anti -spy reports such as the Confucius Institute, Chinese Media and Journalists, Exchange Scholars and International Students, Sensitive Disciplines and Projects.China and the United States were originally relatively loose, unobstructed, and open, and they are currently paralyzed or ruptured.
Finally, there are diplomatic and government relations.Relevant decoustal measures in the United States are likely to be a double diplomatic recognition of the mainland and Taiwan.In this difficult situation, China can choose to break off with the United States, that is, completely decoupled; even if it continues to maintain the status quo, the foundation of China -US diplomacy and interchange is also a lot of holes.
Some people may worsen the sharp deterioration of the entire Sino -US relations, and they still look at flowers in the fog.What exactly caused the determination and measures of the United States to be comprehensive decoupled?In this year, there are two critical points: the crown disease epidemic is raging and the situation in Hong Kong.In terms of epidemic, China and the United States have serious disputes and differences in key points such as the origin, investigation, and accountability of coronary viruses, and have exposed the serious dependence of the United States on basic medical equipment materials.
If there are some composition in the United States on the epidemic issue, the changes in the situation in Hong Kong basically picked up guns for the United States and Western hawks.There are a lot of comments on the Hong Kong crisis. They do not say here, but it will be a major watershed and decourse accelerator as a major Sino -US relations, which will definitely become more significant over time.For the right and wrong, since it is impossible to cognitive prevention in advance, it can only be left to deal with the rules of the times.
China also faces another dilemma of another philosophy and strategic level.If the United States is decoupled with China, it is good to return to its original state; and what is the original state of China and the United States?State after reform and opening up?But that is the state of friendly cooperation with the United States.The state before reform and opening up?But that has been fully proven to be an unpopular path.
Of course, this is not to say that China has no future and hope when leaving the United States, but that China must dare to do better than the US advantage, rather than paranoid advanced.For example, no matter whether the new countermeasures in China are internal cycles or double cycles, the key is how to effectively circulate and cannot flow in the shout slogan.The original old routine is proven to be unable to turn on the cycle. Der webish will be the only way out to open up a bright future for the national nation.
Development, each return to isolation, the United States can basically maintain the original original, but China cannot maintain the original original because the original is unbearable.This is the most challenging.
The author is in the United States
International Cultural Strategy Research and Consultation Experts
