China Times News Agency
After the DPP ’s primary election, Lai Qingde and Tsai Ing -wen have been postponed after the primaries and the scandal theory, the split theory of polls, and Cai Lai.The contest of the gentleman has become more and more intensive, and the blue camp sees his heart hunting.In fact, the DPP primary election disputes are just the storm in the teapot. It is the difference between the route of the green camp in the campaign strategy and will not be substantially split as the outside world imagines.
Over the past 20 years, the DPP's election route has not yet left the 1999 Taiwan future resolution and the 2007 normal state resolution, which is the difference between hidden Taiwan independence and explicit Taiwan independence.As far as the two candidates who are currently participating in the primaries of the Green Camp, it is interesting that Lai Qingde, who has followed the explicit Taiwan independence and deep green routes in the past, and said that in this electionThe founding of the country, reversely embracing the description of the future resolution of Taiwan, regarded the Republic of China as the Republic of Taiwan, and even embraced the Han Liu. It was most important to say that fighting for the economy.
Conversely, Tsai Ing -wen, who used to go to the DPP's hidden Taiwan independence in the past, abandoned the position of the status quo of the Constitution before taking office to maintain the status quo of the Constitution.For the economy, we only care about the ideological form and fight the sovereignty card.From this perspective, the primary election of the DPP is Tsai Ing -wen, who adheres to the traditional sovereign cards, and the line of Lai Qingde, who has the existing position to embrace the economic card.
Judging from the polls announced by major institutions recently, whether it is a contrast or mutual comparison, it can be clearly found that compared with Cai who played sovereignty cards, Lai, who has changed the economic card, has received more public opinion support.For the investigation of TVBS in late April, when Cai and Lai were compared, 39%of the people chose Lai, only 24%supported Cai; the polls released by the Meilizimao Electronics News in mid -April also pointed out that in blue, green, andIn the comparison of white, the two people's green support is roughly equal, but Lai's middle voters have high support, so the total support rate won slightly.However, the gap between the two is not as greater than the mutual polls, and they are still within the scope of the error.
It is worth noting that the Green Camp has gradually survived the defeat of the nine -in -one defeat last year, showing a trend of recovery. Whether it is trust or supporting proportion, it has rebounded in data.According to the latest polls of the Meilimao Electronics News, the Green Camp has surpassed the Kuomintang in terms of supporters and trust. It was the first to see after the fermentation of Korean flow last September.The support of Cai and Lai has improved in these 2 or three months. In the blue, green, and white triangle governors, they can even surpass Ke Wenzhe second in the second.In other words, the lineup between Cai and Lai helps the green camp to re -condense the strength.
On the contrary, the Kuomintang, in the case of the green camp warming, had a decline in the dispute.South Korea ’s Yu can still lead green and white candidates 10%to 15%in mid -April. In the beautiful island national polls in late April, it has declined by nearly 5%of support, and currently only 8%of the lead.Guo Taiming, who had 4%to 7%, became a hardening households. The support dropped by 9%in just one week, becoming the tail of the crane. Han and Guo are so, let alone Zhu Lilun and Wang Jinping.
In the 2018 Nine -in -one election, South Korea ’s characteristics of the ground and understanding of the grassroots level not only consolidated pan -blue, but also attracted the traditional and young voters that do not support the Kuomintang and young voters.It was attracting these ethnic groups that did not support the Kuomintang and were willing to believe in the ethnic group of the Hanliu that Blue Camp was able to create a miraculous victory of nine -in -one miracle without being optimistic.
Green Camp is unpopular, but he is proficient in election operations. If the 2020 DPP continues to be in power, the Chinese Republic of China will completely disappear.Taiwan's self -closure is more serious, the economy will crack under the attraction of the strong market in the mainland. Enterprises and talents will accelerate to leave Taiwan. The economy will gradually shrink, which will be expected.
Is this what most people who truly love Taiwan want to see?
