Society: Focus on the impact of the US -China trade war on Taiwan

Economic Daily News

The US -China trade war has not seen signs of settlement, and the two sides have continued to increase tariffs, and the global economic and trade shocks have also expanded.However, the United States and China are also competing in other fields to attract cooperation or promote economic alliances. The impact on Taiwan cannot be ignored. We cannot damage economic benefits because of the selection of edge.

Recently, in order to trace on the second war of labor lawsuits, Japan and South Korea have turned their faces to the trade war. The foreign ministers of the two sides were even reluctant to shake hands at the contract on the market in the United States. The noodles were very embarrassing.However, in the recent meeting of the three foreign ministers in China, Japan and South Korea, under the mediation of mainland China, Japan and South Korea released goodwill and willing to negotiate to solve the differences.

After the cross-Pacific partnerships (CPTPP), the Japan-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and South Korea-British FTA have been in place, the US-Japan Trade Agreement is likely to break through.Mainland China has lagged behind regional economic integration. Of course, it hopes that Japan and South Korea can reconcile, so as not to affect the negotiation of the regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement (RCEP).RCEP negotiations have been delayed for many years. If Japan and South Korea turn their faces, the negotiations will not be completed at the end of this year.In addition, mainland China has also promoted China -Japan and South Korea FTA, which is in an impasse, can be completed as soon as possible to balance the FTA territory to check the United States.

Japan and South Korea are focusing on constructing FTA with mainland China, which helps strengthen the advantages of the mainland market.The US -China trade war has forced many American companies in the mainland and Taiwanese companies that are foundry for American companies have evacuated, but they have a small impact on Japanese and Korean companies on the mainland.If Japan and South Korea can construct FTA with mainland China to reduce the obstacles to entering the mainland market, it will help expand the domestic sales market. In addition, FTA will reduce tariffs, which will increase tariffs on the United States compared to the United States.The gap left.

Especially in terms of Japanese positions, due to the resistance to the United States' resistance to mainland Chinese companies, the US -Japan trade agreement is immediately signed; so it is not hoped to make mainland China think that it has been tilted to the United States, but must strengthen the interaction with mainland China to effective leverage and effective leverage and effective leverage and effective leverage and effective leverage and effective leverage.The relationship between the two major power of the United States and China.

The US -China trade war led Taiwanese businessmen to return to Taiwan to produce. From January to July this year, Taiwan exported US $ 26.1 billion, an increase of 18%over the same period last year.The display does have a transfer effect.However, many returning Taiwanese businessmen have not completely withdrew from mainland China, and they still have the production base in the mainland; so at this stage, the displacement of the proportion of Taiwan exports is still to be observed whether it is a short -term phenomenon.In addition, many returning Taiwanese businessmen use Taiwan to expand the scale of funds. The funds have not returned to Taiwan, and they will also limit economic benefits.Moreover, it was impacted by the global prosperity. From January to July this year, Taiwan's total exports were US $ 186.4 billion, a 3%decline from the same period last year.The continuous growth of exports, how to reduce impact and recover the trend is vital to Taiwan's economy.

In addition, regardless of the results of the future trade war, it can be determined that the United States and China will enter the stage of comprehensive competition. The industrial branches of the two parties are alienated, and the technology will be more divided into ways. Under the support of the huge domestic demand market, the so -called American and China -regulations systems are formed.EssenceThe United States has already launched a US regulation and a regular system, and expands the measures for Chinese benchmarking companies, such as Huawei's import and export restrictions.Although American technology is still leading, China has the advantage of maintaining the cost of municipalities and costs; countries not only face the pressure of border selection stations, but also must maintain its competitiveness in the mainland market.

In the past, Taiwanese companies were mainly manufacturing in mainland China. With the continued rise in the US -China trade war, many Taiwanese businessmen have begun to transfer production bases. The mainland is no longer the preferred processing export base.In addition, Taiwanese companies have been more negligible to operate domestic domestic demand markets in the past. In the future, under the signing of FTA open domestic demand market with countries in mainland China, Taiwanese companies' operating challenges in the mainland market will be higher.

Although the US -China trade war has driven some mainland production processes to move in Taiwan, funds have not responded to it, and the issue of high -level talent outflow in Taiwan has not improved; showing that Taiwan's operating environment has no advantage.The government must not be complacent to the number of books that Taiwanese businessmen returns, but should actively improve Taiwan's problems facing foreign capital.