(London Comprehensive News) Experts from the University of London, the University of London, published that the Wuhan authorities avoided prematurely to relieve physical isolation measures, and they might have won for several months for China before the arrival of the second wave of crown disease infection.
The first author of the research report, Kiesha Prem at the London School of Health and Tropical Medicine, published an article on the willow -leaf knife on public health magazines on the 25th. Through modeling, the physical isolation measures adopted by Wuhan can effectively delay the infection of the peak infection., Reduce the final infection scale and provide sufficient expansion and reaction time for the medical system.
The research team predicts that if the isolation measures are canceled prematurely and sufficient susceptible people will still exist, the number of infections may rise again, causing the second wave of infection peaks to come early.If you gradually relax the limit, you can delay and flatten the infection curve.
The paper says: If the control measures of Wuhan continue until April, the second wave of infection peaks can be delayed from two months to the end of October.But if it is lifted in March, the second wave of peaks may come at the end of August this year.
It has been more than two months since the city has been sealed on January 23. The Hubei Provincial Epidemic Prevention and Control Headquarters announced on the 24th that Hubei Province and Wuhan City will gradually unseal from March 25 and April 8, respectively.Retraining foreign transportation, Wuhan City's unsecoring was two weeks later than Hubei Province.
According to Reuters, Liu Yang, co -author of the above paper, said in an interview that Wuhan's mandatory implementation of maintaining social distance is very useful.A wave of epidemic comes too fast, which will make the health system overwhelmed.
Tan Desai, Director -General of the World Health Organization, expressed similar views on Wednesday.
He said: What is the least want to see in any country is when the school and the enterprise restart, and they are forced to close again because of the virus dead ash.
