Early
New Tune of Haida
One day before the new tariffs in the United States took effect, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced the establishment of an unreliable entity list.This mechanism equivalent to the blacklist threatened to be involved in American companies, becoming a new chip of Beijing's betting on the Sino -US trade war.
For more than a year in the trade dispute between China and the United States, American companies' dependence on the huge Chinese market has always been regarded as an important entry of China to the United States, and it is also an important card in China.However, after the trade war between the two countries started, China performed very cautiously on whether to use this card.
In the second half of last year, when China and the United States upgraded tariffs on mutual upgrading, how China, which was at a disadvantage in trade scale and could not take the same value increase in tax increases, countermeasures the United States by equivalently.At the time in American American companies, they were worried that they could become a target of China and became victims in the trade war between the two countries.
However, today, when China and the United States have a high economy and the industrial chain are integrated with each other, it is inevitable to harm China's own interests; in addition, it is not conducive to foreign companies' confidence in China, especially in tariffs, especially in tariffs.Under pressure, China itself is also concerned that foreign capital withdraws.
Therefore, even in China, there are many reservations for the use of cards that may dismiss Sino -US economic dependence relations.The trade war stopped, and China always avoided operating to American companies. The CCP's senior management released goodwill when meeting with the executives of American companies last year, and showed that China will continue to open the market and other positive attitudes.
The launch of the unreliable entity list is the first time that China has threatened American companies after the Sino -US trade war. It is also the first time that China ’s countermeasures for the United States have expanded to other areas other than tariffs.Although the official has not announced that any companies will be included in the list, and they have not yet made sanctions that related entities will face, the establishment of this system has released obvious signals.
First of all, it lays an institutional foundation for Chinese corporate punishment and expands China's policy space for revenge on the United States.Although the official did not directly clarify, the practice of launching a blacklist in China is obvious. Directly refers to foreign companies that have blocked and disconnected Chinese companies such as Huawei and other Chinese companies in accordance with the requirements of the United States.
According to the explanation made by the Ministry of Commerce of China on the 2nd of this month, China ’s criteria for judging whether the entity includes a list of entities, including whether the entity has an act of blocking, disconnected or other discriminatory measures for Chinese entities, as well as the entity behaviorWhether it is based on non -business purposes, violate market rules and contract spirit.
The two major economies of China and the United States have a blacklist each. The inevitable result is that the company that obeys US sanctions will become the goal of Chinese sanctions.In other words, these companies will be trapped between the dilemma stipulated by US laws and China, but not only American companies such as Google, Qualcomm, Intel, etc., but also third -party countries with business exchanges with Huawei companies.Being a pond fish.
Secondly, from the tariffs to return tooth to the teeth, to the involved in foreign companies in China, to a certain extent, it indicates that the non -tariff countercroofing of non -tariffs offered by China has further increased, and the possibility of war consumption war between the two countries has further increased.Behind the upgrade of the counterattack, I believe that the official has considered social pressure and political pressure from China, and it must also estimate whether the toughness of China's economy and society can bear the loss caused by long -term entanglement.
When China increases its counterattack, it will inevitably suffer a greater reaction force.Although considering the stability of domestic economy and social stability and long -term development benefits, China tried to avoid direct conflict with the United States.In the future, the trade war will be more intense, and China must face the reality of opening the new Long March.
Battle consumption in the two major economies will inevitably cause two defeats, and it will definitely affect the global economic and geopolitical stability.Judging from the recent statement of the Sino -US trade war, the white paper published by China and the response made by the US authorities has no intention of compromise.The friction generated by the two countries' economic and trade as the starting point is now spreading to more front lines. The deeper and deeper consumption war has made the chips dropped by the two sides more and more, and it may be more and more difficult to return to the negotiating table.
