Lus: Many Trump's opponents hold a mentality: Trump is an abnormal phenomenon. What we have to do is to wait for the clock to go around and then reset it.
Until the day of his death, Barbara Bull; Barbara Bush's bedside table was always placed on the bedside table for one hour to count the endless period of Donald Trump.The countdown of the former first lady is optimistic: she only sets a term of presidency.Most people in the world are the same as the late Barbara Bull; Bush.No diplomatic initiative was put on the agenda. From this judgment, Western countries are also turning the calendar and waiting for Trump to step down.The same is true of non -Trump camps.Just as the Democratic candidate camp leader Joe Bull; Joe Biden kept thinking, Trump is an abnormal phenomenon mdash; mdash; just like the clock briefly goes the wrong direction.What we need to do is to wait for the clock to go around and then reset it.
There are two problems in this view.First of all, you can't regain the loss time.It is impossible for the world to return to Trump before taking office.For Saudi Arabia, Russia, and North Korea, Trump's re -election failure will be a bad news.Trump approved Saudi Arabia's adventureism, recognized the world view of Vladimir Putin, and brought a uncomfortable party to Kim Jong Un.But it is unclear how much Trump's steps down will have a significant impact on China.Since Trump took office, the most significant change in the United States was that Washington has quickly launched a so -called new cold war.Trump's successor is likely to treat China as the main competitor of the United States like him.
Europe, Japan, Canada and Australia should also be vigilant.Although Trump's steps down will indicate the huge changes in the tone, the substantive issue still exists.Trump's Democratic successor will not tolerate Europe's lower national defense budget.The display of most Americans supporting free trade is misleading because these polls ignore the fierceness of being opposed by free trade.Both of the decisive forces in the two camps strongly oppose the new agreement MDASH; mdash; whether it is with the allies or other countries.In the past, the Democratic President could rely on Republican MPs to get their trade agreements.Those days may have passed.Any reasonable choice for the United States president to curb China will be re -joined the Barack Bull; Barack Obama's Cross Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP).However, even Obama cannot persuade Democrats to vote for TPP.If Elizabeth Warren or Kamala Harris was elected president, they were unlikely to try.Wallen's foreign policy is called human -friendly Trumpism.
Iran is an exception in this regard.Not long ago, Iran's supreme leader of Ayutra Ali; Ayatollah Ali Khamenei excluded any possibilities to negotiate with Trump.This should mean that Iran will wait until the United States has selected a less repeated president.However, Iran is ignoring Europe's suggestions that keep it in the nuclear association.Iran plans to break through the Iranian nuclear agreement this weekend to allow it to store the upper limit of concentrated uranium (editor's Note: The original text was published on July 4).Regardless of the danger of the conflict of the US -Ichigraphy, the situation cannot be returned to the past.By the time of the next US president, Iran would either be in a state of war with the United States, or it became a year and a half after becoming a nuclear country.Maybe both.The clock here cannot be reset.
The second problem in this abnormal statement is that Trump may win re -election.Historical data show that if the economy is maintaining, the US President can successfully re -election.In the past 100 years, the only U.S. presidents who have not been re -elected are George H.W. Bush, Jimmy Carter and Herbert Hoover.The three encountered an economic recession during their termination.Trump may become an exception of this law.Alternatively, the US economy may turn sharply.No matter which situation is bet on, it is reckless.
At the same time, Trump's opponents are likely to have adopted a weird position, so that Trump's possibility of winning a re -election has increased greatly.In the Democratic Primary Election debate recently, many candidates vowed to abolish a law in which illegal crowds would be abolished.The U.S. public generally supports immigrants, but strongly opposes the open border.Three major candidates want to abolish private medical insurance.Most candidates also support a bill that allows transgender children to choose the bathroom by themselves.These are exactly the position of Trump's hopes for his opponent.
This has caused those who are waiting for the clock to go into a dilemma.On the one hand, until 2025, the world may have to be tied with Trump. If so, the world is a waste of a mistake before betting on the United States for 4 years.On the other hand, Trump's defeat will not reproduce the world they think of remembered.In the old saying, people cannot step into the same river twice.In any case, American allies should have the most optimistic attitude, but they must work harder to make the worst plans.
Translator/Dragon
