Liu Jincai

Recently, the political situation in Taiwan has changed like dramas. Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe and Hon Hai Group founder Guo Taiming's political alliance cooperation relationship is confusing. After Guo Taiming announced the abandonment of the president, the political cooperation between the two sides did not stop abruptly.Election, trying to compete for the third largest party status.At the same time, the Taiwan political party system has established many emerging parties, which indicates that the Spring and Autumn and Warring States Period, where the interaction of multiple political parties interacts, and the previous blue -green dual structure tends to be loose, so there is room for the third third forces in the middle.

The founding of the people of the Taiwan people with Ke Wenzhe as the core set off a political wave of unprecedented political waves. Not only did this party name have its specific historical meaning, it is the first political party name during the Japanese colonial rule. Its political significance is naturally extraordinary.This means that emerging parties will take Taiwan's interests as the core and priority, and try to compete with the Kuomintang and the DPP to compete for Taiwan's future development of discourse and dominance.In particular, the DPP's own political absorption ability and tolerance, showing a decline and dispersion, which led to various emerging political forces to try to organize political parties.

In addition to the Taiwan people's party established by Ke Wenzhe, these third forces also covered the independence of the establishment of the Taiwan Pingspan Party, the Clear Island Alliance Party, the Action Party on one side, and the Taiwan Restoration Party.Ke Wenzhe organizes the Taiwan people's party. Obviously, in the blue -green opposition pattern, the scattered and diverse intermediate political power organizations are operating, seeking the third road outside the blue and green, trying to become the three major parties in 2020.Enter the two major parties.

First of all, the third forces developed into a political party and created a buffer zone for blue -green oppositional political structure, which is conducive to political stability.The Taiwan people's party has not only the DPP, which advocates maintaining the status quo and Taiwan's independence, but also has a reunification of emerging Taiwanese independence parties that advocate uniformly to the Kuomintang and the Judicial Taiwan independence.The existence of intermediate forces or voters is existed to avoid too much hostility and policy radicals.

In a broad sense, the blue -green dual structure still exists. The Pan -Green Party Alliance includes the DPP, the Time Power, the Taiwan Federation Party, the Taiwan Liberal Party, the Taiwan Socialist Party, the founding of the National Party, etc.;Essence

From the definition of the narrow sense of blue and green, the Kuomintang and the DPP represent the blue -green political structure and political parties' identification of almost half of it. Therefore, the intermediate voters group tend to be half, which has become the political space of the third party party.And the party legislators of Times have reduced from five seats to three seats. His legislators Lin Yizuo joined the DPP and Hong Ciyong retired to the party.The status of the three parties may be replaced by the Taiwan people's party.

Secondly, the formation of the Taiwan diversified party system is related to the election system.At present, the total number of legislators is 113 seats, and the selection system uses a single constituency and two votes.Among them, there are 34 members of the legislative members who are not partitions. The ratio of the votes in the two -vote system in a single constituency is distributed according to the maximum balance method.The representative system of the party's proportion has obtained the low -threshold design of the distribution seats, so that the political forces are urgent to obtain the secondary legislators, trying to influence the political process and policy formation.

In 2015, the threshold for the voting rate of political party votes was even more, and the threshold for political party votes that were subsidized by party subsidies through the public official election and removal law was reduced from the original 5%to 3.5%.In 2017, through political party law, the threshold of the legislative election party voting subsidy was reduced, and it was repaired by 3%from the original 3.5%limit.The decline in the threshold of the party's voting subsidy is conducive to the generation of small parties.

Furthermore, it may be the foundation for the creation of the presidential creation of Ke Wenzhe in 2024.In the President's Primary Selection of the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang Party, Ke Wenzhe was incorporated into the false opponent.Although its polls have been supported from previous leaders to third, they are still strong political opponents.After Ke Wenzhe stepped down in 2022, the Taiwanese people's party nominated it for the party by operating party organizations.The party focuses on obtaining regional and non -divided legislators elections. The group party improves the integration of resources, establishes a policy planning platform, and strengthens organizational operation capabilities, and enhances its political influence.Ke Wenzhe tended to form a political alliance with Guo Taiming to improve the Parliament of the Taiwan people's party.

Finally, Ke Wenzhe's cross -strait discussion ranked in the middle route, compared to the attention and support of the blue -green attraction of middle voters.The Kuomintang's Cross -Strait route emphasizes the 1992 consensus, defining cross -strait relations belongs to the nature of the first country. Presidential candidate Han Yu emphasized the identity and love of the 1992 consensus.Ordinary, its goods are in the market, and Kaohsiung's fortune is established in the 1992 consensus and political basis.The Democratic Progressive Party publicly denied the existence of the 1992 consensus, criticizing the 1992 consensus as one country, two systems, and advocating that the people of Taiwan decided to decide the future of Taiwan.

Ke Wenzhe proposed to understand and respect the consensus of the mainland authorities for the 1992 consensus, and put forward that one and five new views of China were not problems in China, and no one in the world thought there were two China.Recently, Ke Wenzhe also mentioned that cross -strait relations have special exclusive positioning, not diplomatic relations and international relations.Compared with the Kuomintang's recognition of the 1992 consensus, the DPP opposed that Ke advocated between the two, especially echoing the mainland leaders ... the proposal on both sides of the strait was proposed.

Ke Wenzhe organized the Taiwan people's party, which shows that he tried to master the dominant position and speech of the interests of the people in Taiwan, competing for the interests of the people of Taiwan.In the development of local organizations, discourse power, and cross -strait routes; it is even more popular and support for young people for the power of the times.In the short term, the Taiwanese people's party building party has the third largest party status in the era of power, and creates a political buffer zone in the middle of blue and green.

The author is an assistant professor at the Department of Public Affairs of Taiwan Foguang University