Wangbao Society Review
The dual -cycle economy has become a hot topic of China ’s local public opinion. The outside world is discussing whether the internal cycle means that the mainland will return to the road to lock the country.In response to external doubts, Xi Jinping personally reiterated that the door to open will never be closed, and the mainland will open up the countercurrent of anti -globalization and protectionism at a higher level of openness.
If the high -level suspicion of the mainland is just the level, then the mainland recently hosted the first China International Service Trade Fair (Service Trade Association), and decided to set up a service industry in Beijing to expand the open comprehensive pilot zone.There is no indispensable inside and outside the two -cycle economy, and it is impossible to return the old road of the planned economy in the Mao era and the retreat of the country.
Affected by the epidemic and cross -strait relations, Taiwan -funded enterprises did not participate in the first service and trade meeting on a large scale.In particular, service trade has a special and subtle meaning for Taiwan, and it is still a sensitive topic.At that time, the Malaysian government strived for trade in the service industry in order to make the Taiwan service industry with significant advantages earlier to enter the mainland market and seize the opportunity earlier than other countries, but later development did not need to say more.Today, the mainland has opened the door to welcome the global service industry. Once the opportunity is missed, it will not come again.
The new crown epidemic and the China -U.S.At this time, the relationship between the two cycles of two major circles in Beijing at this time has a long -term strategic significance.For any economy, how to deal with the dual -cycle economy under the international political and economic situation at this stage is also a major test question, especially in Taiwan.
The circular economy outside Taiwan is far more important than the inside cycle economy. I believe it will not deny this fact.It is never possible for Taiwan to return to a self -sufficient internal circulatory island. This kind of left -gum Wenqing -style Utopia imagination is unpredictable.However, the problem is that under the administration of the DPP, Taiwan independence will definitely cause interference and impact on cross -strait economic and trade relations. In particular, the current atmosphere of Internet celebrity politics and online army governing the country is too strong, and economic issues are highly politicized.:
The first myth is the useless theory of pressure on the mainland.This logic is that Taiwan has strong internal circulation support. Even if the external circulation has changed due to political issues, Taiwan's economy can support and lose much.Representative views include ECFA's termination of up to 5%of Taiwan's up to 5%, and no longer hurt Taiwan's free travel to Taiwan.Indeed, in the first half of this year, in the first half of this year, in the epidemic and intensive adversity on both sides of the strait, Taiwan handed over a bright economic transcript.
However, the public may not directly feel the existence of the external cycle. What you see is the grand occasion of the three -twice the vouchers and the flowers of the cultural tourism subsidies and the crowd of night markets.In fact, this is related to the firework economy that the DPP is good at. The government creates a sense of happiness in the name of building a giant dome, cultural center, and landscape trail, which seems to constitute all the achievements.The people were very happy to watch a firework show and listening to a concert, but they did not see the debt crisis behind them. They also forgot that the government should have a responsibility for regulating economic distribution.It can be seen that the internal cycle based on the firework economy is actually vulnerable.
The second myth is the theory of dynamic balance of pro -beautiful and far -land.This logic is that Taiwan's external loop is optional and convertible. As long as the focus of foreign trade is inclined to the United States, Europe, or Xinnan to the country, Taiwan can steadily get rid of the economic dependence on the mainland step by step, thereby achieving economic independence.The above viewpoints are more common to Taiwan's elites and even decision -making levels. To some extent, it has become a part of the Tsai government's foreign economic layout.
This theory speaks on the surface and logic, but the biggest problem is disconnection from reality.The easiest example is that after the government decided to open the import of US pigs, whether it was active or passive, they must face the reality of the wholly -owned acquisition of Smithfield, the largest pork production and processing business in the United States.The Tsai government blocked iQiyi and Taobao, but he wanted to welcome the land -sized pig pigs to enter the market in the Taiwan market.This once again shows that if Taiwan falls into a political puppet, trying to engage in the external cycle of Sinicization, it will eventually only fall into a dead cycle.
The mainland and the United States are very important for the economy of Taiwan. In the situation of China and the United States' confrontation, Taiwan should have its own economic strategy.In the face of the mainland, cross -strait economic and trade issues should be dealt with in the spirit of maintaining the status quo. Do not disturb the cross -strait economic and trade in the name of Guoan. In the face of the United States, you must not be humble and keep the core interests of Taiwan.
In Taiwan, we must not only maintain a large cycle of up to 40 % of the high -reliance on land economy and trade, but also develop a small cycle of the United States on the high -end value chain.Essence
