Wu Sizhen
In the past five years, the Thai election, which has been extended and extended again and again, will be officially held on March 24.Western society, which has always been concerned about the movement of the Bangkok Military Government, opened its eyes wide again.One is to see what the Thai election is still in politics and the people; the second is to see what the results of the election have affected the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative.
Because they believe that the results of the election are not only a challenge to Thailand, but also a challenge to neighboring countries.The implication of this is not very good at the military government.Now the election has already gown. If there is no longer postponed change, the results will be officially released soon.As for whether it is the challenge of some Western public opinion, it is still the Thai people's own, or the Thai neighboring country has the final say, and then it will be known.
The results of the election have already been formed
This year Thailand ushered in two alternating events.One is the Coronation Coronation Ceremony held in May, which marks the official completion of the king alternately; the other is that the military government alternates to the election government, that is, the iconic completion of the election held at the end of March.At that time, whether the government's head will fall, whether it will affect the changes in regional political structure, it is the focus of the outside world.However, attentive observer will find that, in fact, this long -standing duel, its final ending was clear before it began.
Since the military government takes power in 2014, it has been claiming that its work focuses on the first to carry out national reforms, and the second is to prepare for the election to return national politics to democratic order.Reform is a concept of flow. What is the final form of the military government's national reform, and it is not easy to evaluate the outside world.But the results of the election are found.
As early as one or two years ago, the Prime Minister Ba Yu said that the authorities did not deliberately delay the election, but wanted to find the best time point. At the same time, he also brought the cabinet members on many occasions many times.EssenceThis shows that Bayu had the intention of continuing to be the prime minister in the post -military era.Coupled with the governance of the country in the past five years, the stability of the country in the country, and the absolute support of the military, this has virtually established a political influence that no one can reach.
In other words, Bayu has declared retreat from the time when he first came to power. Those who had no greedy soldiers who had no greedy mood completed the transformation of a politician who had long struggled in politics for a long time.
There is no foundation for assumptions that the heart is in harmony.First, the military government has been carefully working hard for five years, and has built its own moat on the legal system. It has excluded the new democratic liberal party that is headed by the Thai party to adhere to the modern democratic values.The folk style is soft, once the facts are in fact, no matter who comes to the stage, it recognizes support; the third is that the vested interest group will not give up to the hand of the hand. In order to avoid Western criticism, taking off the military uniform continues to hold it.Isn't it a retired general?
Look at the new democratic and liberal political parties.On the one hand, they lack a stronger candidate and influential leader in China; in the second aspect, no matter what they do, they cannot cross the military government.The representative of Princess Wuwu Lat, who moved out of the king, ran for the election.
Therefore, the result of this Thai election is that the Prime Minister before the election was elected Prime Minister after the election, and the government's cabinet ministers were shared by several democratic parties such as the citizenship party of the pro -military government, the National Harmony Party, and the Democratic Party.Multi -party joint governance pattern.After all, any political party has no independent governing strength, especially the political parties of Bayu have just been established.This no longer uses the outside world to have a guessing game that has a better chance of winning.
Sino -Thailand cooperation after the election
Thailand has its own soft cultural strength and has a certain impact on neighboring countries.Therefore, in a certain perspective, Thailand has become a strategic focus of stability and development around China.China hopes that Thailand will become a stable and prosperous Central South Peninsula central country, and become an important part of infrastructure projects for Southeast Asia and the Maritime Silk Road infrastructure project.
The rapid economic development of a country or place is nothing more than three ways: one is a large amount of investment; the other is the development of characteristic resources; the third is large -scale consumption driving.In recent years, in addition to a large number of Chinese tourists traveling to Thailand for consumption, China has continued to grow in Thailand's investment and actively participate in the construction of Thailand's industrialization 4.0.If it is planned to be completed in the eastern Economic Corridor project of Thailand in 2021, China has participated in investment cooperation and cooperation in railway, airports, seaports, and industrial zones.
Another force that affects future development is also quietly taking place.That is, compared with Chinese students who have studied in Europe and the United States before, the number of choosing to study in Thailand has increased by doubled; the number of Thai students studying in China has also increased.A large number of talent reserves are an important resource for development.
China's image in Thailand is also changing.Tiny Middot, Deputy Secretary -General of the Thai Investment Commission; Jiao Sang believes that the investment in Chinese enterprises is a strong support for the development of Thailand.According to data from the poll of the NIDA poll of the Thailand's top think tank NIDA: China's influence is already comparable to the United States, which can be trusted; the old allies in the United States attempt to interfere with the internal affairs (2014), and also proposed to set up a naval base in Phuket (It is said to be a disgusting to rescue the Rohingya refugees) and require the establishment of the Rohingya refugee camp in Thailand; most of the military and police officials believe that China is a more predictable partner.
Because of this, under the current fierce competition for the 5G standards in China and the western countries that have discredited Huawei's international background, Thailand directly ignores Western drum noise and pressure, and dares to launch the China Huawei 5G test desk in Southeast Asia.The Trade Commission hosted a Chinese reform and opening up, lsquo; RSQUO; the initiative with the China -Thailand cooperation academic seminar in Bangkok. From the perspective of others and our perspectives, it specifically conducted in -depth awareness and discussion on the implementation of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative in Thailand.
It can be seen that from the perspective of stabilizing the surrounding surroundings in China, Thailand only needs to be political stable and social stability. No matter who comes to power, it is supported.From the perspective of Thailand, no matter who comes to power, it will pursue friendly policies for China for national interests.Therefore, after the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative in Thailand, continuing to implement it may disappoint Western public opinion.
Once China -Thailand cooperation has a benchmark impact, under the premise that Myanmar takes the lead in connecting with the Belt and Road Initiative to docking with special official agencies, the Central South Peninsula may become the area where the Belt and Road Initiative cooperation practice is further developed and become the most active area for international economic activities.The Belt and Road Initiative is not only China, but also from the world's participating countries.Its core spirit is the win -win cooperation and common development.Does anyone have the opportunity to develop?
The author works at Guizhou University, China
