Industrial and Commercial Times Society
The structural changes in the global economic and trade order are much faster than expected. The isolation between the country between the country caused by the new crown virus is far more serious than everyone imagined.With the government, it may be deployed ahead of time. Facing the challenge of accelerated decoustrations in the world's existing trade order, it is planned to formulate countermeasures.
In the past two weeks, Mainland China has sacrificed Taiwan and Hong Kong a very severe tightening policy, and both have starting from the politics of narrowing interpretations as a bargaining chip for normal economic and trade exchanges.Starting last week, Taiwan's products were shipped to the mainland. It must be indicated that China, Made in Taiwan (China), the earliest exposure was Shenzhen Customs, and a few days later, various ports of the mainland were fully implemented.
Mainland Customs clearly responded that all goods exported to the mainland must meet the principle of China. In contrast, the customs in Taiwan are not released on Made in Taiwan, and China's goods are not released.This sudden change will cause a strong impact on Taiwan's trade. According to the statistics of the Ministry of Finance, the export amount of China and Hong Kong in Taiwan last year was as high as US $ 1,3228 billion, accounting%, The amount is extremely high, and the dependency is extremely large.
Taiwan's export of mainland China is a semi -finished product of industrial products. Of course, there are high -alternative steel and petrochemical products, incomparable electronic key components, and even semiconductor chips.If Taiwan also touches hard, it will trigger a trade war on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.For orders from Chinese companies, whether they have been lined into the production line and the future receiving orders should be continued.Essence
Beijing has such a harsh measures for Taiwan. Of course, one of the reasons is of course dissatisfied with the Tsai Ing -wen government. They do not wait for Tsai Ing -wen 520 to work. It is a contradiction between Taiwan.Instead, China and the United States have continued to rise and the global industrial chain decoupled, and one of the chain policies trying to grab the right to send cards.
The newspaper's apex continued to propose a warning. Although the epidemic situation of new crown pneumonia exploded, the economic and trade conflict caused by the new crown pneumonia was the biggest challenge in Taiwan.And no one has experience.The first wave of epidemic prevention also has a simple and specific diagnosis, and the number of deaths as the goal of the common efforts of the Chinese people. The challenge of the second wave of epidemic prevention is at a more complex level of economic, trade, employment, and social security.The bottom line of society is something we have not prepared.
We observed the recent policy of Beijing. On April 8th, Xi Jinping spoke at the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, emphasizing that in the face of severe and complicated international epidemic and world economic indicators, we must adhere to the bottom line of thinking, and to deal with external thinking for a long time to deal with external external external thinking.Preparation and work preparation for environmental changes.The interpretation of the two keywords of external environment changes and bottom line thinking has become the focus of hot discussion among international political observers. Everyone is guessing the specific definition of the so -called bottom -line thinking. In any case, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China clearly feels thatIn the international community such as Australia, the situation of unsuccessful situations in China has risen, and it is bound to adopt a policy of self -protection, tightening, internal agglomeration, and extinction. In terms of economic and trade in Taiwan, it is logical to concluded that one of China as the bottom line is logical.
A noteworthy signal is that recently the Beijing government has suddenly become conservative about foreign aid funds. For example, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) instantly influx of more than 100 countries requested emergency gold aid. IMF president George Ava asked G20 countries to increase capital and donations.In mid -April, it received special donations from about 500 million US dollars from the United Kingdom and Japan. Although the IMF rescue targets are all third world countries with the mainland, the amount of donations on the mainland is extremely conservative.Another example is Tan Dezai, who is the secretary -general on Trump's bar, requests filling the capital gap in the United States. The mainland also agrees to invest 20 million US dollars.The conservative of foreign aid seems to be pre -pre -preparations for the mainland government to fight for long -term warfare.
On December 11 last year, two of the last three judges of the WTO trade dispute arbitration institution were resigned because President Trump insisted that he would no longer send it. Finally, a Chinese judge, WTO solved the country and the country.The mechanism of the inter -trade dispute was officially stopped.Although China and the United States signed a trade agreement in January, it was difficult to execute after the outbreak of the new crown pneumonia. Japan directly arranged a budget subsidy of US $ 2 billion in the bailout plan to move out of China.All the expenses that enterprises withdraw from and return to the United States have been breaking the existing trade order in the past two decades, and they are moving rapidly in the direction of the industry chain and supply chain decoupled.
Taiwan is sandwiched between the great powers, and the relevant government ministry will no longer face the change of the situation with traditional thinking, and cannot passively see the tricks.EssenceThe challenges of the second wave of epidemic prevention and operations are extremely severe. We must master the opportunity of the game of China and the United States, to play the ability to actively predict. Perhaps we should think about where the bottom -line thinking of Taiwan's economic and trade is, and to make a response plan for advanced deployment.
