The United States, like Taiwan, will have a presidential election in 2020, but the United States voting is more than 10 months slower than Taiwan.At the same time, after Trump's black swan, after being elected president in the world in 2016, despite the election in 2018, the US House of Representatives was re -governed by the Democratic Party.EssenceOn the other hand, Trump still faces a cup of custody of the US -Main high -wall budget in China and follow -up lawsuits with Russia.
Coincidentally, Taiwan President Tsai Ing -wen will also seek re -election in 2020, and she has a series of reforms that consider progress and justice in Taiwan, including the reduction of military and public education, liquidation of the Kuomintang, and a sway.The DPP defeated in the nine -in -one election in 2018, and then the votes of the sixth legislators in Tainan and New Taipei City also fell sharply. Cai even faced the Pavilion of the former Pavilion Lai Qingde.The time limit of the primary election is approaching, and the dispute between Cai Lai does not seem to have ease.
In other words, Trump and Tsai Ing -wen are facing huge pressure on re -election. Both of them cannot be recognized by middle voters in China. The voting support has become fragmented and radical.Win is just a dangerous victory.At the same time, both of them have the basic doctrine. Trump is a white person with a low -end education and salary in the central and western regions and southern regions.The doctrine is now very close to Cai.
Under the trend of President Taiwan and the United States, the Chinese card has become the only life -saving medicine that Trump and Tsai Ing -wen can effectively lift the election, especially when both parties in the United States and China do not make a substantial concession, TrumpIt is bound to incite the anti -China emotions of conservative American people to fight against mainland China, in order to replace the final victory in 2020.To crack down on mainland China, the Taiwan card has become a top priority.
In fact, since 2016, the U.S. Congress has passed a series of Acting bills that have never happened since the implementation of the Taiwan Relations Law in 1979.Even the willingness to pass the court, even if it passes, does not have legal compulsory power, but has successively promoted the Taiwan -US high -level interoperability of Taiwan and the United States in the past three years.The law is all compulsory laws.Even recently, the Senate also proposed to allow Major General Major General or Navy to enter the Taiwan Association's Taiwan Association's guarantee law. The higher the level of the military officer stationed, the higher the possibility of the U.S. military when the Taiwan Strait War end.
In the first two years when I observed Trump's last two years, at least he would deliberately sway between the green camps and the mainland.It is getting more and more obvious, and the strength is also being strengthened.However, cross -strait relations cannot get a win -win results with Trump's toughness. Trump's Taiwanese card may help President Cai's momentum, but it may not help Taiwan to get rid of the current dilemma.Look at higher and farther. A primary election of the president, see the blue -green collective anxiety
The Democratic Progressive Party's primary election, British and German disputes have failed to coordinate, seeing that the primaries must go on.The people who are concerned about the anxiety that President Tsai Ing -wen cannot be re -elected can be understood, but on the other hand, many DPP supporters are also worried that if the operation is suspended, the democratic mechanism within the party will be destroyed.
Although the President of the Democratic Progressive Party was coordinated until next Friday, the former president of the Executive Yuan Lai Qingde has stated more than once that he will go to the primaries, which will disappoint the party insiders who look forward to Cai Lai, and even worry about the collision between the two trains.
In the past few days, rumors trying to change the preliminary way have continued.Relevant persons even have various plans. Not only are there to suspend the primary election, but also other models, it depends on whether the Party Central Committee is aware of the seriousness of the problem.Such a lecture is of course greatly stressing the Party Central Committee.
However, some people are worried that Cai Xia Lai has moved out even in the results of the primary election; but some people are worried that the primary election has started. If the rules of the game are changed in the process, what is the difference between cheating?If it is because of Lai Qingde, isn't it the DPP version of the pillar change?
Different anxiety within the party, is it difficult for the DPP Chairman Zhuo Rongtai's words?You can enjoy most.At present, the Democratic Progressive Party Central Committee still adheres to neutrality, but when coordination is not to find people on both sides, the Party Central Committee is not a father -in -law. The premise of coordination is to win next year.Can the central government still hold it?It is the real test.
In fact, not only the DPP, but the Kuomintang also chose the most suitable candidate because of the primary election of the president, and it is also trapped in the integration stage of different opinions in the party.In a primary election, the collective anxiety of the two major political parties has been seen.
Author Qiu Shiyi, Associate Professor of Political Department of Donghai University in Taiwan
