Author: Zeng Fusheng
U.S. President Trump said yesterday that unless China nodded in the main items of structural reforms, it would rather not want a trade agreement, and warned that if there was no G20 Special Conference, the U.S. Jockey Club lost 325 billion U.S. dollars to the United States to sacrifice the goods to sacrifice the goods, sacrificing it to sacrifice the goods, sacrificing it out, sacrificing it out, sacrificing out of the sacrifice.A new wave of punitive tariffs.At the same time, in order to avoid China's monopoly global supply of rare earths, the US State Department actively cooperated with allies such as Australia and Canada to cooperate to develop the rare earth industry to reduce dependence.Earlier, the U.S. Department of Defense also released the Indo -Pacific Strategy, which is free and open, emphasizing that the United States has regarded China as competitors, which will combine the threat of the Belt and Road Initiative in combination with AIA, and held in the South China Sea on June 11th and 12th.Genzhe and Japan's Helicopter Aircraft Joint Military exercises are used to consolidate military alliances.
Trump's food strategy
Trump won the presidential election by priority in the United States, emphasizing the rejuvenation of tax cuts to revitalize the main axis of economic governance, and at the same time sacrifices unilateral economic and trade protectionism. It seems that international strategy retreat is actually because of food strategies.However, I want to continue to have the psychological needs of the world's advantage.Trump's diplomatic strategy is to create the largest strategic interests of the United States at the lowest cost, consolidate the status of high -tech leading, and the US dollar -based world financial hegemony.After the US Ministry of Commerce's trade deficit country's review report was released, the Trump administration immediately launched a bilateral trade negotiation with China, adopting a single -sided strong protectionist route to open up a new battlefield for the United States in the US and China economy and trade fields, implement the United States priority and accumulate accumulation of the United States and accumulate accumulationThe results paved the way for re -elected presidents.
At present, the Trump administration has launched a comprehensive competitive mechanism with China, first to strengthen the energy of the 5 -eye alliance and consolidate the core interests of the United States; secondly, to NATO, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, ASEAN, Australia, India, the Middle East and other allies, we will adopt ACC.Enwei also applied strategies and attracted North Korea to join the United States with Vietnam to knock in China. The third is to develop the strategy of the United Russia -Russian system.The Indo -Pacific Strategy and the New Arctic Circle Strategy contain the layout of the China Belt and Road and Ice Silk Road, because the Chinese forces have extended from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean and are preparing to go deep into the Middle East, Africa and the Arctic Circle.Actions are too late.
Trump emphasized that he was full of policy elasticity and believed that when competitors could not figure out how the United States was competing, it was the biggest advantage of the United States.Trump actively set up a strong bar in China, sacrificing tax reform to attract funds to the United States, which has caused the pressure on China to move out of China.Unfair trade such as transfer technology.
In addition, the Trump administration refused to acknowledge the status of the Chinese market economy, referring to tariffs for about $ 600 billion in China to lose about $ 600 billion in goods, and sued Chinese hackers and companies suspected of stealing American industrial secrets.Recently, President Trump signed a national emergency administrative order, strictly controlled high -tech exports to China, and sacrificed the dual -ban hammer to set up Huawei 5G industries to die.The Trump administration believes that China's export goods depend on the US market, far exceeding the dependence of US goods on the Chinese market. The tariff war and scientific and technological warfare broke out in the United States and China. China's loss will be larger than the United States, and China will face corporate departure and a large number of unemployment.I am afraid I can't support the United States with a sufficient confidence.
There are many relying on the US market
In addition to launching left and right opening diplomatic, economic and trade, and military policies, the Trump administration also announced the abolition of the restriction of medium -range nuclear missile treaties signed with Russia, and paving the way for the laid -up missile coalition forces.At the same time, the United States also requires NATO, Japan, South Korea, Australia and other allies to increase the cost of sharing security, and warn Britain, Germany and Israel and other countries if they use Huawei 5G equipment to stop intelligence cooperative relationships.A few days ago, Lai Haizhe and Minister of Commerce Ross, a representative of US trade negotiating, emphasized that China must carry out structural reforms to make specific commitments in the fields of state -owned enterprise subsidy policies, smart property rights protection, and technological forced transfer.Only the trade agreement can be finalized, so it may be difficult for both parties to reach an agreement at the end of June.
Overall, Trump has decided to raise the strength of China and continue to advance in Beijing.Especially when Trump has achieved the achievement of domestic economic achievements and strive to be re -elected as the 2020 president, it will be fully opened to China to meet the superiority of American voters and let the US -China strategy compete in the new cold war. Strong demandsAlliance AIA joined the US team to clearly treat China as a political withdrawal machine.
(The author is a consultant for the National Security Group of the National Policy Research Foundation of Taiwan)
