The main axis of the election campaign in Taiwan's presidential election should involve internal public governance and foreign policy debates, especially whether the mainland is in the future of the same country in the future of sovereignty and territory.There are policy preferences to join the party.Of course, the revision of the Hong Kong's anti -fugitive regulations (the anti -repair campaign, the Hong Kong people call the counterfeit), which has triggered the enthusiasm of the Taiwanese people to the one country, two systems, and the results of the upcoming presidential election.

There is no doubt that President Tsai Ing -wen's original public opinion support, due to the President of the mainland in early 2019 ... proposed five points to propose two systems in Taiwan; the anti -fugitive regulations broke out in June to revise the storm, which aroused the public's doubts about one country, two systems.And rebound.

Recently, Hong Kong has appeared today in Taiwan's political words. Tomorrow's Taiwan statement is intended to show the negative effect of one country, two systems in Hong Kong, and strengthen the sense of crisis of the people in Taiwan. Worried that once Taiwan accepts one country, two systems, it will be reduced to losing freedom like Hong Kong.Human rights and democracy have stimulated the people in Taiwan to support the anti -midline.Tsai Ing -wen proposed that today's Taiwan, Hong Kong tomorrow, claiming that the counterfeit Central Movement is a movement for freedom and democracy, and takes Taiwan's pursuit of human rights and democracy as a model.

The anti -repair campaign may impact and stimulate the people to rebound in the practice of one country, two systems, and reject it. In the end, in the election voting behavior, they tend to oppose the pan -blue party that advocates the peace and reunification of cross -strait.

First of all, this storm improves the proportion of the people in Taiwan that the implementation of one country and two systems in Hong Kong. It also believes that one country and two systems are not suitable for Taiwan.In early 2019 ... On the 40th anniversary of the complaint of Taiwan's Fan Books, it is alleged that one country and two systems are the best way to realize the unity of the country.And proposed the two -point proposal of democratic negotiation, two plans for democratic negotiation.

Tsai Ing -wen proposed four must and three protective nets. It publicly stated that the Taiwan authorities have never accepted the 1992 consensus. The 1992 consensus is one country, two systems, and opposition to one country and two systems.On January 17, 2019, the mainland committee commissioned public opinion survey that the people of Taiwan did not agree with 75.4%of the two systems and two systems in the mainland.

On August 6th, the Taiwan Constitutional Foundation released polls showing that as high as 75.8%of the people implemented in Hong Kong, as many as 75.8%of the people believed that it was a failure, and it was only 11.8%of the success; even 66.3%of the Kuomintang supporters believed that it failed; the new party support46.5%believe that success and 46.0%believe in failure.

Regarding whether to support the unification of one country, two systems on both sides of the strait, the proportion does not support 74.4%, and the support is 17.3%.It may be influenced by the Hong Kong anti -repair campaign, and the proportion does not support the ratio from 65.5%in January and 69.5%in May to 74.4%in August.In other words, nearly 75%of the people in Taiwan believe that the implementation of one country and two systems in Hong Kong has failed, and nearly 75%of the people think that the unity of both sides of the strait is not applicable to one country, two systems.

Secondly, the people of Hong Kong believe that the practice of one country, two systems does not apply to Taiwan ’s ratio increase; at the same time, the increase in independence of Taiwan’ s independence and decrease in opposition ratio.According to a survey on January 22, 2019, whether the one country, two systems are applicable to Taiwan, 58.7%indicate that 58.7%indicate that it is not applicable.The monthly survey results were 44.7%.At the same time, nearly 35%of Hong Kong people support Taiwan independence, and 50%opposed.

On July 16 of the same year, the Hong Kong Institute of Public Opinion announced the polls after the anti -repair campaign. Hong Kong people supported Taiwan's independence. The support increased from 33%in April to 44%in July, a record high.From 52%to 44%.The ratio of support and opposition to Taiwan's independence for the first time in 1993 was almost similar.Hong Kong people have reduced their support for one country, two systems, and two systems due to the reduction of anti -repair campaigns, and also increased their proportion of one country, two systems to Taiwan; at the same time, increased support for Taiwan's independence.

In the end, the storm is not conducive to the Kuomintang with the 1992 consensus route, and this fight has become a super -election of the Democratic Progressive Presidential election.In 2018, Kaohsiung Mayor candidate Han Yu, a local election of the local election, won the high degree of high public opinion support. It would subvert the party's political reputation with one person to subvert the existing political experience and was nominated by the Kuomintang presidential candidate.

However, its high public opinion support also claimed that I did not know when South Korea ’s first outbreak of the anti -repair campaign, which led to the decline in the support of young voters.South Korea ’s Yu advocates that goods are expected, Kaohsiung has a fortune, and the foundation of the 1992 consensus and economic developmentism.Although South Korean Yu claims to oppose one country, two systems, the anti -repair campaign has reduced its political reputation, which has led to a decline in public opinion support.

Anti -repair example demonstrating the momentum of the Democratic Progressive Party's election has become a super assistant to Cai Yingwen's downturn election.This shows that the results of the election in Taiwan are influenced by pro -China economic pragmatic and anti -Chinese political realism. The voting behavior of young voters is swinging in the debate of economic interests and guardianship sovereignty.

Many young people voted to the Kuomintang candidates during the nine -in -one local elections last year to obtain economic development.However, due to the reflection exercise, the voting behavior may be changed, and the votes are voted to candidates who can guard the sovereignty.Anti -repair cases fight against storms, strengthen Taiwan's pro -China, and fight against China.

It is worth noting that former Taiwan President Ma Ying -jeou's guidance professor Jerome Alan Cohen was in Harvard University.Obtaining political interests increases the probability of successful re -election.At the same time, the Kuomintang presidential candidate South Korea Yu was more cautious in cross -strait routes and attitudes.Due to the anti -repair campaign, the presidential election of the Taiwan presidential election has caused the election to be more polarized.

Tsai Ing -wen proposed to oppose the consensus of one country and two systems. The ninety -two consensus of labeling is equal to one country, two systems.Although she still claims to maintain the status quo, emphasizes goodwill, unchanged commitments, uncomfortable, unable to confront, and unhappy, she shows tough and counter -cross -bank routes, which belongs to the anti -middle route.

From the opposition to the five o'clock of Xi to explore the two systems of Taiwan with democratic negotiation, to support the Hong Kong anti -repair campaign, they have continuously improved their public opinion support. From picking a gun to picking up artillery, it may produce a reversal winning result.

(The author is an assistant professor at the Department of Public Affairs of Taiwan Foguang University)