Wang Qingmin
Since the beginning of March, the 2019 coronary virus epidemic in mainland China has basically been controlled. So far, non -input cases have become zero; on the contrary, crown diseases are spread rapidly in many places such as Europe, especially in Italy, Spain and other countries.Some voices believe that it is a key reason for the western to study China's severe blockade and isolation measures.Many people also laughed at the West (China) to complete good homework.
The fact is not so simple.Western countries have not effectively imitated tough measures such as China's comprehensive city closure, because of many aspects.
The first is the consideration of economic and people's livelihood.The blockade and isolation of China's high intensity at the end of January to the beginning of March are based on the suspension of production or indirect suspension of work or indirect suspension, and the general suspension of individual operators.This has a direct impact on economic growth, employment, personal income, corporate development and even the basic survival of people.Of course, it also involves the long -term impact of national fiscal revenue and expenditure, the ups and downs of macroeconomics, and the long -term impact of the rise and fall of the economy after the epidemic.
The comprehensive stop of the economy and the emergence of a large number of unemployment will have an immediate impact on producers and consumers' material, mood and sorrow.Especially for citizens with low income, there is no enough deposit, or it needs to be continuously income due to rigid demand such as education, medical care, pensions, housing, and loans. Even if it is unemployed for a few months, it will directly lead to collapse of their lives.The rise in prices during the epidemic will be worse.
The comprehensive blockade and isolation may paralyze the national economy of various countries.At that time, the number of indirect deaths caused by the rising unemployment rate, the bankruptcy of a large number of enterprises, the accumulated debt of SMEs, the decline in national income and the decline in living standards (mainly civilians), may be greatly higher than the crown disease and the secondary disease caused by it;More deaths that do not cause people to die, but make life not as difficult as life, and tortured the people than the pain of crown disease.
The chain effect caused by economic decline will inevitably affect the medical field.Applying medical resources for crown disease epidemic, delaying treatment of other diseases, will cause how many people die, disability or paralysis, and severe diseases?Zhang Wenhong, an expert in the prevention and treatment of crown disease, has given a clear warning: If the secondary effect caused by the stagnation of the city's stagnation may lead to the mortality rate of the population than the mortality of the crown disease.
Second, the system of China and the West is completely different. The government's control of society and the execution of compulsory measures are not at all levels.China's comprehensive blockade and isolation measures have difficulty fully imitating Western countries, and will also involve complex human rights issues.
The high -intensity sealing control implemented by China is based on the government's huge organization and mobilization capabilities, the interconnection of information in various places, and using big data tracking and monitoring.For example, under an order, the city's residence was completed within a day, which was unimaginable in other countries.
Recently, measures such as interoperability and mutual recognition of personal health codes in China have also showed that China's epidemic control is to sacrifice some personal privacy.This is unacceptable to the people of Western countries that attach great importance to privacy.
Third, if it imitate China's thorough interpersonal isolation, people must give up normal study and work, and to a large degree of loss of personal freedom. People are almost zero except for the online life.This is more harmful to the Western people who emphasize personal freedom and dignity of life than to some extent.
Crown disease is similar to traffic accidents and natural disasters to some extent. It has a large degree of randomness and unavoidable common features.Westerners who are accustomed to coexisting with contagious diseases such as seasonal influenza, many risks of risk of crown diseases would rather maintain a decent and dignified life.
Life is indeed precious, but people are not alive for living. People need to work, learn, communicate, maintain freedom, participate in society, and enjoy life.It is true that in the face of the epidemic, it is not time to enjoy life, but how much rights and freedom should be transferred to reduce some infection rate and mortality?People in different countries and regions, due to the differences in culture and systems, the value choices of mainstream groups will be different.Governments in many countries see not only the threats facing national lives, but also considering how urgent the urgency of this threat is to cause the probability of death, and consider it with other human rights issues, and respect the citizens in groups.The free choice in the power world ensures that the citizens do not lose their rights due to the epidemic (even part of it).
But in some countries to another extreme, it is also worthwhile.For example, the collective immune strategy intended to implement the UK is very risky, and the impact is full of uncertainty.Earlier in Hong Kong and Taiwan and Singapore, and today's European and American countries, in Europe and the United States, choose controlled control measures to reduce the flow and contact of personnel without allowing normal work and life shock, inhibit the speed of transmission of coronary virus, focus on treatment of treatmentIn severe patients, the medical system can withstand the pressure of the epidemic as much as possible.For these countries and regions, this may be more appropriate than choosing to imitate the epidemic prevention in mainland China.Moreover, the crown disease epidemic is just one of the difficult issues of this world, which is closely related to other issues such as economic development, personal rights, social freedom, and privacy protection.How to treat and prevent crown disease, and the effect of judging epidemic prevention, must not only focus on the crown disease itself, but we must re -gloss to the overall situation and see more good, evil, ugly, and wrong behind the success or failure of epidemic prevention measures.Therefore, the extremely severe blockade and isolation measures implemented in China, especially the complete blockade and the shutdown of work and stop work, are not suitable, and it is difficult to copy in European and American countries.
In this epidemic prevention work, according to the national conditions, its own system and cultural characteristics, different countries have adopted different ways to have different ways. In the end, it is the best way. At present, there is no conclusion.Although it is difficult to uniformly evaluate due to different national conditions in different countries, which is relatively optimal, it can be seen in the end.The absolute freedom is not desirable, and the way to be too rough and one -size -fits -all is also harmful to the people's livelihood.
The author is the writer of China Strategic Analysis Magazine
International Political Researcher
