Source: Liberty Times Author: Linzhuishui
1. Legislative#8203;#8203; wrestling: Democratic legitimacy vs. The traditional legitimacy of former democracy
The president and her people strongly condemned Lai Qingzhang to register for the election, thinking that his registration was not correct.The reason for this question is so fierce and worth exploring.
Democratic society, there are two very important sources of legitimacy: one is the provisions that do not comply with the legal system; the other is that it does not get the support of most people.
Judging from these two perspectives, Lai Yide has not registered for election. On the contrary, he opposes the reason for his registration, for example, he has changed the support of Cai Yingwen publicly supported before 1124 last year.The change of position, and the DPP should adopt the current priority to prioritize primary elections, etc., and cannot stand on the spirit of democracy.In any case, according to the democratic society, everyone has the right to vote or run in politics, and the principle of unavoidable deprivation. The current priority emphasized by the president, deprived of the current right to be elected. In the democratic societyIn nature, its legitimacy is only available in the upper and lower sequences, long and poor, and the previous democratic society with a fixed identity.In other words, the current proposition is based on the traditional legitimacy of the former democracy, not the legitimacy of democracy.
Surprisingly, today's Democratic Promotion of Democratic Promotion of Taiwan, when discussing the presidential nomination system, actually has a legitimate wrestling: democracy and legitimacy VS. The tradition of democracy before.It's really incredible.
Second, the president launched a dispute of legitimacy, and the result was frustrated
For a long time, whether it is a comparison poll or a comparative poll, Lai Qingde's public support is better than President Tsai.For example, on February 20th, Apple Daily's polls, mutual comparison polls: Lai 38.66%, Cai 17.6%, Lai Ling first 21.0%; and Zhu Lilun Bi: Cai 33.6%, Zhu 50.2%, Cai Luo 16.6%; Lai 39.4%, Zhu 43.8%, Lai only lags 4.4%.
After 318 Lai Qingde registered, the president and her people launched a violent attack on the legitimacy of Lai's election, but Lai Qingde's support not only did not decline, but increased.By April 15th, according to Apple's polls, Lai's support, in the comparison polls of Cai Lai, although only 0.3%of the insignificant insignificant rising channels were rising.From 39.4%to 44.9%, an increase of 5.5%, turning from backward to a slight lead.It can be seen that the legitimate dispute between the president and her people and his horses failed.In other words, the legitimacy of Lai Yan's election has increased again with more public opinion support.
Third, the essence of liberalism is that people can change the goodness, and should not be stubborn or even unchanged.
According to the principles of democracy, people's identity should not be considered, and the spirit of freedom according to liberalism, thinking, and belief should not limit anyone to change his political beliefs.It is based on this principle that Congress is defined as a place where the debate speaks, and then stipulates that speech exemptions are exempted, so that members can influence each other in the debate, and when a major situation change or changes in personal beliefs, no longer adhere to the dogmatics that the past commitment promises in the past promisesIt adopts its confidence as a more favorable position or proposition to the country and society, and finally shaped the common will of the people to become the national chapter policy.In order to achieve this purpose, there are now nearly clear eliminations in Western European countries or at least strictly restrict the dismissal system of parliamentarians.
In the same reason, when it was reused by Chen Shui -bian cultivation and therefore, Cai Yingwen, which was indispensable for the president to become president in the future. After the 2008 DPP election was defeated, he withdrew his loyalty to Chen Shui -bian and further forced him to retreat.The sound was thin, but it was supported by the party inside and outside the party.In this way, when she changed her personal loyalty to Chen Shui -bian's personal nature according to the values of liberalism, she received the support of the people as much as possible, which made her have a full legitimacy when she overturned her past.
However, in any case, the consistent position and attitude are still another very concerned about the people outside of freedom and democracy. Therefore, once the politicians change their positions, they will face the reason that they must explain to the people clearly to change their positions and let the public evaluate to the end to the endYou can't stand.Now it seems that in 2008, Chairman Cai has passed; now from Apple's two polls, Lai Yide can be regarded as passing.
Fourth, the primary election has improved the positive evaluation of the Democratic Progressive Party leader, not damage
Although the DPP has always believed that the DPP's primaries are better than the Kuomintang, so the preliminary election is beneficial to the DPP; howeverSelected, it is bound to attack each other, and both defeats are injured, and this additional reasons for the registration of Lai Qingde's registration are added.The two sides have their own opinions and provide a preliminary conclusion about this controversy.At the same time as Lai Yide's support increased, Tsai Ing -wen's support also rose simultaneously, and the gap with Zhu Lilun had shortened. Although it did not turn from backward to win, but the gap was closer from 16.6%to closer to 16.6%.The remaining 11.1%.It can be seen that the preliminary election of harmful DPP cannot stand, or the primary election is at least less than the benefits.Of course, this is not to say that in this way, the behavior of the primary election can be unscrupulous; on the contrary, the two sides must avoid further wiping the gun and getting angry.
Fifth, what is Tsai Ing -wen taking advantage of the opportunity and what is the cheap?
President Ma's criticism of Lai Yide registered for the election is a raid that takes advantage of cheap.One of the strickes is that Lai Qingde took advantage of the opportunity to be the country's crisis.The story is that Lai knows that the mainland will launch a military deterrent to Taiwan during the visit to the President of March at the beginning of this year, causing a major national security crisis.Then, on March 31st, the Communist Party of China was expected to send two CCP fighter jets to fly across the strait midline.
This story tells Lai Qingde's conspiracy very scary.But the story is too rich in imagination.First of all, if the DPP Central Party Department planned the preliminary registration registration in June or January, as long as the presidential visits were avoided, wouldn't Lai Qingde's conspiracy be completely broken?So isn't this story an indispensable part, that is, the preliminary registration date is Zhuo Rongtai and Lai Qingde in advance. If not, will the story become Cai Yingwen and Zhuo Rongtai.Want to be trapped by Lai Yue?In any case, these two stories are too busty.
Secondly, the mainland's military deterrence operation in Taiwan, in the era of Ma Ying -jeou, with the confrontation between China and the United States, the tension of the South China Sea and the official service with the mainland aircraft carriers, the strength was strengthened for one year.Will it definitely cause a political party to stop the party's primary election when the current president is pursuing re -election in the future?
Third, the aircraft flying over the mid -line is indeed very bad, but how major is the crisis of the country in Taiwan?In fact, the 331 incident is very far away from military conflict, especially the war, and even the deterrent operation that a country can take is very, very pediatric.Because there are more deterrent methods that the country can use, for example, missiles passing through Taiwan, aircraft flying over the island, missiles to Yushan, even launching small -scale military conflicts, seizing the outer island MDASH;Rare is usually mdash; of course, there are serious comprehensive and large -scale landing in#8943;#8943; therefore, if the March 31 incident is used as a collapse, what should I do when the mainland increases its efforts?Therefore, although the story is extremely scary, but the person who advocates the maintenance of the independence of Taiwan's sovereignty and understands the national security situation in Taiwan, it is inevitable that the story is too out of Mamao's mentality.
In addition, once the mainland adopts a deterrent action against Taiwan, it has the effect of consolidating the people's leadership of the president in accordance with the convention. Therefore, although the mainland's deterrent of Taiwan is not good for Taiwan, it is definitely not good for the domestic challenges of the president. This includes Lai Qingde.Most people in it must understand, so it is proposed that this kind ofThe person who says is that Lai Qingde is a super foolish, and he is dedicated to harm the country and harm himself. Also, because this statement does not seem to be on the interests of Cai Yingwen, but from the national interestsRather than the king, it is better to say that it is because of too much Mom Bao to be unclear and want to enter.
In any case, the most suitable time for the primary election is about one year before the election, so the preliminary election for the second and March is long since the convention since 2008.
6. Other explanations of taking the opportunity
By the national crisis, it is not so thrilling that the opportunity to interpret the opportunity to interpret the crisis of Tsai Ing -wen.The story is well known that the President's polls are behind Lai Qingde. If you want to catch up, it takes a considerable time, so Lai Qingde has always declared that he does not choose. On the one handOnly one person registered, the primary selection time can be arranged shorter than in the past. It is enough to shorten to only one month. When the primary selection procedure is determined, the conspirator Lai Qingde will have a raid registration that makes Cai Yingwen can't be caught.There is no way to have enough time to improve her support, and insert a knife on her chest.Due to the discussion of the Central Committee, Zhuo Rongtai also said that the time for the primary election procedure is indeed too short, and it is indeed not delayed. This is even more evidence of conspiracy.
However, this preliminary selection has been registered from March 18 to the end of April 17. Is the polls really not enough?Is it really a sharp shrinkage than in the past?
Looking back, the presidential primaries in 2007 were registered on March 5th, and the polls ended on May 28th.After a party member's voting process, the time it took could not be short; until 2008, only polls, without the voting of party members, the time was greatly shortened, and it became registered in March 21.Longer this time, but it is more than a week more.Since the time of the first month in 2012 is enough, this time it is not enough. It must be pulled into two and a half months. The so -called consultation before the polls is reluctant. In fact, the reason for this time is not enough.Because the president adheres to the current principles of priority, it is caused by procedural negotiations such as debate and polls from the beginning of 2008.
Generally, whether it is the primary election, the current election has the absolute advantage brought by the governance. For example, the United States, in the past half a century, the primary election within the presidential party, the current record has never been defeated.Under the current advantage, since no matter the time is shortened, the current person can easily pass the level, then I hope to end the primary election as soon as possible.Unexpectedly, Taiwan is now in the opposite direction.It is just that the strong current advantage is that since it has not gained positive energy for the president until now, instead let the president emphasize that she is facing the current disadvantage MDash; the burden of governing, how much will the long -term period of the long stream?
If currently, Lai Qingde's registration is in the danger of the presidential polls, so there is no legitimacy, then it is not necessary to wait for the presidential public opinion support.sex?Really strange truth.
7. Since the registration of 318 has long been previewed, how can it be a raid?
The so -called raid is the meaning of keeping secrets in the end.This is not the case now.Lai Qingde did not only say that it supported Tsai Ing -wen's re -election before 1124 last year. As for his preliminary registration, although everyone felt suddenly, the trajectory was clear.In February of this year, Lai Qingde was asked if there was no shortage of this presidential election, and whether he wanted to fight for the re -election platform.Registered two days after 316 to participate in the primaries.From this point of view, Lai Qingde's original intention of supporting Tsai Ing -wen was after the 1124 DPP defeated, because he did not hide his shaking, so the preview should be decided according to the 316 election situation.The Madou constituency with the highest voter votes, 57%from 76%to 19%, and fell to 47%to 43.3%to win only 2.7%. He was frightened, so he decided to run for the trial to turn the tide.
Because of words, the trajectory of the transformation is quite obvious, and it has also issued a preview that may be changed again and again. Therefore, it is obviously not the fact that the 318 registration description is obviously not in line with the facts.
8. Is Lai Qingde's registration in accordance with the principles of democracy and liberalism?
In the end, Lai Qingde registered for the election. In the face of public opinion support, the principles of liberalism, and the support of the legal system, there is no problem with the legitimacy.Although another source of legitimacy, charm, Lai Qingde is not particularly good, but it is not inferior to President Tsai.However, for Lai Qingde, is this enough?In addition to legitimacy, what are the more active elements of the people's enthusiasm?Now that he is currently in the stage of primary election, why did he tell the DPP supporters, and the chance of winning the election would definitely support the people?According to the current polls, wouldn't it be that although Cai and Ke, Jobi, especially the Han, were significantly behind, but Lai and them failed to get the lead. So where did Lai Qingde have to choose?Why can't I refund the election so that she is more face -to -face?In any case, explaining this is his political obligation. Otherwise, although the legitimacy is unbeaten, it may not be enough to stimulate the enthusiasm of the people's support.
