Ming Pao News Agency

Under the mediation in the United States, Israel and the UAE reached an agreement a few days ago to agree to the normalization of the relationship between the two countries, sign a bilateral agreement in the next few weeks, and strengthen cooperation in the fields of investment, tourism, telecommunications, technology, and energy.EssenceAlthough this is the result of the U.S. three parties, which is driven by the three parties and the interests of the interests, it reflects the major changes in the situation in the Middle East.Become the top priority of the Gulf Arab country.At the same time, it also reflects that the protection of the United States in the region is no longer reliable.Whether this agreement is conducive to regional peace is still yet to be observed, but it may also cause greater confrontation and even stimulate new extreme terrorism.

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The news reached with the Arab Agreement was first announced by the United States. Later, Israel and UAE leaders will be officially signed at the White House.Trump described an agreement to break through the peace, and its national security adviser Obrain also said that for this reason, Trump's Corporal Heping Award was nominated.Obviously, the agreement is a diplomatic victory that Trump can be used in the November election.

With the foundation of Ahe Jie, it is to jointly deal with Iranian threats. Israel can further get rid of the isolation in the Middle East and establish a bridgehead in the Bay; in addition to the UAE's promise to provide advanced F-35 fighters, the UAE can get Israel's military and science and technology aid.As for the Israeli promise to delay the annexation plan on the west bank of the Jordan River, Israeli Prime Minister Neitaniahu emphasized that the plan is only temporarily delayed.The outside world believes that the West Coast's annexation plan has been strongly questioned in the domestic and international communities in Israel. Neitaniahu postponed the plan to solve itself and the other is to send Shunshui.

Since the establishment of Israel in 1948, the Pakistani conflict has been the crux of the Middle East chaos.The Berut Declaration passed by the 2002 Arab League summit stated that solving the Palestinian problem is a prerequisite for the establishment of diplomatic relations with the Arab countries with Israel.However, the Iranian nuclear issue, the Spring of Arabia, and the Islamic State terrorist organizations that have occurred in the past ten years have made the Palestinian issue gradually dilute.In many Arab countries, especially the Gulf countries, the fear of Iran has gradually replaced the attention of the Baza conflict.

Last year, the United States moved from Tellaviv to Jerusalem, and few opponents in the Arab world. A few months later, the United States acknowledged that the Occupy Syrian Gelan Highlands were Israeli territory, and the Arab countries were calm.42 years ago, when Egypt opened diplomatic relations with Israel in the Arab world first, 18 of the 21 Angle Alliance members broke diplomatic relations with Egypt.But today, since the AFC agreement was announced, no country has been interrupted with the UAE.It can be seen that the Palestinian issue is no longer the core issue of the Middle East.

The Gulf -nation, headed by Saudi Arabia, is mostly the Sunni king's regime and has no battle with Israel. In addition to Saudi Arabia, most residents of Saudi countries are mainly migrants.Since the US -Iranian war, Pan -Arabicist ebb, and after the Spring of Arabia, Islamism has also been in a low tide.Instead, the conflict between Sunni and Shiites, the contradiction between the reform and conservatives, the contradiction between the pro -American and the anti -American conflict became the main contradiction in the Middle East.In the eyes of these countries, the threat of Shiites Iran is far greater than Israel. Based on the principles of the enemy's enemies, their hostility for Israel is from small to nothing, and even secretly establishes a relationship to fight against Iran.This time with the ASEAC, this is the first -alarm of this relationship.

Shiite in the Middle East conflict with Sunni, and is still geopolitical confrontation behind it. The core is the dispute over the United States and Iran.EssenceIran wants to drive the US forces out of the Middle East, while the pro -American and Bay countries want to stop the expansion of Iranian forces.

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On the surface, it seems that the United States is the biggest winner in the Aida agreement, but the agreement is exposing that the countries in the region no longer trust the U.S. umbrellas and thus hold a group heating.In the past 20 years, affected by financial tsunami, Iraq war, shale oil development, and the Spring failure of Arabia, the United States has entered a strategic contraction period in the Middle East.In the Yemen Civil War, Saudi Arabia and other national groups interfered, and the United States watched the U.S. sleeves; last year, Saudi Arabia's oil facilities were attacked, and the United States could not move.This made the Gulf State realize that the protection of the United States is not reliable and must seek to establish a new security mechanism.It can be expected that the UAE will not be the last Arab country to reconcile with Israel.Although Saudi Arabia still emphasized last week to continue to adhere to the principles of Berut's declaration, the outside world believes that the UAE's move has been acquiescence by Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf countries will soon follow the UAE's dust.

It is now too early to say whether Ahe Jie will bring breakthroughs to peace in the Middle East.As the main targeted, Iran has criticized the agreement shameful, and then Iran and the UAE's mutual deduction of vessels and shooting fishermen occurred in the district.Tehran may be worried about the introduction of Israeli military forces into the Persian Gulf region, and increased the confrontation with the Gulf Arab country, which has further upgraded the tension in the region.

At the same time, the so -called peace that sacrifices the basic fair rights of Ba people may not last.Abbas, chairman of the Palestinian Autonomous Government, said that the Arab Agreement was betrayal, and the Hamas organization pointed out that the agreement was inserting a knife behind the Basha.Although there are external analysis, Bassem can't do anything except for complaints.But don't forget that there are Pakistan refugees among many Arab countries. They and the local underlying radical young people are the main victims of losing their homes and economic recessions.The Middle East will be difficult to have Ning.