Author: Su Yonglin
Morri, the general manager of the NBA Rockets, continues to ferment.With the high -profile intervention of the official media of mainland China and members of the United States Congress, it has evolved into major political events that have been extended to Sino -US relations and civil exchanges.At the same time, the Trump administration recently announced the name of suppressing Xinjiang Muslims, including 28 Chinese entities on the blacklist, and then decided to restrict the visa of the mainland officials involved in Xinjiang. In additionThe two houses are reviewed.For a while, the political relations and folk atmosphere of China and the United States were desperate. In the past, the possibility of hard decoupling of concerns of all parties suddenly increased.
The reason why the NBA incident needs to attach great importance to it can be regarded as an important indicator of whether the future Sino -US relations are decoupled.The restrictions, punitive measures or proposals of communication have essential differences.
For a long time, China and the United States have frictions in political ideology, military security, and economic issues. Conflicts have continued. For example, the so -called 3T (Taiwan, Tibet, Economic and Trade) issues have always been the focus of the strategic game of China and the United States.However, the above -mentioned issues are all chip and instrumental, that is, the United States mostly operates the above -mentioned issues from top to bottom, mainly to reach transactions with China on other issues.And this strategy is even more amazing during Trump's tenure. Before several high -level Sino -US economic and trade negotiations, the United States will show good and sometimes threatening according to their own needs, in order to strive to get more before economic and trade negotiations.Multi -chip, forcing Lu Fang to fight when negotiating.
However, the nature of the NBA incident is completely different.The cause of the NBA incident is the Hong Kong anti -repair campaign, which has already become an important bargaining chip for the United States to pressure China in various fields.However, the incident was ignited by a Twitter of the general manager of the Rockets, which triggered a knee knee -jump response in mainland China, and the political forces of both sides were involved and rapidly developed into a public opinion storm that swept the two sides of the Pacific.Nothing is expected.It can be seen that the incident set off a down -to -top, unavailable butterfly effect, and completely exposed the fierce collision of the Sino -US value system.Therefore, compared with the past period of the past period, the United States has repeatedly discouraged that the decoupling of China and the United States is mostly a political game. The Sino -US oppositional situation caused by the NBA incident is to let the outside world see that the possibility of the decoustification of China and the United States really exists.
Since the outbreak of the NBA incident, the pessimistic of observers has risen, because the role of cultural and sports exchanges represented by NBA may have a role in the important link of Sino -US relations, which may turn sharply after the incident.As the so -called Prophet Chunjiang Water Warm Duck, from the historic contact of the Nixon government and the CCP regime from the 1970s, to Yao Mingyuan to NBA to become a model for China and the United States.In close cooperation on global issues, cultural and sports exchanges have always been the vane of Sino -US relations, and the thermometer of the political atmosphere of the two countries at that time.However, the NBA incident has different administrative measures such as the United States sanctioning the Confucius Institute, canceling the visa of the mainland scholars, and repatriation of international students in the past.In half a year, Lufang has repeatedly emphasized that the exchanges between the Chinese and American folk and the physical and sports can not be broken, and it cannot be reduced.
The decoupling of China and the United States is a huge political and economic crisis for the world.If the performance of simple soldiers, if the NBA storm is based on the end of the land, the cooperation with the US -professional basketball team will be taken out, indicating that the first hook of Sino -US and sports exchanges has been removed, and the bone card effect will continue to penetrate into various fields of Sino -US relations.Once the Sino -US trade negotiations continue to be deadlocked, the sound of the second hook and the looseness of the third hook can be foreseen.Regardless of whether it is Hong Kong, which is in the autumn of events, or to Taiwan, which is increasingly elected, both places are important links in many fields in China and the United States.If China and the United States are decoupled from being true, how bitter price does Taiwan and Hong Kong need to bear?Unpredictable.
(The author is a think tank researcher)
