The ＂hen＂ and ＂chick＂ chaos in the 2020 election

Source: Lianhe News Agency

Less than a hundred days before the 2020 election, in the past, various political parties generally believed that the hen effect of the hen with the election of the legislators by the presidential candidate was changed, but this time it seemed to change;Dodge hens, there are also chickens looking for hens everywhere, and even the situation of double hens.However, the chaos of hens and chicks actually reflects the problems of ugly political achievements, fading charm, and barren politics. Whether political parties should continue to be superstitious about hens with chicks.

The two -vote system and seasons of the self -commissioned elections have been mining in one constituency, and the time of the president and legislators has become consistent, and the two are obvious.Therefore, all parties are increasingly believed that the hen has a chicken effect.The basic assumption is the presidential election through the focus of the election campaign, with the popularity, exposure, and personal charm of the presidential candidate to drive the relatively unwavering legislator election.

From the perspective of the two major parties of Blue and Green, the 2012 and 2016 elections merged with presidents and legislators.Although the 2008 President's legislators were not selected, the legislator and the president in March were in January. The time was similar. As a result, the Kuomintang victory was the same.As for the small party, Song Chuyu was running in 2012 and 2016. Although the votes were far away from the election, they all led the PRP to cross the threshold of the number of legislators to distribute the seats.The hens with chicks have been confirmed.

However, next year's election, in terms of the two major parties in the blue and green, although Tsai Ing -wen currently leads South Korean Yu, the legislators' support, the DPP has not seen advantages;The support of South Korea ’s Yu is the twelve party, but the support of the DPP’ s legislators is also backward and backward. Not only does it have no hen with a chicken effect, but even completely subverts the assumptions.

The small party part is even more weird.Do not nominate the power of the presidential candidate, the Taiwanese people's party, and the support of the legislators of the legislators are about 10 %; but on the contrary, although the Democratic Party may nominate the presidential candidate, the support of the legislators is less than two support.The party that is far less than the five -party party does not have the threshold.

The reason for exploring the phenomenon of flipped hens with chicks should first be in the four years of Tsai Ing -wen's in power with South Korea ’s distinctive personal style.Blue and green basic disk.Secondly, many voters are not satisfied with the two major party presidential candidates of the Blue and Green, but without any other choices, they cast the legislators voting to the third forces to show their dissatisfaction with blue and green.

The most important point is that this trend implies the meaning of split voting.Divorce voting refers to the selection of different political parties in different elections under the different elections held by the government system that is separated by power.Except for the consideration of personal factors, it is mainly focused on the balance of balance. Do not want any political party to obtain administrative and legislative power at the same time to prevent excessive power and unsatisfactory control.

The most representative of the presidential system has repeatedly voted for many times; France, which also adopted the dual head system in my country, has also occurred many different parties of the president and the majority of the Congress.If this happens in Taiwan, of course, it is of course negating the DPP's four -year full governance. Therefore, Tsai Ing -wen has a stable election and will bring the voters to fear that the DPP is fully governed.Zhong gains.

In terms of small parties, the hens with a chicken showed a ridiculous scene: Ke Wenzhe originally encouraged Guo Taiming to choose the president and want to use the golden hen to lift the people's party legislators to choose the situation, but because Guo did not choose, he recently started to participate in the president to participate in the president.The parental party who selected tickets was good, and the alternative double hen auxiliary selection model of Guo Ke combined; Wang Jinping also wanted to choose the president, and also worked hard to fight for tickets with the Democratic Party.A weird phenomenon of three tickets.But how many voters can get the support of these hens and hens, it is doubtful.

In the discussion of whether the presidential and legislators elections should be merged, political parties are full of political calculations that are full of hens.The small party's hen is also unrealistic.From the benefit, perhaps voters can see a election campaign that the real president belongs to the president and legislators, so that the election campaign returns the essence.All political parties must also recognize that the effect of superstitious hens with chickens may be counterproductive; it is king to strengthen the conditions and achievements of candidates and bring out policies and achievements.