Author: Chen Yang

Shinzo Abe believes that Japan -US relations have entered the honeymoon period, but Americans may not think so.

According to Japanese media reports, from April 26th to 27th, local time in Washington, after a visit to Europe, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe came to the United States and held a leader in President Trump.The two sides continued to promote the close cooperation of the Korean Peninsula's nuclearization and close cooperation. On the issue of Japan -US economic and trade deficit, the United States continued to pressure Japan. Trump hinted that the final agreement may be reached when visiting Japan in May.This time, the Japanese summit talks have achieved results, but it is not the real result.

In addition, there are two special tasks of Abe's visit to the United States.golf.Although political affairs are not particularly ideal, private affairs are still okay. Trump and Marania have made a gratitude, and@虽然 虽然 虽然.

There are a lot of issues involved in this Japanese -US summit, but the issue of economic and trade issues is the core and the most difficult issue.In mid -April, a new round of Japan -US economic and trade negotiations launched in Washington, but the substantial progress has been limited.Therefore, in the negotiations between Prime Minister Abe and Trump, the issue of economic and trade issues has become an unavoidable issue. The reason why Trump hinted that the final agreement may be reached in May when he visited Japan in May.After all, the economic and trade negotiations of major regions or countries such as Europe, Canada, Mexico, South Korea, etc. have achieved certain results, and Japan, which ranks 4th with the US trade deficit, cannot be ruled out.

However, it is expected that the Abe regime will not make much concessions to the United States on the issue of economic and trade deficit.The reason is simple, election pressure.

In July of this year, Japan will hold a Senate election, and half of the senators will be put into the election campaign at that time.This election is particularly important to the Abe regime. Any subtle changes in the number of seats will affect the realization of the political wish of Abe's political constitutional amendment.Because Japan -US economic and trade deficits are mainly concentrated in the field of agricultural products and automobiles, Trump has always asked Japan to further expand the market in these two fields. However, the agricultural group is the main support group of the Abe regime.The Abe regime did not dare to make too much concessions.

And there is one more thing. If you show the weakness on the economic and trade issues, then the Wild Party and social public opinion will definitely attack the incompetence of Abe's diplomacy. Entering the honeymoon period is the wishful thinking of the Abe regime, which will affect the Liberal Democratic Party's election in the Senate elections.Affection.Therefore, even if the Abe regime has nothing to do to the United States, he still has to install a tough and unyielding look, at least surviving the Senate election.

Based on the Japanese -American summit talks to analyze the current Japanese and American relations, it presents a contradictory status quo, because Japan and the United States have a clear cognitive gap in the honeymoon period.From the perspective of Japan, the Japanese -American relations between Abe's era and the Trump regime have entered a honeymoon period.

Some Japanese media like to use numbers to prove the intimacy of Japanese and American relations.Counting this summit, Prime Minister Abe and Trump have met 10 times, less than half a year before the last time you met, and Abe Jinsan was the most foreign leader with Trump.Trump's first foreign leader after being elected is the most foreign leader with Trump Mandarin.Therefore, some Japanese media often highlight that Abe is the best foreign leader in the world's relationship with Trump, including Abe, including Abe.

In addition, from April to June, Prime Minister Abe will hold a talk with Trump every month, which is extremely rare in the history of the Japanese -American relations after the war.Beginning on May 1, with the entry of Japan's entry and the era, Emperor Deren, Trump will become the first foreign leader to meet with the new Emperor.According to the explanation of Abe and Trump, the new Emperor's throne is an important thing that is 100 times more important than the super bowl. Therefore, it is arranged to meet with the new Emperor, which shows how special the Abe regime has put the United States in the United States.

At the same time, on the issue of kidnappers in North Korea, Trump replaced Abe's three words to Kim Jong Un, and also met the family members of the kidnappers. Japanese public opinion was very moved, and it also added a sense of intimacy to Trump.After all, almost no US president has done this.

Therefore, from the perspective of Japan, Shinzo Abe and Trump really brought Japanese -American relations into the honeymoon period, and the degree of intimacy far exceeded the previous Nakaga Kanghong and Reagan, Koizumi Chunichiro and Bush.

However, as a coin, from the perspective of the United States, the relationship between Japan and the United States, the Japanese and American relations between the Trump regime and the Abe's era, obviously cannot be described as a honeymoon period.Trump withdrew from TPP (the cross -Pacific partnership agreement) after taking office, did not forgive Japan on the problem of steel and aluminum tariffs, and did not give any special treatment to Japan in prohibiting importing Iranian oil.Instead of enjoying the special treatment of any allies afterwards, Japan was suppressed everywhere.

At the same time, analyzing Trump ’s previous Japanese -American summit talks, the North Korean nuclear Indian strategic economic and trade deficit has always been the main issue.In the North Korean nuclear issue, Japanese and American leaders have repeatedly stated that they should maintain the maximum sanctions; in the Indo -Pacific strategic issue, Japanese and American leaders have repeatedly emphasized to deepen cooperation for the Indian Pacific Strategy to achieve freely opening;In the end, the Japanese side felt that he was very wronged. Japanese companies had contributed a large number of employment positions to the United States. The United States believed that Japan did not conduct fair trade and must open the market.

These are the main contents of Trump's three -time talks with Abe's three consecutive talks. Although there will be some new content with the changes in the current situation, it still turns aroundThe content of the discussion is not too new, and there are no substantial results.Therefore, from the perspective of the United States, the United States does not give any special treatment in Japan. It is not hesitant to suppress it, and there is no so -called Japanese -American honeymoon period.

So, what is the essence of Japanese and American relations now?The author believes that the essence is that there is something and contradiction with each other, rather than entering the honeymoon period.

The current Trump regime has a place where Japan needs to assist in Japan, such as curbing Huawei 5G, promoting the implementation of the Indo -Pacific strategy, and strategic competition with China.And Abe's regime also has a place that needs the United States to help, which is mainly reflected in solving the hostage of North Korea.Therefore, the main factor of maintaining the relationship between the Abe regime and the Trump regime to maintain the relationship between the Abe regime and the Trump regime.

In addition to mutual demands, Japan and the United States have contradictions, which are mainly reflected in the economic and trade level.As the US presidential election approaches in November next year, Trump needs to establish political achievements as soon as possible to win re -election.It has been repeatedly knocking on Japan, and it is even more impossible to let go of Japan when it is president.

However, the Abe regime has another view on the economic and trade issues of Japan and the United States. After Trump came to power, Japanese companies contributed 40,000 jobs to the United States. Japan did not impose tariffs on American cars.2.5%of tariffs were levied.Due to significant differences in economic and trade issues between Japan and the United States, this constitutes the biggest contradiction between Japan and the United States relations at the moment.

In fact, Japan -US economic and trade issues are not a new problem. Even in the Japanese -American honeymoon period of the Koizumi Chunichiro regime and the Bush regime, there are existence.Although the Japanese and American governments at the time were also different and games, economic and trade issues did not affect other areas of Japan -US relations.There are many reasons for this. For example, the Bush regime focused on the main contradictions of Japan -US economic and trade issues at the time, and the counter -terrorism was the focus.

Now Trump is not, he attaches great importance to economic and trade deficit.This also means that if the economic and trade problems of Japan and the United States have not been fully resolved, the further deepening of Japan -US relations may be blocked, and the economic and trade issues will also affect the relationship in other fields of Japan and the United States.Then from partial to the overall impact of Japan -US relations.Therefore, the Japanese -American honeymoon period rendered by Prime Minister Abe is just a fantasy, and the relationship between Japanese and American relations is far from the real honeymoon period.

(The author is a media person, a researcher in Japan)