Source: China Times Society
Two trivial leaders walked towards the negotiating table, thinking that they could win each other as soon as they shot, in exchange for unsatisfactory achievements, plus the Nobel Prize, but unexpectedly found that the other party could not be stubborn, and the negotiations were unhappy.The plot.However, it is not bad to break the game. The powerful and recklessness of US President Trump has been criticized in the past. This time, North Korean leader Kim Jong -un is a beautiful trick.
Both of them recognized Tian Zongying and could get the other party. After all, Trump also had rich experience in commercial warfare negotiations. However, Kim Jong -un was held up and has been living in a golden cloud inlaid.The general head of state summit is completed by the negotiations of the lower -level staff, so that the boss can make a handshake and sign it. The preliminary consultation between the United States and North Korea is incomplete.Essence
The problem is the sincerity of North Korea's abandoned nuclear sincerity.Kim Jong -un thought that he would be able to destroy the entire Ningbian facility, and he could get economic sanctions from the United Nations after 2016. When Trump proposed to the problem of another secret concentrated uranium facilities, Kim Jong -un, who was not prepared, refused to respond.Kim Jong -un wanted to trade a transaction and a transaction, first use a facility to replace the economic sanctions. After solving the urgent urgency, he changed other things to the peace agreement and establishment of diplomatic relations in the United States.However, from the perspective of the United States, the sanctions plan in 2016 is the most effective way to suppress it. Once it is lifted, North Korea will continue to develop nuclear weapons and missiles, hidden in underground facilities, and the United States cannot catch it at all.
Trump's summit was really internal and external. Some lawyer Kon wrote that he had criticized Trump in Congress. The conditions proposed by Kim Jong -un were disappointed. Presumably, Trump was extremely anxious at the time.Tesco was scolded for a while, thinking that he would be deceived stupid.It is worthy of recognition that as a major thing like the head of state, no head of state has always gone away, Trump said that he would leave.This is actually good, because there is no agreement than a bad agreement.Trump has created another card for the United States. In the future, Kim Jong -un wants to talk to Trump in the future. He must worry about not talking well. Trump is not afraid to give him ugly on the spot.Kim Jong -un was beaten this time, and it should be the biggest setbacks and humiliation since birth, which can also let him feel the international reality a little.
It is difficult to believe that North Korea is sincere and sincere.So far, in addition to Iran and Libya at the planned stage, South Africa, which has only a few initial nuclear bombs, has achieved waste nuclear. There are no other countries. After exhausting resources to create nuclear weapons, they are also willing to give up.After India and Pakistan made nuclear bombs, they held with the international community and signed a civil nuclear -energy cooperation agreement in the United States and India, indirectly acknowledging that India's nuclear military status.North Korea's nuclear weapon is the ultimate weapon of survival, the greatest protection of the United States to send troops, and an important bargaining chip to improve North Korea's international weight.Kim Jong -un wanted to use waste nuclear as a carrot, hanging the United States step by step, and obtaining the time, resources and technology of developing economy.Essence
This kind of Ruyi abacus is not that the United States wants. The United States wants to borrow and solve carrots and sanctions as rods. Soft and hard and concessions North Korea abolish nuclear facilities, freeze tuberculosis and missile production.Consensus on the roadmap.Although Trump hopes to get a Korean transcript before the election, time in the United States, the pressure of sanctions will make North Korea more and more painful. He can take good time and wait for Kim Jong -un to propose more sincere conditions.
Japan was happy to see the United States holding his position, and South Korean President Moon Jae -in, who was reconciled, was probably disappointed.Kim Jong -un was beaten by the United States, and he wanted to come back to find China's support. China is also willing to use it to obtain the right to speak, and obtain more bargaining chips in the Sino -US trade war.Trump has always liked bilateral negotiations and does not like multi -sides, because one -to -one to one -to -one win -win is big, and now the trade war is ongoing. He may prevent China from playing Kim Jong -un.
Most of the future development depends on the subsequent actions of Special and Gold.South Korean President Moon Jae -in -Yin can be able to wear a needle to lead to a phased agreement with partial non -denuclearization in exchange for partial termination of sanctions. The Time Three Meeting is even more expected, but Kim Jong -un should understand that Trump is not so confused. The next talks will beEarly communication was delayed.