Author: Lu Zhongping
Bolton, a national security consultant in the United States, was resigned without warning from the White House.Over the past 40 years, the most firm support for the US government. With the long -term confrontation of competition in the United States in the future, Taiwan ’s rotation operation space has been more compressed, and it is destined to become the two major power of power.
Bolton can be said to be alien in the American politics and diplomatic circle, and never concealed the belligerent eagle.He openly support Taiwan's position and argument that it is unprecedented. It advocates that Taiwan has a complete state position and is eligible to participate in the United Nations and become a member country.Three months before being appointed as a national security consultant in the spring of last year, he also threatened that the U.S. military should be stationed in Taiwan. Even after serving as the chief national security consultant, he did not reduce the volume of supporting Taiwan.
In May, he met with Li Dawei, Secretary -General of the Taiwan National Security Council in Washington, and was regarded as a major breakthrough and improvement of Taiwan -US relations.Bolton also supports the sale of Taiwan's weapons, strengthened bilateral security cooperation, and co-counter to the expansion of mainland China. This year, the United States sells two important weapon systems: Taiwan's M1A2 tank and F-16V. He has played an important role.
The Trump administration's Guoan diplomatic strategy has made significant amendments, and prioritize the transformation from counter -terrorism to power competition. Among them, Russia represents a serious short -term threat, while mainland China covers long -term competition on military, economy, science and technology, and ideology.Guoan Foreign Decisions officials are composed of the President, Vice President, Secretary of State, State of State, Guoan Advisor, and Trade Negotiations.However, the long -established institutionalization, top -down, and full coordination decision -making system of the United States gradually disintegrated under Trump's leadership. Trump prefers strong people's politics, but personality impulse, impetuous, easy to misjudge, Bolton's ideology is stiff and stiff.It is also easy to misjudge, and conflicts between the two sides are unavoidable.Bolton's steps down are not surprising, but the lack of decision -making process exposed is worrying.
Many problems have also emerged in the United States and China relations. Although the United States has set bilateral relations as a long -term confrontation of power, it also determines the Indo -Pacific strategy, but lacks specific strategies, goals and solutions.The Sino -US trade war is an obvious example. So far, not only will they be defeated. Now they want to clean up the battlefield. It is difficult for both sides to be able to withdraw their troops.In order to re -election and prevent economic recession, Trump must compromise on the Huawei issue if he wants to reach a trade agreement with China. In this way, he will face the dilemma from the strong pressure from the Democratic Party. However, Bolton's departure seems to move away.One stumbling block.
Whether the Kuomintang or the DPP ruling, Taiwan has always been pro -beauty, but the DPP has adopted a pro -American anti -China position based on ideology and maintaining the government's consideration. In reality, the United States has not achieved an absolute advantage.material.
The United States' comprehensive confrontation against China will not change because of a person's change, but the strong supporters suddenly leave the White House. It is not good news for Taiwan. It is even more disturbing that Trump is characterized by the fickle and unpredictable.The Democratic Progressive Party government that believes that the DPP government can clearly misjudge the situation and decision -making errors, but the consequences must be borne by the people.
(The author is senior media person)
