Liu Jincai
In response to the cross -strait discussion in Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen's second inauguration speech, mainland China criticized the Taiwan DPP to refuse to recognize LSquo; a Chinese RSquo; LSquo; 92 consensus RSQUO;, unilaterally destroying the political foundation of the peaceful development of cross -strait relations and the peaceful development of the peaceful development of cross -strait relations.Essence
The official media Global Times commented, criticizing Tsai Ing -wen's old bomb, no new words, full of two -sided wrist, not only using good and peaceful words, but also falling to the United States when the Sino -US strategy is intensified.If unveiled.Judging from the negative comments of mainland authorities and official media, the development of cross -strait relations in the next four years is really hard to wait.
Looking back at Tsai Ing -wen's first inauguration in 2016, he did not clearly reject the 1992 consensus and advocated maintaining the status quo. It is considered an unfinished answer sheet in accordance with the Constitution of the Republic of China and the regulations on the cross -strait people's relations.
This has led to the change of the policy of Taiwan's Taiwan authorities, not only to suspend the negotiations between the two sides of the strait and the head of the highest transaction executive authority; stop diplomatic offer and snatch seven diplomatic relations in Taiwan, as well as rejecting Taiwan's participation in the World Health Conference, International Interpol and International Civil Aviation Organization Conference;The suspension of Luke's free travel and Lu Sheng came to Taiwan; even strengthening military exercises against Taiwan, warships and military planes inspected the island, and crossed the central line of the strait.
In the 2020s, although the 1992 consensus was not mentioned, the 1992 consensus was the principle of one country, one country, two systems, and only reiterated to handle cross -strait affairs in accordance with the Constitution and Relations Regulations, and it was difficult to resolve cross -strait political deadlocks.
First of all, the inaugural speech adopted a gentle cross -strait route and did not move closer to the radical Taiwan independence route.This time, Tsai Ing -wen won the highest votes in the history of the election president. With his partner Lai Qingde advocating pragmatic Taiwan independence, it was widely supported by the traditional and basic doctrine.Of.
From suppressing the radical independence route, maintaining rationality and restraint, and avoiding challenging China's policy on Taiwan's policy, in order to extend olive branches to show political and goodwill, to withstand the questioning and accusations of radical independence, and undoubtedly, Tsai Ing -wen has tried his best to maintain the status quo.Mentioning peace, peering, democracy, and dialogue, as the development tone of cross -strait relations, claims to follow the regulations of the Cross -Strait People's Relations Regulations of the Constitution of the Republic of China to handle cross -strait affairs.Political nerves.
Before the election, Cai Yingwen, who advocated comprehensive constitutional constitutional control, Taiwan ’s authentic name, and four unique veterans, to give up re -election, but this kind of independent pressure did not make its cross -strait routes change more; in the face of the election, the campaign officeDirector Lin Jingyi published on both sides of the strait, whether it is sovereignty, culture, or the entire political system of the country. Basically, two completely different countries, such claims such as unification with China are in the country, Tsai Ing -wen immediately responded to the Republic of China.It is the largest number of constraints, without changing the country number and the need to announce independence.
On the eve of the inauguration ceremony, the party legislators in the party combined with the strength of the times and the Kaijin Party proposed to change the deletion of the deletion of the Constitution of the Republic of China. Preferry before the state of the country's unity and the national unity of the country's unity in the regulations of the People's Relations Cross -Strait, the last two cases at the same time at the same timeProposal to withdraw the case to avoid the bottom line and red line of Passing in China.
Secondly, although the inauguration speech mentioned a large number of times in Taiwan and the Republic of China, the Republic of China was proposed for the first time, highlighting the community of destiny formed by Taiwan and the Republic of China.The speech involved the constitutional reconstruction project and did not mention the changes in national sovereignty, territorial and national positioning, which was mainly related to strengthening government governance capabilities.However, Tsai Ing -wen mentioned that in the 70 years of the Republic of China in Taiwan, this year only calculated that the Republic of China at the beginning of the Republic of China in Taiwan 1949. Cutting the historical context of the Republic of China on the mainland.Aired.
The 70 -year statement of the Republic of China in Taiwan was in response to the publishing of Taiwan's compatriots in early January 2019. It is defined that the issue of Taiwan is due to the continuation of the Chinese civil war and external forces.The development process tried to continue the mud in the Civil War of the Republic of China from Taiwan, and the relationship between the bonds that highlighted that the relationship with the mainland had broken.
Although it did not clearly clarify the sovereignty and territorial scope of the Republic of China, Tsai Ing -wen actually emphasized the effective rule, jurisdiction, and the meaning of governance.The traditional Chinese Republic of China.
Furthermore, the inaugural speech avoids the opposition to the 1992 consensus, but proposed that it cannot accept one country, two systems.In 2016, Tsai Ing -wen's first inauguration speech did not publicize the 1992 consensus, but still claimed to claim to maintain the status quo on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.Knowing and understanding, I respect this historical fact.Since then, Tsai Ing -wen has continued to use the 92nd talks of the 92nd talks in 1992.
However, on New Year's Day in 2019, for the two Taiwan plans mentioned in the 5 o'clock in the mainland, Tsai Ing -wen proposed four must and three protective nets to respond; publicly refused the 1992 consensus, claiming that the 1992 consensus was the principle of one middle school, and the 92nd 92nd, and the 92nd 92nd, and the 92nd, and 92ndConsensus is equal to one country, two systems. The so -called Taiwan consensus is to oppose one country, two systems.
In the end, the United States Anti -Anti -Middle Route did not seek a balanced national development strategy and increased Taiwan's security risk factor.U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo has published a congratulatory message for the first time, and is known as the president. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Defense and the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council seriously violate the principles of China and the three joint communiqués of China and the United States, and seriously interfere with China's internal affairs.
Although this confirms the closer relations between the United States and Taiwan, Taiwan has become the Democratic Alliance of the U.S. Indo -Pacific Strategy, and plays the striker character that is surrounded by China.Establishing mutual trust, US -Taiwan relations improvement means cross -strait relations.
Since the United States regards China as a revisionist country and a strategic competitor, the conflict between China and the United States has expanded to the trade war, financial war, scientific and technological warfare, intelligence war, diplomatic warfare, and epidemic prevention war.The leadership of the country in the global epidemic prevention affairs has different powers. The main powers have not formed a strategic alliance with the United States, and the United States has declined with the dominance of global affairs.
At this time, Taiwan firmly stood on the side of the United States, so it was more difficult to restore dialogue and negotiation on both sides of the strait.This will also strengthen the unilateralist actions of the mainland authorities on Taiwan's policy, and make more one -sided decision without negotiation, and strengthen the integration measures of unilateral absorption.At the same time, military intimidation and diplomatic suppression are more tough, and the risks of cross -strait crisis and the edge of war are more obvious.
The author is an assistant professor at the Department of Public Affairs of Taiwan Foguang University
