● Shangri -La dialogue
Li Mingjiang, an associate professor of the Nanda Razel South International Relations College, told the United Zard that the United States, Japan, Australia and India have proposed that the Indo -Pacific strategic concept has been for several years, but it has always been unable to gather into a more substantial strategic framework.He believes that the United States should continue to promise that the United States will maintain its influence in the Asia -Pacific region, but it is difficult to imagine that he will make a refreshing strategy.
The Shangri -La dialogue, which focuses on the Asia -Pacific defense and security issues, debuted today.With the increasingly fierce competition between China and the United States, it is generally believed that the United States will use this to explain its new seal strategy; and China will send deputy national officials to attend this regional security forum after eight years.A more positive posture responded to Washington's strategic blocking.
In addition to the Indo -Pacific strategy, the experts interviewed analyzed that the freedom of navigation of the South China Sea and Taiwan's issues will also be a subject of enthusiastic discussion.The Shangri -La dialogue (referred to as Xianghui) organized by the British Think Tank International Institute of Strategy (IISS) will be held in my country from June 2.
Li Mingjiang, an associate professor of Nanyang University of Science and Technology Rajele South International Relations College, said in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the Indo -Pacific strategic concept of the United States will be the most important attention of this meeting.
According to the agenda, the United States will speak in the first plenary session with the title of American freedom and open Indo -Pacific strategy at the first plenary session.At that time, he will evaluate the Indian Ocean MDASH; the security challenges of the Pacific region and clarify the significance of the region to the United States.Wei Fenghe, a Chinese State Councilor and Defense Director, is expected to respond at the day after tomorrow.
Li Mingjiang said that the United States, Japan, Australia and India have proposed the Indo -Pacific strategic concept for several years, but have always been unable to gather into a more substantial strategic framework due to different attention and interests of all parties.He believes that Sanhanham should continue to promise that the United States will maintain its influence in the Asia -Pacific region this time, but it is difficult to imagine that he will put forward a refreshing strategy.
In Beijing, because the Indo -Pacific strategy is regarded as an obvious sword refers to China, Li Mingjiang believes that Wei Fenghe will criticize the United States in the region in the region in this region in the speech, which is not conducive to regional peace and stability.Wei Fenghe will also emphasize the open regional security structure, calling on the United States to abandon the Cold War thinking and jointly promote the cooperation of any third party, and may also respond to the outside world's questioning of the Belt and Road Initiative.
However, Li Mingjiang analyzed that the positions of neighboring countries are more important than Sino -US discussion.
He said: Southeast Asian countries have almost made a clear statement on the Indo -Pacific strategy.They are worried that India will weaken the role of Yajia'an in the regional security structure and affect their relationship with China.The surrounding small Congress will not be forced to choose the side team, which is the focus of public opinion.
In the past eight years, the first defense director attended the forum expert: China has confidence and beauty confrontation
In addition, Wei Fenghe led the group to attend the Xianghui, which is also a highlight of this year's forum.
Since the first office of the Xianghui in 2002, the largest and most specified multilateral safety forum in the development cost area has currently developed, but China has always regarded Xiangxiang as a Hongmen banquet for Western besieging Beijing. Therefore, only lower -level officials were sent to attend.In 2011, the Minister of Defense participated in the meeting.
Bonnie Glaser, a senior researcher at the Washington Think Tank Strategy and International Issues Research Center (CSIS), told this newspaper that Beijing sent deputy national officials to attend the forum to prove that China is increasingly confident and can be on the regional forum with the United States.The front is relatively strong.
She said: China is expected to emphasize on the forum that Beijing is a model of peace and stability, and the United States is the root cause of the turbulent situation in the region.
At the same time, the South China Sea topic will still be one of the focus of this year's fragrance meeting. Dr. Deng Xiuhuan, a senior researcher at the Erv Isa East South Asian Research Institute, predicts that many discussions will focus on respect for international law to remind any violations of international law and manufacture new regulations.Or standardized unilateral behavior will be challenged.
Non -military vessels such as Chinese fishing vessels and maritime police ships have become active in the sovereignty of the South China Sea recently. Ge Laiyi analyzed that Shanaham may officially announce on the forum that in the future, the United States will no longer distinguish between maritime operations and encounters.Chinese warships and non -military vessels.
This year's incense will attract the defense ministers, military generals, senior officials and scholars from about 40 countries, including the newly appointed Australia, Britain, Japan, and South Korea's defense chief.
Premier Li Xianlong will give a keynote speech at the welcome dinner tonight, emphasizing the importance of stable and constructive Sino -US relations to regional security.
