The Sino -US trade war has been upgraded again to release the wrong fireworks

The Sino -US trade war has been upgraded again, and it is more likely to expand in the future. Some Taiwan Green Camp politicians are gloating, and they are optimistic that Taiwan can profit from it.This view is seriously wrong. Even if Taiwan can get small profits from the expansion of the trade war, it is not enough to make up for the losses and impacts.

When the outside world thought that China and the United States were about to reach a trade agreement, President Trump suddenly increased the mainland goods that had only increased only 10%of tariffs to 25%.In addition, it may also impose tariffs on more than $ 300 billion in goods within one month, that is, all the punitive tariffs will be levied all the goods exported to the United States in the United States. The upgrade and expansion of the trade war are very clear.

In addition to the expansion of the trade war, in addition to being happy with Trump's lessons, the green camp politicians also believe that Taiwanese businessmen will return to Taiwan significantly, and domestic investment will increase greatly.At the request of the president, the target was increased to 500 billion yuan of investment.

The increase in non -governmental investment in Taiwan is of course happy, but it should be noted that some of the amount of the amount of Taiwan businessmen's return investment is a stool, and the original investment in China is used as a reflux to obtain various preferential measures.In addition, the five lacks of Taiwan have not yet been resolved. Whether these investment can really be implemented still needs to be observed.Therefore, when the Ministry of Economic Affairs is desperately bragging to achieve results, do not blow over.

It should be noted that Taiwan ’s exports account for 60 % of GDP. International trade and exports are the lifeblood of Taiwan’ s economy. Taiwan is also the country with the highest degree of integration in global supply value chains.This means that the Taiwan economy is very vulnerable to the impact of changes in global economic, trade, and supply chain, and the Sino -US trade war is the biggest impact.

The impact of the trade war on Taiwan's economy and investment is positive and negative. In the end, how the overall impact is, only to see the final empirical data, but judging from the economic data in the first quarter, at least the short term is definitely more than the positive. ThereforeTrump's cheers and politicians, it is best to look at the development of the situation before talking.