Beijing decided to take a shot and incorporate the draft decision to consider Hong Kong to maintain national security and include the two sessions.

What do you think about this problem?Let's review the historical context: The Hong Kong Basic Law stipulates that Hong Kong is an irresistible part of the People's Republic of China. Except for very few, no one can change or overthrow this fact.

Any special administrative region in the world or its jurisdiction, based on its own political governance and national security needs, will formulate national security laws or similar laws; the United States and other Western countries will be no exception.

In the 1980s, the Basic Law of Hong Kong and the review process. Due to the limits of objective historical conditions at the time, Article 23 legislation only made principle regulations:

Article 23 The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region shall prohibit any rebellion, split the country, incite the rebellion, subvert the Central People's Government and steal the state secrets of the state, and prohibit foreign political organizations or groups conduct political activities in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.Political organizations or groups are connected with foreign political organizations or groups.

We noticed that after the return of Hong Kong, around 23 legislations, Hong Kong society has always maintained a high degree of boldness. Almost all large social movements have 23 legislation content.In 2005, 500,000 people went to the streets to march. The most important demands included 23 legislations. Dong Jianhua was forced to resign in the name of foot disease. Zeng Yinquan was automatically elected in 2005 and announced on June 27 that year.Without touching 23 legislation within two years.On November 30 of the same year, Zeng Yinquan delivered a TV speech on the reform of Hong Kong's political system. Because his plan did not explain the dual -election timetable, the results caused strong criticism of Pan -Democratic members, which led to the failure to pass the Shuangpu's rectification plan.

In March 2010, Zeng Yinquan, who was attending the two sessions in Beijing, stated that the most tense currently dealt with the 2012 political reform plan as soon as possible. Article 23 legislation is not its primary work.Liang Zhenying said in July 2015 that the newly promulgated National Security Law was not implemented in the Special Administrative Region of Hong Kong, and the government has not planned to legislate on 23 Basic Law.It can be seen that he wants to actively act in 23 legislation, but he can't do it.

After Lin Zhengyue was in his office, he had made a few chess on 23 legislative issues. In December last year, it was stated in Beijing that 23 legislations have caused controversy in Hong Kong. They must review the situation and find good opportunities, conditions and environment to implement it.She also said in an interview with the media recently that she noticed that the recent discussion of legislation of Article 23 of the Basic Law in Hong Kong society has increased.

In the legislation of Article 23 of the Basic Law, Lin Zhengyue's position has always been consistent.Article 23 of the Basic Law is very important, and it is the constitutional responsibility of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government.Hong Kong has returned to China for nearly 23 years and has not yet completed legislation, which is disappointing.

Lin Zhengyue said that Hong Kong has had almost terrorist violence in the past year, and the situation is very worried. Therefore, it is understandable that people who care about Hong Kong have once again proposed that Article 23 of the Basic Law.The Hong Kong version of the National Security Law is not an accident, and the stone is shocked; the four major categories: split the country, subvert the state power, terrorist activities, and external forces intervention.Obviously, these areas have clear objects, and they have not escaped the spirit of 23 basic principles.

Beijing is unexpectedly out of hand

It is worth noting that the relevant draft proposes that the central government's maintenance of national security organs will set up institutions in Hong Kong. The chief executive must regularly submit a report to the central government and the legislation will be completed within six months.This means that the politics of the colonial period, or the national security station in Hong Kong in Hong Kong, will be officially listed in Hong Kong.

The Hong Kong version of the National Security Law completely bypass the Hong Kong Legislative Council and has also bypass the SAR Government. How do we look at Beijing's unexpected shots this time?

First of all, this is the inevitable result of the practice of one country and two systems in Hong Kong for more than 20 years, indicating that Beijing's perception and face of Hong Kong issues has entered another new historical stage. For the interpretation of non -deformation, not to go to Beijing, it will definitely not be as Hong Kong.Same.

Such a result shows that the effective governance capabilities and level of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government and the previous chief executives, the political capabilities and levels of the traditional patriotic and loved Hong Kong, especially the establishment of the Chinese decision -making authorities, have basically consistent conclusions.It can still be rely on, but it cannot independently support the representative of the patriotic and love Hong Kong power, implement the history of the Hong Kong people's governance, and the highly autonomous history;And confidence; there are also negative estimates for the results of the Legislative Council election in September this year; for the succession of the Hong Kong Affairs Office of the Hong Kong and Macao Office, especially in recent years, the Hong Kong Office of the Hong Kong Office of the implementation of the central government's policy on Hong Kong policy has actually been negatedticket.

During more than 20 years of return, 500,000 people went to the street in 2005. In 2008, the political reforms were frustrated. The ambiguous attitudes of 23 legislations from all walks of life in Hong Kong, and the subsequent Zhanzhong, last year's street struggle has caused Beijing to be highly alert.

International forces such as the United States and other political forces, the disclosure or semi -public participation and intervention of Hong Kong's political affairs.Show the politics of the fighting crowd.But for Beijing, their political interpretation conclusions may be more complicated.

The political and mentality of the long -term fighting campaign and theoretical instructor in Hong Kong has not matured and immature, I do not know how to advance and retreat, and blindly impulse, trying to force Beijing to concession with violence and destructive measures.Gas.

The condemnation of international public opinion such as Trump cannot prevent any prohibited from Beijing in Hong Kong's national security law. Hong Kong has replaced Taiwan, Tibet, Xinjiang at this time, and has become a venue for direct collision between Sino -US relations.The personal personality tension of the main political leaders of China and the United States, and the bottom line of Beijing's bottom line that has not encountered a big change in the century.Planning, even showing determination and will at all costs.This should include the role that Hong Kong can play in modernization in China, or the role that can continue to play, and vote for a veto ticket.The top priority of Beijing, first chaos anyway, turns the tide first, and stabilizes the footsteps first.

The Washington Post of the United States described that China ’s legislation this time is the largest bold action that weaken Hong Kong’ s autonomy and comprehensively control Hong Kong over the years. It will rewrite the rules of autonomy in Hong Kong in the past 23 years.The Washington Post also pointed out that China ’s operation this time is an upgrade to Hong Kong. At the same time, it shows that China regards Hong Kong as an restless area, which must make Hong Kong succumb to Beijing.The Guardian of the United Kingdom pointed out that the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law will heat up the situation in Hong Kong. At the same time, it is a turning point for Hong Kong as the most free city in China, or that Washington has re -examined Hong Kong's special status.

I personally think that Beijing will not care too much about the condemnation and pressure of the international community, or even care too much about whether the United States will give Hong Kong's independent tariff region and other benefits.What is imminent is that maintaining the stability of its own regime must be internal and foreign. Hong Kong has already belonged to Ann's focus. To this end, Beijing has ignored everything.What is Hong Kong on China's strategic chessboard?

A friend in Beijing just sent such a private message: Today announced that the National People's Congress directly formulated the Hong Kong National Security Law and no longer allowed Hong Kong to legislate by themselves.bill.

It turned out that the Hong Kong Democratic and Human Rights Act in the United States would only be prepared without. Now it seems that the arrows have to be released on the string. The Sino -US war and Hong Kong officially become the battlefield and will suffer.Thirty years before the reform and opening up, when China blocked China in the West, Hong Kong became the only channel in the continent and the outside world.Forty years after reform and opening up, the United States has blocked China again. Hong Kong not only has a small number of channels, but also the first.Even Mao Zedong did not dare to do it today.Dimension or comingPlease tie the seat belt.

Fate of Hong Kong model

This is the fate of Hong Kong, and it is also the fate of the Hong Kong model of one country, two systems. As a result, this result is not a push for power. This is the result of a joint force.Of course, the determination of a certain leader, starting from the vital interests of a political interest group, will also play a pivotal role on a historical node; especially no longer there are noises, only the definition of one.Strategic steering often occurs.We can list a lot of such pre -history cars.

Professor Guan Xinji, one of the founders of the Hong Kong Citizens Party, said: The far -reaching impact on Hong Kong in 1997 was not politics or a spiritual mentality.

What is the core of the 97th question?Is it question mark: Is one country and two systems be a measure of power or a world?What role is Hong Kong in the middle of LSquo; calculating rsquo;The issue of a broad sense has always existed.Uncertain before 1997, after 1997, LSquo; 50 years without changing RSQUO; and continued this uncertainty.When people live in uncertainty, their thoughts and behaviors will change, and they will be over and make, make fast money, adventure, and immigration.

Zhang Jieping, a Hong Kong media person, regards Floating City as a classic image of Hong Kong's self -condition.

Zhang Jieping believes that what is a country and two systems?There has never been an accurate definition.Theoretically, all spectral spectra between one country and one system and Hong Kong independence can be counted as the category of one country, two systems.

This is a high way to keep all parties not to be tripped in the dispute, design the framework, and then go forward together, just like its role in the Chinese and English negotiations.

But it also gives China -Hong Kong relations a highly difficult initial setting.

This is an observation of Hong Kong, who was born in the mainland, studied in Hong Kong, and established in Hong Kong in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong politician Li Yi pointed out that the success or failure of the ceiling of one country, two systems depends on the mutual trust and confrontation of Hong Kong's hearts and Beijing.

In fact, Hong Kong's existing point is the result of the fried fried. It is not just the frying of the bloody youth on the street, but also involved all aspects of Hong Kong. Of course, it also includes the result of Beijing's frying.The beads of the East will certainly not burn jade; but the beads of the East may no longer be so brilliant.

In modern history, China has three opportunities to return to colonies and implement special political governance.

For the first time, Taiwan restored in 1945; the second time, the return of Hong Kong in 1997; the third time, the return of Macau in 1999.For the first time, the 28th incident foreshadowed Taiwan ’s light recovery encountered major frustration; the third time was also the return of Macau. So far, it is regarded as a model of one country, two systems, but it is a beautiful casino. It is difficult to generate long -term long -termDemonstration of demonstration; only Hong Kong has the functional role of the past, followed by the past.

The Communist Party of China has experienced experience in governing international cities, and has made a lot of efforts, but it has not succeeded, and even a failed attempt.I am talking about Shanghai after 1949.

The return of Hong Kong and the use of one country, two systems, and two systems have provided another historical opportunity for the Communist Party of China.This time, the schedule is more than half, but the rules of the game have changed, or a major settlement has been encountered.After all, I had to make a shot and had to give up the painful decisions of expectations for the two systems and two systems in Hong Kong.

God will not fall down.The same is true in Hong Kong.

In the next half of the year, the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law legislative process, Hong Kong and the international community cannot be calm and calm. They must be fully prepared for another ups and downs. There are three possibilities:

1. The outbreak than last year or a larger -scale struggle in 2014, the political and economic crisis caused by street riots deepened.While Hong Kong, while preventing and controlling the epidemic, it is necessary to face a new round of political test;

Second, lack of sufficient foreign aid, funds, and the pressure of the international community.

3. Under the various sanctions on Hong Kong, Hong Kong's funds fled, foreign companies moved out, and the Hong Kong economy further declined.At that time, no one could stop it, and could only watch its car destroy.

I hope that this will not be the end of Hong Kong, but at the moment, there will always be a more difficult life.

On the string, the arrow had to be released. This unprecedented political confrontation, no one would be the winner who was not allowed.

Bless Hong Kong.

The author is a senior current affairs commentator in Hong Kong

The return of Hong Kong and the use of one country, two systems, and two systems have provided another historical opportunity for the Communist Party of China.This time, the schedule is more than half, but the rules of the game have changed, or a major settlement has been encountered.After all, I had to take a shot, I have to give up the painful decisions of expectations for the two systems and two systems in Hong Kong,