Wang Qingmin

On August 13, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the UAE issued a statement saying that it would establish diplomatic relations with Israel and realize the normalization of relations between the two countries.This is the first Arab country to announce the establishment of diplomatic relations with Israel since 1994.As soon as the news came out, it shook the Middle East and the world.This incident reflects the complex situation of the integration of the Middle East countries, and it will also trigger a series of chain reactions in the geopolitics of the Middle East.

The Arab countries, mainly Arabs, have deep grievances with Israel, which are mainly Jews, and have a fierce conflict of practical interests.The Palestinian issue is the core of Ayi conflict.As a response to Israel's occupation of Palestinian territory, the Arab countries have refused to recognize Israel's sovereign position and have no formal diplomatic relations with Israel.

In 1978, Egyptian President Sadat and Israel signed the David Camp Agreement, which stipulated that Israeli returned to the Sinai Peninsula occupied by Israel.The following year Egypt announced that it was recognized by Israel.This has led to the Arab countries to expel Egypt out of the Arabian League, and Egypt has been isolated by various Arab countries for a long time.

It can be seen that not recognized Israel in diplomacy is the red line that the Arab countries have default and obeyed. Violes will be regarded as traitors and are severely punished by collective.Later, only Jordan, which had a special relationship with the Baza -Israeli parties, established diplomatic relations with Israel. The remaining Arab countries have not acknowledged the existence of the latter as a sovereign state since the founding of Israel.

Why did the UAE today dare to break the practice that the Arab countries have followed for decades and announce the establishment of diplomatic relations with Israel?There are quite complicated reasons behind this, but the two main points are the choice of Arab countries in the Middle East for self -interest and strong support from the Trump administration from the United States.

Although on the surface, treating Israel as an enemy is the correct politics of Arab countries and even the entire Islamic world, but the reality is another matter.Due to historical reasons, the Arab world has been in a state of division for a long time, and the grievances between the parts have been complicated. From ancient times to the present, because of realistic interests, all Arab countries are often separated from each other.Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, the UAE hellip; hellip; each has its own calculations.

For example, there have been four Middle East War between Arab countries and Israel. The population is dozens of times Israel, and the land is 100 times that of its Arab countries.It was disintegrated by Israel's differentiated tiles and each.The relatively intimate Egypt and Syria once formed the Arab United Republic, but in the end, it was scattered because of the differences in interests.For the most tragic Palestinian among the Arab brothers, all countries have actively supported their foundation for the founding of the country, but they actually often use this brother as a chess piece.

In addition, some Arab countries such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other Arab countries also face an opponent, namely the Persian -dominated Iran.Saudi Arabia and Iran have been competing for the Middle East hegemon, and the UAE is the closest ally in Saudi Arabia.Saudi Arabia and the UAE are both Iranian neighbors, and the latter also has territorial disputes with Iran.The more important reason is that Sausa and two countries are the countries where Sunni Muslims take power, and the government of Shiites' Shi Shi government is not allowed.

Compared to the symbolic pagan target of Israel, Iran is the suffering of elbow armpites of the UAE and Saudi Arabia.At the same time, Iran is the deadly enemy of Israel.As a result, the enemy's enemy is a friend, and the United Arab Emirates and Israel's strengthening relationship are reasonable.

Over the years, the conflict between the direct interest between the Arab and Muslim countries in the Middle East has overwhelmed the enemy of Israel.If it is said that pan -Arabicism and Arabia unified trends of thought from 1950 to the 1970s, although it is unrealistic, there is still a appeal, and today Arab countries have long been in politics and a scattered sand.

Therefore, Arab countries refused to acknowledge Israel because of the correct political correctness of Arabia, and they have just stayed in form.In private, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries have long been secretly connected with Israel.For example, Saudi Arabia and Israel have extensive economic, technological, and intelligence exchanges, which is essentially the same as those of diplomatic relations.However, Arab countries bear the moral responsibility to support Palestine, and they must maintain the infamous name of the Arabic traitors in the Arab world.But now, there is a powerful external force that breaks the last bit of resistance and contributes to A Yijian.

This external force is the Trump administration in the United States.Since Trump came to power, it has completely overthrew Obama's flat -standing Middle East policy. While fell to the ground, he supported Israel and Saudi Arabia, abandoning Palestine, and do everything possible to suppress Iran.Under such a policy, the establishment of a closer relationship with the establishment of Saudi Arabia and its allies and Israel has become an inevitable choice for the Trump administration.As an important oil -producing country closest to Saudi Arabia, the UAE has guarded the south side of the Holmus Strait (opposite to the north side of Iran). It is the best test of Saudi Water in the United States to promote Saudi Water in friendship and jointly fight against Iran.

The White House did not avoid this.Trump not only publicly claimed that he contributed to A Yijian, but also mentioned that he would meet the leaders of the two countries in the White House and sign relevant normalized agreement documents.The U.S. State Department's chief official of Iranian affairs Brian Middot; Hook claimed that the normalization of Aya's relationship was the worst nightmare of Iran.Trump also hinted that the UAE may not be the last Arab country to build diplomatic relations with Israel, which means paving the way for Saudi Arabia and Israel.

After the news of Ayejianjian was announced, the countries and countries from the Middle East and abroad responded.Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Oman and other Sunni Arab countries have welcomed this.In unexpected opposition, it is naturally from the hostile Mdash; MDASH; Iran.Instead of direct involved, only Turkey, mainly non -Arabs, expressed strong opposition from the perspective of the Islamic world.

And British, French and Germany and other European countries have a praise, and hoped that the normalization of Ai -Isaei's relationship can promote peace and reconciliation in the Middle East.

However, the beauty of Britain, France and Germany is destined to fail.International relations are intricate, and the warming between the two countries sometimes means third parties victims.The purpose of Ayi Jianjian is not for the peace of the Middle East, but the interests of the two countries.

As mentioned earlier, it is not recognized that Israel is the most important moral support for the Arabic countries to lose their homes.The most angry about the establishment of diplomatic relations with Ayi is Palestine.Palestinian President Abbas issued a statement condemning the UAE's betrayal of Palestine; Hamas also accused the UAE's acts of encouraging Israel's occupation of Palestinian and supporting Jewish recurrence.

Although Ah Yijian has a favorable condition for Palestine, that is, Israel stopped swallowing the west bank of the Jordan River, this is likely to be suspended.For Palestine, if the UAE builds diplomatic relations with Israel to form a bone effect, it will lead to the normalization of more Arab countries and Israel relations, which will exacerbate the weakness of Palestine's Palestinian relations.Palestinians who have been marginalized internationally will be more isolated and helpless.

Ah Yijian means that the Arab country in the Middle East and the United States in the Middle East abandoned the moral red line (even if it is formal), and naked pursuit of pragmatic diplomacy.In the Middle East, Saudi Arabia, Israel, and the UAE -centered anti -Iranian iron triangle will be more stable, and the intense comparison of the needle of Mai Mang with the Syrian Sadan regime and Lebanon's Shi Ling Party, led by Iran, Syrian Assad regime and Lebanon Albon.The Trump administration in the United States stood firmly on the former side and poured fuel to the Middle East's confrontation.Palestine is the common abandonment of the United States and Arab countries, becoming the biggest victim of the Middle East game in this round.

The author is the writer of China Strategic Analysis Magazine International political researcher, writer

Why did the UAE today dare to break the practice that the Arab countries have followed for decades and announce the establishment of diplomatic relations with Israel?There is of course a considerable complexity behind this, but the two main points are the choice of Arab countries in the Middle East and from the self -interest and the Trump administration from the United StatesHigh support.