Society: Taiwan Ru independent referendum will be worse than Brexit

Source: China Times Society

If you want to find an example for finding something, Britain should be the world's first.The British implemented the parliamentary system and did not easily exercise the referendum right. Former Prime Minister Carmuron suddenly came to a Brexit referendum. I did not expect that the acceptance of Prime Minister Mey to be burnt on the Brexit plan.Intellectual.The example of the UK tells us that a referendum that is light and irresponsible to the national route is not a blessing.

The two things have a key impact: one is that the Brexit faction vigorously depicts a beautiful Brexit beauty. The other is that the referendum can be passed by simply, and the result is that 52%passed the Brexit to 48%.It turns out that there is no painless Brexit, and the referendum with so close to the number of votes will tear British society from it, and the country has since fallen into endless disputes.

The reason why the Brexit agreement is stuck is mainly because it is too beautiful, and reality is impossible.The Brexit thought that he could pick up and picked his thinness when negotiating with the EU, but the European Union was willing to make Britain like this.The Mei government and the European Union talk about Brexit basic agreement, and in the next two years, we must talk about the implementation details of various fields in the next two years.However, in the Brexit agreement, the border between Northern Ai and Ireland followed Bell Fatsthe's peace agreement and still maintained the free circulation of personnel goods, which made the hard Brexit rebound, and believed that the significance of Brexit leaked from this gap.However, Mey could not talk to the European Union for new agreements, nor could they obtain the support of Congress. For hard Brexit, soft Brexit, European or second referendum, each party was split into several pieces.Consensus, the whole society is even more noisy, and everyone is angry when everyone speaks. The only national consensus is that Mey is really bad.

Mey has mentioned several Brexit solutions, including the Norwegian model of soft Brexit, which has been rejected by Congress. No one in the world knows what is going on in the UK, including the British themselves.Mey now requires the European Union to postpone the deadline to the end of June, and the European Parliament election will be held in May. It is embarrassing whether Britain should run for elections.Due to the dim prospects, the company has run off, and the $ 50 billion breakup fee for Brexit is estimated that Brexit will shrink the British GDP 3.9%after 15 years. Brexit is a human storm for Britain.

In fact, the public opinion has shifted. The latest poll is 55%of European European and 45%of Brexit, but this is still simple majority. The referendum may choose to stay in Europe, but the Brexit that may be hit by the dream becomes a furious group.The disturbance of tear is still.To this day, perhaps the British should be cut into messy knives, and there is no agreement on Brexit.One is that no matter how you talk about it anyway, you do n’t have an agreement. The other is that since the referendum has made the decision to Brexit, we must truly assume the worst consequences in order to recognize what they have done.

The referendum made by embrace the dream of wishful thinking must have a hard taste of realistic bitter fruits in order to re -understand yourself and the environment, admit your childishness and irresponsibility, and then see if you can find a new path more mature and carefully.When Britain fell to the bottom of the mud valley, he could get a profound and bitter lesson in the process of falling into the process of climbing up.

The United Kingdom provides a good vigilance worldwide. The major national policy is put into referendum. It must be very careful and responsible. It also needs absolute majority decisions.EssenceThe Joy Island Alliance initiated an independent referendum, and it was completely incompetent in international reality, and it may cause crisis for Taiwan.Taiwan cannot participate in the United Nations because of the opposition from mainland China. The referendum of independent names will only anger the Chinese side to strengthen the suppression. It may also step on the red line and cause military attacks.If you really think that you can open a living for Taiwan, it is only dreaming; if you use the referendum as an election operation, it will be irresponsible to use the Taiwanese people as a dick.

In this regard, Meng Yuhe, a spokesman for the United States Association (AIT) in Taiwan (AIT), has clearly stated that opposing Taiwan's independent referendum is a long -term policy of the United States.Former AIT Chairman Bu Ruizhe also wrote an open letter to Guo Beihong to the General Island Alliance. As a former president Chen Shui -bian failed to discuss with the United States, he filed a referendum in order to seriously hurt the US -Taiwan relations.You should not try to change the status quo. If you think that mainland China takes non -peaceful means to Taiwan, the United States will protect Taiwan. This commitment is never absolute. When the U.S. military is in danger of life for Taiwan, the US leader will inevitably weigh whether the United States is in line with the United States.Interest, US President Trump's security commitment was suspicious.

When the whole world looks at a messy Britain, I feel that when we know so, we are also in Taiwan, and we must also be vigilant about our actions.Because Britain has nothing to find something, it is not enough to get the country, and Taiwan's irresponsible referendum may be far more costly.