Middle Times: 2020 is the battle to support or oppose Tsai Ing -wen

Source: Taiwan China Times Society

On May 20, President Tsai Ing -wen expired the 3rd anniversary of his employment, and she may not expect that 56%of the votes in Taiwan were expected that year, and the expectations of 6.89 million people.In the governance burden, the public opinion support quickly collapsed and fell into the dilemma of internal and external attacks.

However, the Tsai government, who lost public opinion, did not listen to public opinion and suffer from bitter people. Instead, they played factions and meat barrel politics, and transported the relationship between sheltering with interests.However, while led the faction, it often hurts the interests of social justice and grassroots grassroots roots, and the well -known democratic system will naturally drink it.As a result, Cai's administration satisfaction has always been hovering between 2 and 30 %, becoming the most annoying politician in the minds of the people, and society has also begun to form a collective emotions that hate the DPP.

Before the 2018 Nine -in -one election, the people's hearts tended to point to the DPP will definitely defeat.The failure of the governance, adhering to the basic disk of pan -green, playing ideological cards, and unwillingness to communicate with the majority of society.Her inaugural speech promises that cross -strait relations will maintain the status quo, but as the political satisfaction is low and the election is arduous, it deviates from the initial commitment and moves towards Ke Wenzhe's path of provocative.Selection.

However, the Democratic Progressive Party in the Nine -in -1 election can clearly see that regardless of the people, only factions, no people's livelihood issues, only ideological strategies, instead arouse the people's anger, so that the DPP not only loses 7 ruling counties in 7 ruling countiesIn the city, Tsai Ing -wen's satisfaction fell to a trough of 20.9%.However, Cai Yingwen, who was defeated, went further and farther on the wrong road, and strongly stated that he was willing to play the role of the former American horse died, which made the Taiwan Strait fall into an irresistible risk.

Five months after the election, the Kuomintang had fallen into the preliminary election, and the momentum fell. After picking up the gun, the hottest girl fully mobilized the party, political, military, and sentiment to fight against the mainland, creating anti -China and terrorist emotions.Suppressing the objection media in the name of fake news, and using national resources to organize various affordable activities, manufacture the volume of the Internet, the support of the Democratic Progressive Party seems to gradually get out of the haze.According to the National Policy of the Miyo Island Electronics News in April, the politics satisfaction rose by 10 %, so that President Tsai was happy with his eyebrows and continued to boast about the reform.However, in fact, 56.3%of the people are still dissatisfied with the Government of the Cai government. In the polls of the presidential election, Cai's support rose only from the pan -green group.She did not get out of the same temperature.

The dilemma of Cai is not only because of the disgust of the pan -blue people and the support of young voters in the middle. It is also the departure of some pan -green groups.The hottest girl guarding Taiwan's sovereignty.Even when Green Camp is centrifugal, there is no need to accidentally announce the nomination of nominations in mid -March.Hate Tsai Ing -wen has also become the greatest consensus of blue, green, and white.

Facing the challenges within the party, Tsai Ing -wen was as paranoid and did not adjust himself. He did not face up to the Green Camp at the grassroots level and hoped that Cai Lai would compete fairly and maintain the core value of the Democratic Progressive Party's democratic core value.Cheng and rules, destroying the primary election system, attempts to use the secret room politics and black box operations to follow Lai Qingde to follow the procedures.Lai couldn't help sighing that the Democratic Progressive Party's democratic mechanism was not as good as the Kuomintang. He had shot out, but the target was removed. I don't know where the target is?

In general, in the conflict between the well -being of the people of Taiwan and the interests of the DPP, Tsai Ing -wen chose the interests of the DPP; in the conflict between the green camp and the DPP faction, Tsai Ing -wen chose to move closer to factions and meat buckets to divide stolen goodsThe 2020 election will continue to stand with the Democratic Progressive Party elite, rather than standing together with grass -roots people with pan -blue, middle and even green.This election will not be the battle of unification of the unification of Cai's hope, but it will be closer to support or oppose the battle of Tsai Ing -wen.

From the perspective of poll data, the offensive of the hottest girls in the past few months can only attract 10 % of the green supporters to return.Support, the only result is to increase the victory of Lai Qingde.The political operation of quenching thirst, even if Cai Yingwen can keep the qualifications for re -election, it is not enough to win the presidential election. This will be the fate of the hottest girl who only has ideology and the hottest girl with no grassroots voters.

Abandoning the factions and the ideological coach, facing the interests of middle voters, and focusing on small citizens and farmers in the heart of life is the only way for the main parties of modern democratic society to survive.Out of the way.