Zhang Wenhong, the leader of the expert group of Shanghai Crown Diseases, pointed out today (15th) that if the group immunity is to be achieved, according to the current mortality rate, 6 million people will die in the United States alone.In history, there have never been infectious diseases relying on group immune control.
According to surging news reports, the Chinese EU, the EU, in Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg Embassy and the Shanghai Foreign Affairs Office today jointly organized a video lecture on prevention and control epidemic.For example analysis, if the United States reaches group immunity, the population of 300 million should reach at least 50%of the infected groups, that is, it takes 150 million infections to achieve group immunity.
Zhang Wenhong said that if at the current severe rate, at least 15 million torture rates, 7.5 million people in severe illnesses will be calculated according to the success rate of critical condition in New York, and about 6 million people will die.Therefore, in Zhang Wenhong's view, it is unrealistic to establish group immunity.He also introduced that in human history, no case of infectious diseases have never been immune by group.
In addition, in response to some European countries proposed to restore primary and secondary schools in primary and secondary schools, Zhang Wenhong believes that before the epidemic in a city was completely ended, there was a certain risk of elementary and kindergartens.Let students wear masks at school.
He pointed out that it would be safer to wait for two to four weeks if there was no infection in the local area.For whether the Chinese in Europe should send their children to the school, Zhang Wenhong suggested that it would be more appropriate to wait for the European epidemic to come down, and then send the child to a local school.
