Society: The US -China Science and Technology War will trigger a new cold war in the w

Economic Daily News

The Osaka G20 Summit has just concluded, and the leaders of the United States and China have reached a ceasefire agreement to recover a city for the summit that was not expected.However, the time limit for the pace of peace between the United States and China is not long, because even if the trade war has stopped, the war fire of the scientific and technological warfare.As the former Hon Hai Chairman Guo Taiming said, the future scientific and technological development and architecture do not have G20, only G2, so that the future world will be One World, Two Systems.That is, the United States and China compete for the future technical specifications, and forced the global related operators to choose the edge stations.

In fact, the concept of G2 was first seen in the discussion of C. F. Bergsten, a well -known American economist in 2005. Its connotation collaborated on its connotation, and believes that the United States should include China into the existing international economic system to face and recognize the importance of China, therebyLet China take more responsibilities.By 2009, the US heavyweight international strategic scholar, Z. K. Brzezinski, who was also promoted by the United States and China, put forward the concept of G2 again, and further believed that the heads of state of the United States and China should hold a regular dialogue and eventually create a common work togetherFuture and international order.

However, the concept of G2 cooperation with hand in hand has never been implemented by the United States and China. Today, the United States has further threatened the rise of China from potential threats to the challengers of national security interests.Hold the design of China.

Chinese President ... After coming to power, it has even set up a new international economic and trade order led by China, such as actively promoting national strategies such as the Belt and Road, Asian Infrastructure Investment Banks, Made in China 2025, and RMB internationalization.

It can be seen that in the past ten years, the dispute between the United States and China has gradually become inevitable, and the G2 co -governance is just a self -comforting situation, and the consensus reached by the Special Society and its consensus reached by this Osaka G20 Summit can only represent representatives.The leaders of the United States and China have their own short -term and urgent targets such as campaign re -election, stabilizing domestic debt risks and stimulating policies.compete.

Why is the U.S. -China scientific and technological warfare inevitable battle after all?It is mainly in the field of science and technology, the phenomenon of winners is far more obvious than the economy. Whoever becomes the next generation of key technologies maker, in addition to obtaining the maximum benefits, will also become the leader of human civilization. As a result, it will lead to the leader of human civilization.The competition and conflict of the United States and China in the field of 5G technology are inevitable.That's why, even if Trump announced a local ceasefire on hostile operations on Huawei, Huawei can only re -obtain reasons for US technology companies to provide no major national emergency issues.

At the same time, even if Trump's attitude towards Huawei has been softened, it has stirred up a huge motivation for China to fulfill its dignity and corporate interests.Huawei President Ren Zhengfei said that the pace of reducing dependence on US suppliers will not change, because under the uncertainty of US -China relations, the excessive dependence of key components depends on the United States, and the long -term operation of Huawei will be a major risk.

However, in the short term, Huawei is not optimistic about dependence on key components in the United States.Credit Switzerland said that Huawei's fatal weaknesses are two: First, the chip, in addition to the processor chip, including the radio frequency chip (RF) of mobile phone radio signals, and telecommunications equipment such as 5G base stationsFPGA) is dominated by American suppliers; the second is software and two -thirds of the network security software tools used by Huawei products from American suppliers.More importantly, Huawei's smart phone system is based on Google's Android operating system.Even though Huawei said that Hongmeng, an operating system independently developed, is about to go online, the mobile phone system market that the winner is not favored.

However, if you look at it from another perspective, although Chinese companies are currently in disadvantages, the tendency of technological nationalism (Techno-Nrationalism) is generally in the industry, so that the case described by Ren Zhengfei and the case of the process of searching for alternatives is by no meansAppears in Huawei.Coupled with the goal of Made in China 2025, it is also necessary to replace foreign technology through domestic R & D technology to make China a superiority of technology.Therefore, under the kiss of corporate strategy of Chinese technology giants such as Huawei, China may not easily concession like the United States' past rivals.All this will make the US -China Science and Technology War the beginning of the New Cold War in the world.