Author: Li Zhengxiu

The Hong Kong anti -repair campaign, which was temporarily retired due to the new crown pneumonia, returned to the street for the mainland People's Congress on the 24th for the Police of the Mainland People's Congress through the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law, and had a violent conflict with the police.In addition to the next step in the mainland of various countries, the Cai Yingwen government, who has won the passion of Hong Kong, who has fought in Hong Kong, must also be careful about the situation in Hong Kong.

President Tsai posted in Facebook on the evening of the 24th, saying that we and all partners of all democratic camps stood with the Hong Kong people, hoping that Beijing would implement Hong Kong's high autonomy of autonomy.However, she turned around and mentioned that in accordance with the Hong Kong and Macau regulations, if the situation in Hong Kong changes, Taiwan may stop applying part or all.Qiu Cuizheng, deputy chairman of the MAC, further explained that if the disable is stopped, Hong Kong people come to Taiwan to residence, invest, and travel control in Taiwan.A person in a country also said that the law will be reduced to one country and one system by Hong Kong. At that time, if there is doubts that endanger Taiwan's security, the appropriateness of the Hong Kong and Macau regulations will not exist, and it will be regulated by the Cross -Strait People's Relations Regulations.

As Beijing passed the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law, it was quite resolute, and hoped to solve the Hong Kong problem as soon as possible, so as not to be regarded as a anti -Chinese base by foreign forces.It is foreseeable that because this bill is more upper than last year's amendment regulations and becomes a legal basis for Beijing's direct intervention of Hong Kong affairs, the fighting actions of Hong Kong people will become increasingly fierce.And its international financial center status, its subsequent development will inevitably impact the future cross -strait interaction.

The sensitivity of cross -strait relations is not only a problem of political differences, but also reflects the specific evidence of the transformation of public opinion.In the past, more than half of the people in Taiwan supported the principles of interaction between the Taiwan Strait as the interaction between the Taiwan Strait, and also supported the cross -strait diplomatic retribution that the Ma Ying -jeou government promoted accordingly, so that the cross -strait relations at that time could be reconciled. The main reason was that the mainland leader Hu Jintao was willing to default by defaultKuomintang's claim.This is exactly the vague political space on both sides of the strait, so that the two sides can take their own needs in order to create rare exchanges between the two sides of the strait and become the peaceful and stable state of the Taiwan Strait in recent years.

If you do n’t have the gift of anti -repair cases in Hong Kong, Tsai Ing -wen ’s victory this year will never be so easy. It can be seen whether Beijing can abide by the commitment to the governance of Hong Kong people in Hong Kong.It is not enough to act, otherwise Hong Kong and Taiwan today will not be so encouraging the hearts of the people.In the newly held work report of the CPPCC and the National People's Congress, although the CCP avoided talking about the consensus of one country, two systems and 1992, he still reiterated the firm position of anti -Taiwan independence. It should also be reminded that the DPP would not see the hobe because of the fight against Hong Kong.

In the face of the situation in Hong Kong, pre -pre -preparation for Taiwan and the opposition to the opposition is correct.However, the Cai government should not distort the Hong Kong issues into political issues that crack down on Beijing.Now that the second term has begun, the Cai government should return to rational governance and be abducted by the populist mentality of the opposite side.Although the Hong Kong and Macao regulations have a provisions that have partial or all of the regulations in response to the change of Hong Kong status, the Cai government should be cautious to avoid harming Taiwan -Hong Kong relations.

Although the Trump administration announced the latest report on China's strategic strategy, he did not have a plan to thoroughly tear his face with Beijing. He just hoped to use the opportunity to fight against China to fight for re -election.In the same way, although countries are dissatisfied with China's delay in the epidemic report, they do not consider fighting against China to meet the interests of countries.Those who are as small as Taiwan are even more difficult to get rid of the institutional constraints of cross -strait interaction on the development of political and economic development.If the Cai government does not follow the constitution's cross -strait positioning to deal with the Taiwan Strait affairs, it will bring calamity to Taiwan.

(The author is an associate researcher at the National Security Group of the National Policy Research Foundation)