01 Viewpoint
On Tuesday (14th), U.S. President Trump signed the Hong Kong Autonomous Law (hereinafter referred to as the Autonomous Law) that Congress passed by Congress, and ordered the abolition of special treatment given to Hong Kong as a sanctions on the Chinese government's improving the national security law of the Hong Kong regionmeasure.From the results alone, Trump signed these sanctions to expect from all walks of life, and it was not very special in strict.However, in the storm of Hong Kong's rapid entering Sino -US wrestling, it is inevitable that many Hong Kong people with Hong Kong are inevitable.Looking at the future, Hong Kong must straighten out its position in the world in order to ensure stability and prosperity.
U.S. Hong Kong policy is anxious
Regardless of the sanctions allowed by the Autonomous Law or abolishing the special benefits of Hong Kong, it has been digested by various circles, and the actual impact will not be great.Even if it is necessary to sanction, the U.S. government itself has a large number of tools in hand. In fact, there is no special law. Therefore, the autonomous law is more political than the reality.Even if the United States wants to sanction officials of the Communist Party of China or Hong Kong Government, the lethality of these measures is at the level of macro -wrestling.Whether it is the recent sanctions between China and the United States, the two countries, or the Politburo Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of Hong Kong and Macau affairs, Han Zheng and Chief Executive Lin Zhengyue, which have been said that Trump does not want to sanction Hong Kong and Macao affairs.It will not change to the current situation.
Besides, special treatment for Hong Kong, including independent customs areas and visas, will always have a negative impact on Hong Kong's business environment.Although the cancellation of the special treatment of Hong Kong has been touted by some of the Hong Kong resistances since last year and believes that it has pose a threat to the central government, the news has long been digested and has limited impact on Hong Kong. Many comments have long been analyzed.
This is not to say that Hong Kong can be completely optimistic.The United States' means for Hong Kong cannot be urgent for a while, because US companies have huge interests in Hong Kong. If the United States suddenly provokes shock, US companies are likely to be unable to avoid.However, as long as the United States continues to threaten Hong Kong, it does have a negative impact on the long -term development of Hong Kong.Sino -US tension grows here. No one can guarantee whether the United States will throw more sanctions on Hong Kong in the future, which will form a long -term instability.Unstable is the largest enemy of operations. If companies worry that the U.S. may sanction in the future, companies may leave Hong Kong by themselves.This is consistent with the strategic logic of the United States to use uncertain tariff policies in the trade war, psychologically forcing companies to leave China.Therefore, what really threatens Hong Kong's development is not what is sanction now, but the unstable instability of this sword built by the United States for a long time.
How can the national security law disturb the West
Hong Kong has become the main battlefield of Central and Western horn. To a large extent, for many Westerners, the changes in Hong Kong are unacceptable.Even though many countries have considered interests without strict sanctions on China or Hong Kong, it is difficult to deny that Western countries have a great response to the passage of the National Security Law of the Hong Kong District, and even reached the degree of anxiety.This is an important defeat eaten by the Western system since the end of history in the 1990s.In the past 30 years, Western countries have continuously exported the system led by the United States, and successful has led many countries to learn from the political system in the West. Even if the middle is not successful, it has little failure like Hong Kong.
From the perspective of Western countries, they have been operating in Hong Kong for a long time, but the passage of the National Security Law of the Hong Kong District will undoubtedly declare that Hong Kong cannot continue becoming the restricted area that China dare not touch in the imagination of Western countries, which also means that this is little land.A region that has long been regarded as a Western camp has completely fallen to China. Hong Kong will be converted from the Western world's bridgehead to China to the world facing the world.From the perspective of Western, the failure of Hong Kong has shocked, and it has also brought a deep anxiety that the Western system of anxiety in the Western country.This is why many conservative politicians in Western countries feel that they must do something, because ignoring Hong Kong is equivalent to the initiative of the Western world to recognize the system to lose universal significance.
Hong Kong is Hong Kong in China
It can be determined that the future development of Hong Kong will inevitably surround the vortex of China and the United States, and even the corner of China and Western.In this era of great changes, Hong Kong also needs to consider its own positioning, otherwise it will be difficult to maintain the stability of Hong Kong.
In the past, many Hong Kong people regarded Hong Kong as a global independent individual, and even part of the Western camp.It is true that Hong Kong during the colonial period is undoubtedly a bridgehead that Western camps inserted next to China.Before the fierce wrestling of Sino -US to China and the United States, the status of Hong Kong did not seem to have changed much, which caused many people including Western countries to think that Hong Kong is still in the past.But recent development shows that this idea is very unrealistic.
Hong Kong is of course an international city, but the international city does not mean that it is a neutral country like Switzerland.What's more, this so -called neutral Switzerland had to cooperate with Germany in World War II.As part of the entity of the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong has no room for choosing a camp. It is not that a few slogans can change the reality.Hong Kong people must face Hong Kong and Mainland China. It is a little old to use the first chief executive Dong Jianhua to say that China is good and Hong Kong is good.In the future of China and the United States, the prosperity and stability of Hong Kong can only build stability based on mainland China.The best result for Hong Kong is to continue to be the Special Economic Zone of China. It retains its own institutional culture under the framework of one country, two systems, and as a hub for mainland China and international exchanges.
