Current affairs perspective

The upcoming U.S. presidential election will undoubtedly be a major event that surpasses the United States and affects the world structure.The observation and interpretation of this incident is also a peak to the side of the mountain. According to the different focus, the degree of effective information, and the differences in the concept of ideological methods and values can be obtained.

Here I especially want to emphasize the degree of effective information.In an environment where information flows are not smooth, it must be difficult to make a correct, comprehensive and effective judgment on things in the world.What is the flow of information?It's very simple. Zhang San said that there seems to be no problem, but Li Si was banned, so the information was unidirectional, narrow and even blocked, resulting in blind obedience and misjudgment.

From the perspective of Sino -US relations, the hotspots of this round of attention to the US election should include who will be elected in power, the long -term impact of Sino -US relations, the geopolitical and military mutations and consequences that may occur before and after the election, and so on.

The result of the US election is nothing more than three types. The current President Trump was selected for re -election, or Democratic candidate Biden was successfully elected, or the comparison of the two votes was flat or controversial.If there is a third situation, there is no need to make a fuss. In 2000, Bush Bush was opposite Gore, and there was a similar deadlock.At present, public opinion is sensational that under the deadlock, Trump may stick to the White House and refuse to hand over power.This is purely speculative and petition.

The United States has already possessed the constitutional response mechanism for this election deadlock, that is, if the judgment does belong to the election organization and votes, you can consider re -voting.If the effective number of votes is indeed deadlocked, the deadlock results will be handed over to the US Supreme Court of Supreme Court of Ecreasing, so that the country's leadership power will always be difficult to become a climate under the dominance and norms of the rule of law.

Regarding the prospects of Sino -US relations, frankly, no matter who is elected as the President of the United States, the fundamentals of Sino -US relations have become extremely difficult and seriously confrontable.One of the key causes of this is the mainstream of the United States, the perception of China's current system and direction, and has changed significantly at the ideological level.Some people may disapprove of this. They think that ideology is formal and go to school, but they can't eat money as a meal. It is not a big deal.

However, human beings, especially modern people, do belong to value animals, and are also one of the most basic features of the general animal world as senior spiritual animals.The ancient Chinese Yun: Different Taoism is not the same as conspiracy; Western culture respects: sincere life is valuable, love prices are higher.It is difficult to imagine countries and cultures with lack of valuable recognition, which can be able to live and cooperate with continuous peace and cooperation.

For example, the current system of Iran is a typical integration of politics and religion. It is a thing that Western culture has critical and eliminated in the Dark Middle Ages of the Darkness 500 years ago.Therefore, it is not difficult to understand that the United States and the West are now unable to look at Iran.In terms of ideology, China and the United States have been successful for many years, and the strategy of unsuccessfulness is blurred. Unexpectedly, in recent years, the gap has suddenly deteriorated and expanded, which finally led to the two parties now parted ways.

Another concern is the changes in political game that may be caused by the US election. Whether it will cause geopolitical and military conflicts in the Indo -Pacific region.This is not to say that the United States will suddenly make a trend and make a big surprise, but from the perspective of policy and military layout, whether it will focus on, strengthen, or earlier sensitive measures under the policy of policy and military layout.

The prospect of the Korean Peninsula is worrying.If Trump will be re -elected, he will definitely try to completely resolve the North Korean nuclear issue in the next four years; and if Biden comes to power, he will never talk to North Korea. Military strike will be the first choice.In the South China Sea, it is reported that the United States does not rule out union with allies such as the United Kingdom and Australia, and takes destruction of China's artificial islands and reef facilities.Where is the South China Sea.

The most sensitive is the Taiwan Strait.It is reported that in order to fight for voters and show toughness, the Trump administration is likely to go to the door and ask China to revoke the Hong Kong National Security Law, otherwise diplomacy recognizes Taiwan.Even if Trump defeated, in the period of about 80 days of power, his eagle staff may also launch a double recognition of the mainland and Taiwan, making it difficult for American diplomacy to change.

The author is in the US International Cultural Strategy Research

And consulting experts