Many countries in the world want to end the Sino -US trade war as soon as possible. For example, many European and Asian countries such as the European Union and Japan, because the economies of these countries are closely linked to China and the United States, the Sino -US trade war has damaged the economic damage of the third country.In October 2018, the Japanese think tank Yamato's general research estimated that China and the United States raised tariffs on their own. The direct negative impact of Japanese companies was equivalent to about 53.3 billion yuan (S $ 648 million), which was not large, but the Japanese industryThe world is even more worried about the unprecedented chaos of global trade.

But there are also some countries that can benefit from the Sino -US trade war.First, Mexico replaces China as the largest trading partner in the United States.China has been the largest trading partner in the United States in the past four years, followed by Canada, and Mexico ranked third.On April 26, 2019, the Forbes News website reported that according to the latest data as of February this year, the US -Mexico trade increased by 3.36%.At the same time, the United States' trade with Canada decreased by 4.12%, while trade with China fell 13.52%.

Second, the Sino -US trade war provides India with opportunities to export the Chinese market.In 2018, the Ministry of Commerce of India believes that China will impose a tariff of 15-25%of the 333 kinds of goods native to the United States, giving India 100 opportunities to replace American products in the Chinese market.India can export more corn, wheat and sorghum to China.In addition, India's grapes, cotton, steel barbecue oven tube and tobacco have the opportunity to increase exports.On April 27, 2019, the Indian newspaper Trust reported that an Indian -US Relations Corporation, headquartered in the United States, revealed to the news agency that about 200 U.S. companies want to relocate their manufacturing bases in China to India.

Third, Vietnam may be the biggest beneficiary of the Sino -US trade war.Vietnam became one of the most successful countries in Asia to attract foreign direct investment in 2018.On January 10, 2019, Japan's Nikkei News reported that according to data released by the Vietnamese government, Vietnam's acceptance of foreign direct investment in 2018 increased by 9.1%year -on -year to $ 19.1 billion.Suchuangchuang has a record high.In 2018, Vietnam's economic growth rate reached 7.1%, which is the highest growth of the world's highest growth.The US -China trade dispute is the main reason why Vietnam has become one of the most successful countries in Asia to attract foreign direct investment.Affected by the U.S. government's additional tariffs on goods from China, more and more manufacturers such as textiles and clothing industries have been relocated from China to Vietnam to avoid tariffs imposed by the United States.

Fourth, Brazil and Argentina's soybean exports have benefited from the Sino -US trade war.China imposes a 25%tariff on American soybeans. Tariffs have raised the price of American soybeans in China. China must decrease on American soybeans, but this is just an economics reason.In fact, China has stopped importing soybean from the United States.According to data released by China Customs on December 24, 2018, China did not import soybeans from the United States in November 2018.

China is the largest consumer of soybeans in the world. It purchased 63%of global soybean exports and feeds a huge industry with soybeans grinding and squeezing vegetable oil.The Sino -US trade war led to the increase in Brazil's soybeans. In June 2018, the supply price of soybeans in Parcana Port, Brazil was $ 385.60 per ton, which was $ 35.70 higher than the price of soybeans sold along the Gulf of Mexico in southern United States.By August, Brazil's soybean prices rose to $ 450 per ton.Data show that in June 2018, China ’s imported soybean from Brazil increased from 6.6 million tons in the same period in 2017 to 8.2 million tons.

Similar phenomena are Argentina.Argentina uses the Sino -US trade war to purchase US soybeans for oil squeezing, and then sell soybean oil to China.In August 2018, the Agricultural Ministry of Agriculture claimed that the country will export soybean oil to China for the first time in the past three years. The current 29,000 tons of soybean oil is loading at the Timbues port near the Rosari Grain Center in Argentina.The other two ships filled with soybean oil planned to China, and the total amount of soybean oil was estimated to be 90,000 tons.Argentine government officials said that after the harvesting of soybeans in the next harvest season, a large amount of soybean meal was started to China.

Fifth, the Sino -US trade war is conducive to the increase in energy exports of the Middle East and Russia.China's liquefied petroleum gas increased by 25%of tariffs on the United States, which led to the great decrease in LPG gas gas imported from the United States in 2018, and almost completely paused at the end of August.In 2017, China imported 3.6 million tons of liquefied petroleum and gas from the United States, making the United States the second largest liquefied petroleum supply country in China.In the first eight months of 2018, China ’s imports from the United States fell to only 1 million tons, compared with 2.1 million tons in the same period in 2017.

In August 2018, China increased the imported liquefied petroleum gas from Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait.This turning to the rise of oil prices has increased liquefied petroleum gas.In October 2018, the price of liquefied petroleum gas reached $ 655 per ton, the highest point since 2014.

Iran is the main source of oil imported oil.In November 2018, according to data follow -up of the S & P Global Trade, China imported from Iran in October of 599,000 barrels per day.However, due to the influence of the United States on Iranian sanctions, China has reduced the number of oil imports from Iran, and has increased its imported from Russia.According to data from the end of November 2018 in China, from January to October, the scale of China from Russia's oil imports was 1.39 million barrels per day.58%.

The United States has announced that it will no longer be extended and there will no longer have a buffer period after the exemption of imported Iranian oil sanctions on May 2.Any country that does not comply with this decision will be sanctioned by the United States.If China no longer imports oil from Iran, it will inevitably increase oil from Russia.Recently, Putin told China when he participated in the 2nd Belt and Road International Cooperation Summit in Beijing that he would help the power when the supply of crude oil was insufficient.

The Sino -US trade war is not conducive to the economy of China and the United States, but it is conducive to the economy of some countries in a short time.From a long -term perspective, the Sino -US trade war must not be conducive to the economies of the world.The two largest economic locomotives in the world are damaged, and it will inevitably drag out the growth of the global economy, and it is impossible for any country to be alone.

The author is a professor of economics at Shanghai Normal University Business School