Lin Yifu believes that the worst situation is that in the future, the United States may include China in a entity list like Huawei to prevent American companies from trade with China.
The Sino -US trade war is nothing more than a small wave in the development of China. The prospects of China's continued development will not change; the Chinese market is continuously expanding, bringing opportunities to the world, which will not change.
The Dean of the New Structural Economics Research Institute of Peking University, the dean of the School of Cooperation and Development of the South -South South, and the honorary dean of the National Development Research Institute, Lin Yifu, was entitled to the founding of the People's Republic of China 70 years yesterday.Express the above views.
Lin Yifu said that the Sino -US trade war brings uncertainty, but if the analysis framework is clear, the future development trend is still quite certain.He believes that the worst situation is that in the future, the United States may put China in a entity list like Huawei in the future to prevent American companies from trade with China.
However, he believes that in this way, there are opportunities to Singapore, South Korea, Japan and other countries, because the majority of products sold to China in the United States are not unique to this. There are no branches.Can occupy this market.Therefore, if the United States constantly upgrades the trade war, it is nothing more than isolation.
He believes that even a few irreplaceable products that the United States sells to China, with the current strength of China, can overcome technical obstacles and produce itself in six months to a year and a year.
Lin Yifu said that the United States uses the power of the country, and even the allies to suppress a company in China MDash; MDash; Huawei.If this cannot be suppressed by Huawei, can it be suppressed by China?
Lin Yifu believes that the Sino -US trade war will not tend to be in the Cold War after World War II.The Cold War is divided into two camps with rare interaction between economy and trade, but China is now the world's largest trading country and the largest trading partner in more than 100 countries. Therefore, China has merged with the world to get rid of this integration pair.The losses in other countries will be larger than China, and no country will break their hands and feet in order to support the United States.
Zheng Yongnian, a professor at the East Asian Research Institute of the National University of Singapore, also believes that China has now developed into an unbearable stage.He analyzed that the suppression of the United States will not slow down China, but has made China's development faster.
Zheng Yongnian pointed out that China has developed a military system independent of the United States. If China does not rely on the United States and develops its own independent technology system, the United States will not be able to check and balance China.If the United States does not change the policy, it may be a world in the future, two systems: one system of the United States and China.
However, Chen Guangyan, director of Economics, Singapore Nanyang University of Technology and Director of the Asian Institute of Competitiveness of the School of Public Policy, Li Guangyao, was worried that China's industrial upgrading and developing high -tech such as electric vehicles and artificial intelligence were grabbing rice bowls in the world's industrial pyramids and the United States.In this way, American companies such as Apple, General Motors, and even banks will be unfriendly to China.
Therefore, Professor Chen Guangyan believes that China's development must be cautious.For example, he said that the Belt and Road Initiative will have a greater impact on Russia from Central Asia to Eastern Europe.If a conflict between China and the United States expands and the United States may win Russia, this trend may be unfavorable to China.
The lectures organized by the Singapore Peking University Alumni Association attracted more than 230 public to the Singapore Chinese Cultural Center to listen and participate in the discussion.
