The village of Earth is not only China and the United States. The United States has curbing China because China challenges the status of the American world hegemon.Watch the tiger fighting in the mountains.
China and the United States will be defeated, and other major countries around the world will be happy.Despite the fighting between you, you both are better to return to the second -rate country. Don't look at the two in the world in the world.Russia, Japan, Germany, India, this will basically be the expectations of disabled between China and the United States.
Will there be a satirical ending in the future? At the end of the Chinese and the United States, the boss of this world is not China and the United States at all?Instead, let other big powers enjoy the advantages of fishermen to become the only superpower in the world that is stronger than the United States and China?
This is a completely possible historical ending.
In order to maintain the vicious competition caused by the earth's hegemon to curb China, there are great possibilities for both defeats and even disability.
Since the start of the Sino -US trade war in 2018, China has been negotiating with the United States with sincerity and integrity. In January 2020, it finally achieved the success of the first stage of trade negotiations, but the United States still insisted on listing China as the most important thing as the most important thing.The opponent continues to attack.In December 2017, the Trump administration issued a US National Security Strategy Report, announcing that China is a strategic competitors and major opponents in the United States.In June 2019, the U.S. Department of Defense issued the Indo -Pacific Strategic Report, putting forward the primary concerns of US national security, and pointed at China.Just in May this year, the White House released the United States' strategic policy on China, claiming that China was launching a strong challenge to the United States in the three aspects of economic, values and national security.
Former China Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs recently mentioned that observing the evolution of the United States' attitude towards China, you can see the driving force in the two directions: a force is dominated by Washington right wing or can be called an eagle, trying to make China and the United States, China and the United States.Relations push to confrontation and continue to promote decoupling.The role of the policies in Sino -US relations they proposed is to reduce the number, pushing Sino -US relations to the track of confrontation, and does not hesitate, regardless of the consequences.If this power is promoted, Sino -US relations may be unavoidable to enter the track of vicious competition.Another force is relatively rational. It does not advocate abandoning limited contact and urging Chinese to correct themselves.This direction seems to be rational, but the development of this way cannot exclude the United States will continue to increase the price, spilling compliance pressure in the field of economy and trade and technology to politics and security.In the future, will the two countries continue to solve differences in the same global system, or do they part ways and stripping their separate and divestitudes into two relatively independent and connected systems.If there is a situation, it means the end of the globalization and the disintegration of the existing system.The better prospects of Sino -US relations in the future are the formation of competition relationships, that is, a new type of relationship of benign competition in large powers. Among them, there are competition, but it is controllable, while maintaining necessary cooperation.However, the official willingness of the United States is currently weak. The US decision makers and the signals released by Congress are that they are unwilling to do this.
In July of last year, Fu Gaoyi, a well -known American issue in the United States, jointly issued a public letter entitled to be a counter -to -laws in which the enemy was the enemy.In April this year, nearly a hundred former US senior officials and experts and scholars, including Fu Gaoyi, issued a statement entitled to save life from the United States, China and the world.Recently, Fu Gaoyi mentioned in an interview with the Global Times: The current danger is that the sound of super nationalists in the United States and China tried to separate ways.As the two largest economies in the world, in some people's opinion, Sino -US relations have deteriorated freely.What is even more worrying is that the United States is still under pressure due to the chaos in China due to epidemic, elections, and other social problems.Fu Gaoyi believes that the possibility of armed conflict between China and the United States has the possibility of armed conflict.Although no one wants such a situation, this will lead to the failure of everyone.If we look back at the history of the First World War, we can see this possibility: the First World War started in a trivial matter and soon affected many great powers, although they did not plan to participate in the war.Today, if a small friction occurs in the South China Sea, it may be upgraded quickly.If it cannot be controlled by this, it is likely to bring catastrophic consequences, and each country will become losers.This will be terrible.The leaders in Taiwan have realized that excessive seeking independence is provoking the mainland to send troops, and they will try to avoid such danger.However, if Beijing leaders are worried that Taiwan will cross the Red Line of Taiwan independence, or they think that the United States will not participate in the war because of the mainland to protect Taiwan, then there will be a real crisis of war in the United States.The conflict caused by the Taiwan issue may be upgraded to a war that causes catastrophic blows to all human beings.To avoid such a major danger, we must strengthen the understanding of leaders in the United States and China.
In summary, it can be seen that in order to maintain the vicious competition between the Great and the United States caused by the earth's hegemon to curb China, there are great possibilities of both defeats and even disabled.
In the article on May 12th, the author of the British Financial Times under the global epidemic situation, in the global epidemic, believes that after the epidemic, the United States is the first in crisis of crisis in the world after the epidemic. Regardless of whether Trump is re -elected, the next government in the United States may be extremely extremelySignificantly increased the development of China, a strategic rebound, strategic competition, ideological competition, development model competition, and geopolitical competition between China and the United States, which will intensify the new global situation.
Don't despise the United States. The epidemic crisis allows the United States to have a strong sense of crisis. As long as the epidemic is about the same, the United States will retaliate against the United States.The power of the United States is still very powerful. We must attach great importance to the United States and don't despise it.The most worthwhile in the United States is the ability to allocate global resources in the United States and large US companies.Kissinger is a realist and communicates well with China. However, reading his recent article can feel that he is deeply concerned about the United States' may lose its leadership.
Zorick warned that the cost and danger of Sino -US conflict was inestimable.The national interest two -monthly website published an article by Zellic on February 14 that the United States today has denied a constructive role in China's own system of its own system, denied that China can contribute, and deny that China can act in a way that China can enhance US interests.And even deny that China has the willingness to do so.But the result of this is that the United States is actually stimulating China to build an independent parallel system that is completely different from existing systems (A Parallel, Separate System, with Very Different Rules).Zolik warned that the United States needs to be vigilant: the risk of misjudgment and non -expected consequences is increasing.China and the United States are in conflict MDASH; mdash; whether it is intentional or unintentional mdash; MDASH; it will lead to an unbeatable price and danger.
Under the current epidemic, the nature of Sino -US relations has further changed.The core reason for the strategic competition between China and the United States is that the rise of China's rise is too fast, which has changed the pattern of leading the United States and the Western -dominated world after World War II. The United States is no longer the only country that formulates international rules. Of course, they are unwilling.The second is that they believe that China's system and development model challenged the American and Western models.The three China climbed too fast among the global supply chain.Sino -US economy and technology and technology will be decoupled.Economic globalization may be sharply regressed. Future globalization may be a world and two markets. The industrial chain has intensified.
However, the world does not only belong to the United States or China. If the United States and China are disabled because of their status, it will be seen by other big powers.No country is willing to be commanded by the United States or Chinese leaders.
Both Germany and Japan are defeated countries in World War II, and they are still under the restraint and control of the United States. They are the two major powers that they most hope to see the decline in the United States. At the same time, Germany and Japan ’s scientific and technological strength, nationalsHigh quality and national cohesion, and the global strength and military status of the world's peak of the world can be restored and brilliant.
As one of the former superpowers, Russia has been suppressed by the United States and withdrew from the superpower. In recent years, it has been sanctioned by the United States. Economic development has been suppressed. Russia isThere is great desire to restore the global superpower status.
The nuclear country India, which is about to become the world's largest population country, is young and volume of population. It is not comparable to China and the United States. The world's largest country is the world's largest ambition, which is also unreasonable.
The United Kingdom and France are also world overlords. Now that they can become a super power, it may also be the possibility of becoming the world's super power.
The United States may think that if China is suppressed, the world's hegemon can be maintained.This may be too ideal.The suppression of China in all aspects of the United States will inevitably bring self -loss in the United States.At present, the decourse of the United States in the United States is essentially the guidance of Chinese high -end industrial chain de -USization and the low -end involved in the United States.However, its ending will promote the rise of China's high -end industrial chain and affect the larger market size development of globalization of high -end industries in the United States.And what the United States can harvest is just some industries that Americans have not been engaged in. These industries are no longer a high -end strategic industry, and the stimulating short -term employment and economic income are likely to have declined with subsequent corporate revenue and profit volume.It was even eliminated by the market.
The relocation of American companies with the industrial chain will accelerate that American companies are eliminated by the world market.For decades of global economy, the formation of today's world industrial chain division of labor is the inherent promotion of corporate fundamental profit.Politics is often not economically correct.The reason why it is chosen in China is because of the Chinese market and the cost of China, which can bring the best income scale and profit composition to enterprises.The reflux of market -oriented political reasons will inevitably cost high labor costs and leave the market. The ending will accelerate it to be eliminated by the world market.Instead, American companies to leave China are the best way to reduce the influential influence of the United States.
Trump's various demands of US companies to relocate, banning American products to Chinese companies have made many multinational companies in the United States a worsening baron fodder.There is no second China in the world.Without the Chinese market, US companies not only accelerate their deaths, but the influential sanctions and economic aggregate in the United States will also be accelerated as a result.In a large country, the competitiveness of economic influence and technology is mainly driven and supported by large pillar companies. If Boeing, Apple, Qualcomm, and Intel are large -scale companies such as U.S. and Intel, it will greatly accelerate the decline in the United States.
If it is a citizen of a large country such as Russia, Indo, Germany, and Germany, it will be extremely willing to see the killing between China and the United States. You better fight for you to die, and you will even be burned.
China and the United States are fighting the world to watch tiger fighting around the world. Any country in the world may hope that the United States and China will become weaker and not strong.Because:
The hegemony of the United States and any country in the United States and China is not what they are willing to see.
The strength of the United States and any country in China is not what they are willing to see.
The more real attitudes will be: the more you fight with you, the more you fight, the more you welcomes it!
It is hoped that the decision -making levels in the United States and China can attach importance to this true view of human beings.If friendly cooperation, the United States and China will be friendly. If the United States and China are fighting or even burning, the world ’s future boss will not be any of the United States and China. This is a great competitive ending.
Author: Peng Shengyu (Strategic Researcher)
