Author: Huang Zhijin
Source: Hong Kong 01
The American Democratic Party National Congress online meeting was held from August 17th to 21st.This is a time since the Democratic Party presidential candidate Joe Biden nominated the California Federal Senator Kamala Harris as the deputy for nearly a week, but the polls released by the United States Cable Television News (CNN) on August 17 showed thatBynden's national polls compared to Donald Trump's leading advantage of US President Donald Trump has shrunk to four percentage points.In 15 battlefields, the gap between the polls between Biden and Trump was reduced to a percentage point.
Although Biden's overall support rate is still ahead of Trump and has advantages in the new crown epidemic response, immigration, medical insurance, and racial relations, there is a significant sign of significantly narrowing from Trump's polls.In the past two months, Biden has maintained a double -digit support advantage in Bitter Trump across the country.
It can be seen that the choice of He Jinli as the deputy to contribute to Biden's polls.
Another situation is the questionnaire time of this poll. There is a time difference between He Jinli's qualifying, and voters have not fully understood and judged her.Therefore, the relative decline of the worship polls or the reduction of the gap between Trump is not directly related to He Jinli.Of course, after she served as the vice presidential candidate, can she help Biden to boost the election and still be observed.
From the perspective of the historical tradition of American politics, the actual help of the deputy candidates for the actual help of the presidential candidate is limited. As long as it is played normally, it will basically not shake the election.
From the current judgment, Biden and He Jinli are complementary in many aspects.For example, the background of He Jinli for many years has made her outstanding talents, especially her sharp torture style in the Senate can make up for the lack of debate by the Bayeng election.Moreover, He Jinli has been leaning to the left in recent years. For example, the tax exemption amount of middle -income groups, raising the lowest time salary to $ 15, and supporting the national medical treatment similar to the Bernie Sanders scheme just makes up for the insufficient progress of Bideninsufficient.
Moreover, according to the analysis of the CNN polls, many reasons for choices for many voters are not because Bayeng is excellent, but because of Trump's poor performance.29%of voters said that they supported Biden more because of opposition to Trump, and 30%said that they voted for Trump tickets because they supported him. Only 32%thought Biden was a decisive factor (19%of people.Voting to support Biden, 13%of people voted against Trump).
After the party congress, it is worth observing whether this judgment criterion has changed subtle changes.
Former Republican presidential candidate John McCain chose Sarah Palin in 2008 to serve as deputy. In addition to making up for the age difference, it is to attract conservative votes and women's votes in the party, especially expected to win the Democratic Party in the election that year.Hilary Clinton supporter, who was defeated in the primary election, but eventually this bet.
Perhaps He Jinli may be a special case. After all, Trump's attitude towards ethnic minorities and women is different from traditional politicians.Harris was a prosecutor, and Trump was impeached again. This contrast also made the White House now difficult to launch an effective offensive against her.In terms of policy, He Jinli is also impeccable.Therefore, He Jinli's help of Biden's election still has room for rising.
Analysis believes that the reduction of such polls is normal change.It may be related to a series of tough measures adopted by Trump's innate advantages in diplomacy. After all, the target of the U.S. citizens (or voters) is still the president, not the challenger.Moreover, CNN polls also mentioned that Trump's supporters (12%) are more likely to temporarily change their minds before vote on November 3.
