Social Theory April 29, 2020
The coronary virus swept the world. At present, more than 3 million people have been infected, and the number of deaths has exceeded 200,000.The epidemic has not showed signs of disappearance, and infection and death cases will continue to rise.Before the vaccine appeared, the affected countries had tightened border restrictions and tracked, detected and isolated infected people to curb the spread of the virus.
On the other hand, in order to block the spread of the virus, the affected countries have adopted the measures of locking the city to seal the country, which leads to disturbances and demand has shrunk rapidly.In the trend of a global economy may fall into a major decline or even the Great Depression, the affected countries have issued huge economic assistance facilities to alleviate the impact of the epidemic on enterprises and individuals.
Judging from the recent development situation, the politics of epidemic has become the third front of resistance and may destroy two fronts of anti -virus and economy to protect the economy.The virus spread has no borders, and global anti -epidemic urgently needs international cooperation and coordination.However, as an international cooperation platform for public health, the World Health Organization is on the cusp of epidemic politics.The strategic competition and global retreat of the great powers have weakened the influence of the WHO and lacks coordination and cooperation in global resistance.
Last week, the Group of 20 originally planned to hold a leader summit in the form of video.However, the United States adheres to the WHO should be responsible for the initial treatment of the epidemic, while China strongly opposes the discussion of the Proposal of the investigation and investigation. As a result, the leaders of China and the United States were absent from the summit.On the other hand, the Australian government proposed an independent international survey of the origin of the epidemic, and discussed with the United States, Germany, and France.China expressed great dissatisfaction on this, and said to resist Australian products.
In addition, the Missouri government and multiple private groups in the US court have filed a lawsuit against the Chinese government in the US court, asking China to be responsible and compensated by the epidemic, while Chinese scholars said that China can also cause losses to Chinese enterprises in control of the US company., Secretary of legal responsibility.
Epidemic politics is the extension of the strategic competition of great powers, and the worst has not yet passed.The 73rd conference of the WHO will be held in Geneva on May 17.Australia's proposed independent investigation, the budget of the WHO's expenditure, and the candidates of the generals will be likely to upgrade the epidemic politics.Prior to this, US President Trump said that as the main sponsor of the WHO, the United States has the responsibility to account for the behavior of WHO in the epidemic.He stated that the United States will suspend the payment of the WHO.However, China later said that it would add 30 million US dollars to the WHO.
The strategic competition between the great powers is the reality of international politics.However, the virus is the public enemy of the world. The major power temporarily puts aside the disgust and the anti -epidemic through multilateral cooperation is actually in line with their respective interests.The epidemic showed that the virus spread was fast and the latent period was quite long.Only when each person is immune, can the anti -epidemic cause be completed.Otherwise, the virus may continue to spread, resulting in an increase in input cases, and the epidemic may rebound in the community.
Secondly, on the front of the epidemic economy, the world is under tremendous pressure on the economic downturn.Prior to the epidemic, the US -China trade war had severely damaged the global economy.Today, the epidemic has caused countries around the world to face the failure of corporate failure and high unemployment rate.During the period of virus blocking measures, many countries implement export restrictions on important materials to further exacerbate the problem of supply chain interruption.The epidemic accelerates the backwardness of globalization and has also increased transaction costs.
Singapore is an export -oriented economy, which is deeply interrupted by the supply chain and the shock of global demand.The Financial Administration warned in the macroeconomic evaluation released yesterday that the impact of the epidemic, Singapore will fall into economic recession this year, leading to a loss of work and a decline in wages.It pointed out how long and serious the economic downturn will last, which is very uncertain.The Singapore economy may be worse than the shrinking 1%to 4%earlier earlier. Everything depends on the development of the epidemic and global response policies.
Although the virus is a public enemy in the world, the politics of the epidemic hinders the willingness to fight side by side around the world, making the work of preventing viruses and keeping economy more heavy.As a small country, we must prepare for the worst scene.
