Wang Mingyi: The American ghost over the Taiwan Strait

Author: Wang Mingyi

On April 23, 1949, a historic turning point in the Civil War of the KMT and the Communist Party of China.On October 3, the U.S. government issued a statement in Washington: The national government in Guangzhou is still the only legal government in China.

This year marks the 70th anniversary of the cross -strait division. Cross -strait relations have gone through the rare historical process of the world. From the Civil War, Cross -Strait Cold Hehe, Communication and Dialogue, and even peaceful development, the development path on both sides has undergone tremendous changes.In the past 70 years, the American factor that affects the interaction between the two parties and cross -strait relations, as historical ghosts have always hovered over the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the haze is not dispersion.From Trumon to Carter, even if the US President has no good opinion of Jiang's father and son, from 1949 to 1979, in the background of the Cold War, the United States and the Republic of China government in Taiwan still maintain diplomatic relations for nearly 30 years, but in the end, it is still with.Beijing's completion relationship is normal.Although the reform and opening up of the mainland is of course the cause, Washington hopes to attract Beijing's checks and balance of Moscow is an important strategic consideration.

In the past 70 years, the United States has been preparing to abandon Taiwan. Later, the Korean war broke out. The U.S. fleet cooperated to defend Taiwan, supported the Golden Gate artillery warfare, and fight against the PLA artillery fire.With the end of the Cold War period, the Communist Party of China joined the United Nations, replacing the Republic of China as a permanent member of the Security Council, establishing diplomatic relations between China and the United States, and breaking diplomatic relations between Taiwan and the United States. The United States has always been a key international factors in cross -strait diplomatic offense and defense and representative rights competition.

This year marks the 40th anniversary of the disconnection of Taiwan and the United States. China and the United States are sensitive and opposite. The Trump administration sent senior officials and senior members to visit Taiwan to commemorate the 40th anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Law.The Democratic Progressive Party government has preached the United States' support for Taiwan, and even implies that Washington supports Tsai Ing -wen, but the deep intention of Washington's decision makers may be just accumulating the energy of the Taiwan card.

Faced with the upgrading of strategic competition between China and the United States, the Cai government's election calculation is nothing more than looking forward to the intensification of Sino -US conflicts, the heating up of the South China Maritime Army's confrontation, and even rising the tension of the Taiwan Strait.The strategic value of U.S. military enterprises and appreciation of Taiwan cards is more conducive to the publicity and manipulation of referendum issues such as anti -China -China Paper during the election.In Taiwan's support and consolidation of a anti -China -US regime, it is quite in line with the needs of Trump's current stage. In the new situation of competition between China and the United States than cooperation, Trump and its core staff of national security, military, economic and trade and other core staff are not happy to meet the Taiwan Strait.Cross -strait relations are getting closer and closer, but I hope that Taiwan will play the role of Wingfu's wing -sidelines. This is the key to the United States that recently has frequently recruited the Tsai government.

The influence of the United States on the situation in the Taiwan Strait has been obviously suppressed in recent years. The structural contradictions of Sino -US relations are not intensified in the short term.This is a favorable bargaining chip that the United States uses cross -strait contradictions and differences, but the final price and consequences are to be borne by Taiwan.

Facing the external doubt whether the Washington authorities have a established position for the Taiwan election next year, Mo Jian, chairman of the United States Association (AIT), recently emphasized in Taipei that in response to the Taiwan election, the United States respects the people of Taiwan in democratic ways to choose their own leaders.It also respects Taiwan's democratic system. The United States will not endorse for any party, and will also cooperate with any 2020 victory government.

Although both US officials and think tanks have shown the choice and democratic system of respecting Taiwan's public opinion, the current stage of Taiwan's Taiwan policy is only to maintain the limited military exchanges of culture, economy, and military sales as the main body.Promoting bilateral relations with more diplomatic significance, in the face of possible fierce countermeasures in Beijing, is probably the red bottom line that Washington decision makers are difficult to surpass.