On January 15th of this year, China and the United States signed the first phase of economic and trade agreements. When the international community was relieved, no one would think that after less than two months, the two countries caused fiercely due to the source of the 2019 coronary virus.Diplomatic disputes.No matter what kind of economic and trade agreement signed, the economic and trade issues itself belongs to the category of buying, selling, and beneficial, but it is the question of who is more profitable and who is less.
However, the source of the virus can be described as a big deal. No matter who this pot falls on, it is unbearable.Therefore, we see that the two countries' diplomatic disputes on the source of the virus have triggered a fierce response in both countries.Although it has eased from the release of goodwills on both sides, the impact of this dispute on the public opinion of the two countries, especially American public opinion, may be significant and far -reaching.
The anti -American emotions of Chinese folks have been in the rise in these years. Economic and trade issues, South China Sea issues, and Taiwan issues have provided fuel for this rising momentum.Now there is a dispute between the source of the virus, which is tantamount to pouring fuel on the fire.Although the officials of the two countries have temporarily closed the war, once the folk suspicion and anger are mobilized, it is impossible to say that they stop.Prior to the emergence of conclusive scientific evidence, this emotion will continue to develop, I do not know that Yitu is in the bottom.
In the United States, in recent years, the non -friendly voices for China have come from the elite class.The Republican and Democratic parties are not allowed to deal with many internal affairs and diplomacy issues, but the tough strategy of China is consistent.In fact, the same is true of the US think tank and academic community. Many of the previous pro -Chinese and Zhihua scholars have also changed the wind in recent years.If there are still differences in the two parties and academic attitude towards China, these differences are more reflected at the level of strategy.
The consistency of the American folk attitude towards China is much lower.Those industries (such as agriculture) or localities (such as agriculture) or local (such as California) that have a long history of interaction with China do not advocate toughness to China. Instead, they hope to continue to deal with China to resolve disputes between the two parties in communication and negotiations.Many civil organizations also hope that the society of the two countries can improve mutual understanding through contact and exchanges, rather than isolate each other due to high -level political conflicts.Many previous poll data showed that the negative emotions of the United States for China were not mainstream.
However, since the outbreak, the American folk views on China has shown signs of negative movement.The US poll agency Morning Consult conducted a polls on 2006 American adults from March 17th to 20th from March 17th to 20th.Or the responsibility of less?The lists listed are: 1. China; 2. Individuals who run around; 3. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Fourth, President Trump; 5. Federation and local governments; 6. (specific responsible for anti -epidemic affairs) Pencevice-president.
This is a multi -choice of topic, and interviewees can choose one or more options.The results of the survey show that among these 2006 respondents, the proportion of Chinese who chose the Chinese was 73%, and the ratio of individuals who chose to run around was 65%.The ratio of the remaining four respondents was 45%, 43%, 42%, and 34%, respectively.
From the perspective of cross -analysis, among the three groups of interviewees, the supporters of the Democratic Party, the Republican branch holder, and the non -parties, the ratio that China should be responsible for the highest rate is 73%, 77%and 68%, respectively.If the U.S. epidemic continues to deteriorate and has a serious impact on the US economy and society, this negative cognition of China may evolve into a wide range of hostility.In fact, on the Internet platform, we have seen several cases of Chinese exclusion that occurred in American society and related to epidemic.
In the case of the United States politics and academic circles, people who are tough for China are expected to have any room for Sino -US relations. They originally hoped that public opinion in the United States would have some positive impact on its senior decisions on China. However, after the impact of the epidemic,How long can this public opinion on China last?How big will the power be?If their vital interests suffer serious losses in this epidemic, will they still maintain their previous rationality?What kind of reaction will they make?This is an important issue worthy of attention.
Sino -US relations have reached this situation today, which is really unexpected.Although the last President Obama, the United States, has proposed the Asia -Pacific rebalancing strategy against China, but now reviewing its implementation process is actually a thunderous rain.In addition to vigorously promoting the cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) and making China feel nervous, there is no substantial progress in strategic deployment.
After taking office, the first overthrow of TPP was TPP, which made China relieved, so that optimistic scholars had expected that Trump, who was born with a businessman, would be easier to deal with.It wasn't until the two countries fell into the abyss of the trade war and affected the fields of education, science and technology, culture and other fields that people exclaimed that China and the United States were going to the New Cold War.
After many difficult negotiations and twists and turns, the two countries finally signed the first phase of economic and trade agreements at the beginning of this year.This result made the parties who were worried about the out of control of the two countries loosened.But this time the atmosphere was only over a week, and the crown disease epidemic was outbreak.After China announced that Wuhan's city was closed, the United States took the lead in announcing restrictions on flights and passengers from China.From then on, China has been very small, and the new round of anti -American emotions in China has begun to assemble.
Due to its own negligence, the epidemic spread in the United States due to its own negligence, and the mutual accusations of senior high -level sides finally triggered a negative public opinion to accelerate the assembly.If the voice of the American folk friendly in the future is greatly weakened, it must be the most unwilling to see China.
At present, the epidemic in various countries is still developing.It is believed that human pharmaceutical technology is not the same as before, and it should be a matter of time to fully control and eliminate the epidemic.There is no doubt that the huge economic and social costs are to pay in this process.Therefore, all parties, including China, must start paying attention to how American public opinion has evolved to China; even more widely, how will the entire Western society evolve in China and what will happen to China and Western countries.Impact.
As for the source of the virus, the conspiracy theory of the people of the two countries can be rested, or it is handed over to scientists and politicians to solve it.
(The author is the executive deputy director of Shanghai Jiaotong University and Taiwan Research Center)
