Source: Hong Kong 01 Author: Xiao Yu

On July 27, the US consulate in Chengdu is about to close.

In the current situation, China and the United States have already opened a new round of confrontation in the field of diplomatic.How to understand the countermeasures adopted by China, what changes will there be in the future of China and the United States. Around the above issues, Li Xiang, a special reporter of Hong Kong 01 and the chief editor of the World Outlook, interviewed diplomatic experts, and Professor Su HaoEssenceHe believes that this is an unprecedented diplomatic crackdown since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States.

The United States has taken a comprehensive suppression of China in terms of politics, especially in ideology; in the economy, the trade war is launched; in terms of technology, it is compared to China.A series of measures prevent scholars between China and the United States from communicating.Su Hao said: The outbreak of this incident has been a new punch in China's comprehensive curbing series of combination in the United States government for a period of time, that is, suppressing at the diplomatic level.

Su Hao analysis who engaged in diplomatic teaching all year round pointed out that diplomacy is a symbolic indicator in relations between the two countries. It is a platform that maintains normal relations under the premise of the basic principles of international relations.Unless there is a serious confrontation between the country or even the war, the above measures will be taken in diplomacy.

This time the United States' diplomatic measures for China should be said to be very cruel and strange.First of all, the cruelty refers to the United States' request to close the Chinese consulate in Houston, which is a clear and insulting sanctions measured by diplomats.It is strange that according to international practice, such sanctions must have serious actions to take this measure to punish this measure.

But so far, although the United States has a large number of criticisms on China, there is no obvious case and evidence that China has seriously damaged the national security of the United States. It can also be said that the United States has no direct, sufficient and powerful evidence to support this kind of support.action.Therefore, the only explanation is that this is a consciousness of the United States, unilaterally deteriorating Sino -US relations.This can only be an unilateral, even to some extent. It is a unilateral hostile action.

Principles of China's countermeasures: peering

Su Hao said that China has five consulates in the United States, but there are six consulates in China, five mainland China, and one in Hong Kong.Due to historical reasons, before the return of Hong Kong, the United States established a consulate. Out of the policy of the Hong Kong -to -Hong Kong policy in the Mainland, the mainland also retained the consulate established by the United States to return in Hong Kong.

This has led to at least the construction of the consulate in the consular relationship in the consular relationship in reality.Of course, the current situation is analyzed from five consulates within mainland China and five consulates in the United States.

Due to the withdrawal of the Chinese consulate in Houston in the United States, China has revoked the permission of the US Consulate General in Chengdu in accordance with the principles of diplomatic equivalent, and it is also the basic norm that follows international relations.

Why choose Chengdu?Polite, beneficial and festival

Su Hao continued to analyze that there are two types of consulates in China in China, including coastal and mainland, and the coast is Guangzhou and Shanghai.The Mainland is Wuhan, Shenyang and Chengdu.The US Consulate General in Chengdu is the deepest area in China, responsible for the US consular business in western China.From the perspective of peering, it is similar to that of the Chinese consulate in Houston, all in the south.

In addition, the consular business of the US Consulate General in Chengdu is relatively small. Therefore, China has revoked the consulate in Chengdu in Chengdu, which is not only based on the principle of peering, but also avoids excessive countermeasures against countermeasures.Therefore, choosing to close the Chengdu consulate reflects the principles of reason, favorableness, and prevailing in China.

The future of Sino -US relations: Entering a new round of games will further deteriorate

Su Hao believes that the US actions will not stop. Compared with the friction between China and the United States, China and the United States have entered a new round of games.There will also be a series of actions against China in the United States, which can foresee the further decline in Sino -US relations.

Trump's conspiracy to obtain the interests of the election is unscrupulous. The most serious situation of diplomatic relations between the two countries is the breakdown of diplomatic relations, that is, breaking diplomatic relations.In the past, the two countries were hostile to the two countries and even the state of war.

At present, it seems that Trump's possibility of going to extremes cannot be ruled out.Trump is an irrational politician. For his own interests, he regards China as the so -called enemy to suppress it. On the one hand, he will improve his popularity in the country and establish a so -called heroic image against the enemy country. On the other hand,Continue to pick up political capital for the election.

Judging from the current domestic election, whether it is polls or overall public opinion, it is obviously the Democratic Party superior to the Republican Party, and Joe Biden is higher than Trump.Compared with the data of 2016, the Democratic Party in some sway states and the states of the Rustysts of the Republican Party (mainly composed of the original industrial urban agglomerations of the five major lake areas) reversed the election and received a high support rate.This has made Trump and Republican a very strong sense of crisis.As a political strong, he will definitely find a way to take extreme measures to restore his election.

From a diplomatic perspective, Su Hao believes that China has always been in the strategic thinking of maintaining the overall situation of Sino -US relations, and does not want Sino -US relations to be completely opposed.When dealing with Sino -US relations, China will still have room for some extent.Especially during the period of the United States in the election, many behaviors can be called obvious short -sighted behavior.

There are two types of public opinion in the current two countries. One is to hope that Trump is re -elected, because under such irrational politicians, the United States will fall into a very uncertainty, which is conducive to China's development.Another voice believes that Trump will bad Sino -US relations. Perhaps the Democratic Party came to power after the election, and the relationship between the two countries will have room for recovery.Su Hao did not agree with this view. He believed that China should not have fantasies about it. Whether Trump came to power or Bayeng came to power, the opposition of Sino -US relations would become a normal state.