In July last year, the trade war between the United States and China officially started. So far, there has not been signs of ease, and it has become more and more intense.(Reuters)
Social Theory August 21, 2019
Premier Li Xianlong expressed his concerns about the tension between China and the United States at the National Day Mass Conference.He pointed out that disputes between China and the United States not only affect international relations, but also cause many negative effects on the global economy.This not only disrupts the supply chain, but also restricts investment and R & D, and impacts the people's exchanges.In particular, the competition between the two big powers has deepened and wider impact, and it will take a while to feel it.He called on the people to prepare now to adapt to this new international pattern.
In July last year, the trade war between the United States and China officially started. So far, there has not been signs of ease, and it has become more and more intense, and gradually spread to other fields.The United States fully blocked the Chinese technology company Huawei and opened the curtain of the scientific and technological war between the two countries.As the trade war and scientific and technological warfare were difficult to distinguish, the United States recently listed China as a currency manipulation country, laying a foreshadowing for the currency war.The two sides returned their teeth with their teeth, and they did not give up each other, and their wording became increasingly strong.The leaders of the two countries have their own considerations of domestic factors and cannot show their weakness.Although the trade war has impacted the economy of the two countries, it is becoming increasingly difficult to find a decent steps.
In fact, the evolution of the trade war reflects the deeper strategic competition between China and the United States.Since World War II, the United States has led global international order and has the number one power.But China's rapid rise has changed this international pattern.President of the United States Trump ’s priority and the Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation’ s great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation ’s great rejuvenation in the United States’ priority to maintain the great tension of Sino -US relations.The increasing deficit of the US -China trade and the launch of the Made in China 2025 plan made the United States feel worried.On the other hand, the enclosure of the United States and high -tech export restrictions have also caused China to accelerate the path of independent innovation.
Because China and the United States have me in economics, there is a dependence relationship in me, so the two sides have maintained a fighting pattern for many years.However, this round of trade war and scientific and technological wars show that both sides are committed to getting rid of this dependence.The U.S. government includes Huawei on the entity list to limit Huawei to purchase software and hardware from US technology companies, and Google in the United States also said that it will no longer provide Android systems to Huawei; on the other hand, Huawei has launched its independently developed Hongmeng operating system response.He also said that he will develop its own 5G technology.
With the deterioration of Sino -US relations, the two countries will accelerate the dependence.It is likely to produce two different systems in the field of economy and technology.From the perspective of economy and technology, it will fully advance transaction costs.From a strategic perspective, it may force other countries to choose the side stations.
Singapore is a small country and cannot be controlled by the structured structure of China -US relations, but we must ensure that the two different systems are compatible and avoid pressure from the side stations.In these two aspects, we all enjoy a certain advantage.
First of all, Singapore has always played the role of a transit station and an honest agent.As Premier Li said, the United States is our main defense security partner and an important economic partner.On the other hand, Singapore is the world's only country outside China, and the two countries have established a special relationship.Therefore, we have the conditions to play the role of connectivity in two different systems.Taking technology as an example, the United States and the top technology companies in China have settled in our country.Although they ultimately develop two different systems, we can provide platforms for the two countries or third parties to make these two systems compatible.Singapore is a small country, and it is impossible to cause security concerns about any country, whether in the field of technology or strategic.This provides us with favorable conditions for us to play an honest intermediary.
Secondly, Singapore has always spared no effort to build an open multilateral cooperation system and enjoy a certain reputation.Not long ago, representatives of 46 countries signed the Singapore Mediation Convention in my country, showing my country's role in multilateralism.It is precious that both China and the United States are the first batch of countries to sign the Singapore Convention, indicating that they still pay attention to solving cross -border commercial disputes and disputes with mediation methods.As a small country, we don't want to choose the side station, but we cannot stand side by side.Through the structure of multilateral cooperation, we can obtain a certain right to speak in the new international structure to protect our own interests.
The game between China and the United States is still being performed. The new international structure brings risks and has opportunities.We should use our own advantages to continue to play a useful role in economic development and international affairs, so as to maintain an independent status in the unpredictable situation.
