Middle Times Society: Really, the United States will not start war for Taiwan

Zhongshi Society

Wang Yang, chairman of the CPPCC National Committee of Mainland China, recently talked to Taiwanese guests twice recently, saying that the United States will not fight against Taiwan for Taiwan. For Cai Yingwen, who is looking forward to the security of the United States, the warning is very strong, which has caused the DPP government and pro -pro.The green camp media rebounded strongly.Whether the United States will send troops to protect Taiwan is a very serious issue in Taiwan. It cannot be considered as the emotional gesture of Blizzard Feng He.

Wang Yang, chairman of the CPPCC National Committee of the Mainland, told the Taiwan media on the 10th that after the United States would not fight with Taiwan and China, he pointed out to the 5th National Taiwan Enterprise Federation members on the 16th that people with clear eyes know that the United States just treats Taiwan as a chess piece.It is hard to imagine that the United States will fight for Taiwan and the mainland.

It is worth noting that on the 10th, Wang Yang mocked the Taiwan Guarantee Law recently approved by the Federal House of Representatives in the closed -door meeting with Taiwan media.The content of his conversation was once reported by mainland media, but it was immediately removed. Later, Lu Media only focused on the responsibility of cross -strait media to promote the peaceful and unified relationship between cross -strait relations.delete.Although the remarks were blocked by mainland official media, the news was circulated.Therefore, on the 16th, Wang Yang simply stated that it was a strong warning message to Tsai Ing -wen, who intended to provoke the contradiction between cross -strait contradictions and the conflict between China and the United States.

In the past two years, the US Congress passed a number of Friendship Acts. Recently, the Federal House of Representatives has passed the Taiwan guarantee law. It is expected that the Senate will also pass, and US President Trump will sign.However, since 2017, a series of Youtai Acts or Amendments to Youtai not only did not provide further guarantees on Taiwan's security, but because the Cai government refused the 1992 consensus, the mainland machine ship traveled around Taiwan and the fighter.For nervousness.

It can be seen that no matter how many amendments to the Youtai Act or Youtai, it is not necessarily possible to ensure the peace of the two sides of the strait.Only on the common political basis of the 1992 Consensus on both sides of the strait, can cross -strait build a long and long peaceful peace together.Wang Yang said that in order to curb China's development, the United States launched a trade war and brought some impact on the development of mainland development and cross -strait economic and trade cooperation.Change.According to his estimates, after China's prediction of trade war, it will definitely affect the domestic production hair (GDP) of the mainland, but at most it is about a percentage point.Just want to pull a wrench.It shows that the mainland has a psychological preparation with the United States' long -term trade war, at least Beijing has certain preparations on both hands.

Beijing has prepared and fights against the pressure of the United States, and Taiwan, which relies on foreign trade, is likely to be affected by pond fish.Foreign capital estimates that the Sino -US tariffs have made a comprehensive revenge, and Taiwan's GDP will be reduced by 3%.The most thing that the Cai government should do is not to do things that provoke cross -strait contradictions and conflict between China and the United States, but to think about how to help Taiwan ’s industrial transformation or avoidance.

For the United States and Latinarian resistance, which provoked the contradictions between Cai Yingwen and the conflict between China and the United States, people of the insight in Taiwan attracted their worries, and there were many criticisms or various suggestions.Recently, Taipei Mayor Ke Wenzhe even pointed out that the main responsibility of the leader is to avoid war, not provocation.Tsai Ing -wen retorted that in the face of the challenge of sovereignty, the governor only came forward, but anyone knew that Cai Yingwen refused to acknowledge that the 1992 consensus was first.

In fact, Trump's need to treat Taiwan as a chess piece, and it is worrying that Tsai Ing -wen has always wanted to be a chess player.It is true that the two major powers in the United States and China are competing in multiple fields. From economic, trade, geopolitics to ideological form, they want to occupy their opponents.To all possible consequences of conflicting with China, and mouse taboos in action.Of course, there are many factors in mainland China that need to be considered, and it will not be comprehensively confrontable with the United States.

Bu Ruizhe, director of the East Asia Group of the Brookos Research Institute in the United States, pointed out that Trump asked his Guoan staff to support Taiwan for the United States?When his national security staff said that the benefits were not much benefits, Trump placed his vision in mainland China that could obtain more benefits.From this perspective, Beijing must prevent Trump as a pawn, but also to prevent Cai Yingwen's action.

In the small country between the two major power of the United States and China, their considerations will not be as long as the two power.Some small countries may deliberately provoke the contradictions or conflicts between the two power because of their ideological, national interests, personal political concepts, and personal political interests, which eventually leads to war and eventually burn in jade.The 2020 campaign warmed up, and the election situation is not good for the DPP. This may be something that needs to be vigilant in blue, white, and beauty.