On February 27, U.S. President Trump and North Korea's highest leader Kim Jong -un will have dinner in Hanoi, Vietnam.(Reuters file photo)
The second special gold club, which was originally highly hoped, ended in advance when the lunch meeting and joint signing ceremony were temporarily canceled and the joint signing ceremony were not completed, which was surprising.
Until the change of the agenda on February 28, both the United States and North Korea conveyed positive signals with a certain tone.The White House statement also said that the United States and North Korea discussed many ways to achieve non -verification and economic drive in negotiations.In the end, no agreement was reached.
Trump said at the press conference afterwards that at the end of the meeting that North Korea, North Korea basically wanted to completely dismiss the sanctions, but the United States could not accept it. Instead, he hoped that Kim Jong -un will do more.
Trump also pointed out that the two -day meeting of the United States and North Korea in Hanoi was very effective. He agreed to wait, but he did not promise the next special gold.The North Korean diplomatic mission chose to hold a press conference at the hotel where Kim Jong -un, Hanoi, at 00:00 on March 1, and put forward different opinions.
According to the North Korean Foreign Minister Li Yonghao, North Korea proposed to the United States that if the United States agrees to lift the projects involved in North Korea's people's livelihood and people's lives in the five United Nations sanctions in 2016 and 2017, North Korea will witness the testimony of the United States and technicians on both sides.Under joint operations, permanent and completely abandoning Ningbian nuclear facilities, and in writing, they promise to stop nuclear tests and long -range rocket tests forever.However, the United States requires North Korea to add a measure.
North Korea believes that the move shows that the United States is not ready to accept its plan.In a comment, the North Korean Society mentioned that North Korea and the United States promised both sides to continue to talk.However, Li Yonghao emphasized at a press conference that, in view of the current mutual trust, North Korea will never change its current position.
According to the North Korean statement, according to the United States, the reconnaissance learned that North Korea had another large -scale secret nuclear facilities and proposed to include it into a new agreement.
On the surface, the two statements have very different positions. The United States and North Korea accused each other of not being prepared. One party said that the other party asked for a comprehensive relief of sanctions, but only intended to perform limited obligations and completely abandoned Ningbian nuclear facilities.However, even the sanctions involved in the economic and people's lives of people's livelihood and people's lives were refused.
As far as we know, Trump who took the lead in leaving the venue was the first to leave the venue.According to him, he had to leave in order not to reach a bad agreement.
Trump, who is about to face the battle for re -election and has some scorched domestic affairs, is obviously eager to make progress on the North Korean nuclear issue.He was restrained.Therefore, Trump was both anxious and cautious. After seeing a satisfactory agreement that could not reach a satisfactory agreement, he immediately withdrew from the negotiation.
The second highest level negotiations in the United States and North Korea did not improvise; on the contrary, in order to successfully hold the negotiations, the two sides were carefully and fully prepared at all levels.
Getting important results at the Second Special Championship was not only the popularity of the Trump administration, but also promoted it from beginning to end, and it was logical, so that Trump confessed that the negotiations determined that there was a good result of good results.Essence
What causes the second special gold to disappear?
In terms of its significance, the second special gold will be said to be a watershed in the new round of nuclear no -nuclearization process in the Korean Peninsula, indicating that since the implementation of the extreme pressure on the United States, Kim Jong -un was forced to transfer diplomatic transfer and returned to the negotiating table.The negotiation situation of the United States and North Korea has a certain degree of reversal.In the process, North Korea took the first time against the United States' strong action against the United States, accusing the other party of not being prepared.
In more than a year of diplomatic running, most of the time, North Korea is in obvious disadvantages, and the Trump administration occupies the upper hand, is a dealer, and a cardholder.Although this pattern has not changed fundamentally, North Korea is obviously trying to re -control the initiative through new talks and advance it according to the agenda that it has set.
It should be said that the differences between the US and North Korea's second special gold club are not new.
The United States requires that North Korea has adopted trusted comprehensive nuclearization.In fact, Trump has intended to make a certain concession, that is, North Korea only needs to meet the completely abandoned Ningbian nuclear facilities and another secret nuclear facilities, and the relevant conditions.Economic development prospects.The U.S. plan is based on the judgment made by the first Special Championship.
North Korea's appetite is a bit big. The five United Nations sanctions it hopes to terminate in 2016 and 2017 was the introduction of the United States and North Korea ’s struggle and developed huge lethality.It was these important resolutions that forced North Korea to the corner and had to return to the negotiating table.Trump's wording basically hopes to fully terminate sanctions, and the targets must be here.
At the same time that the United States did this, North Korea has given up only the long -discarded Ningbian nuclear facilities, and the so -called written commitment to stop nuclear tests and long -range rocket tests forever.Not only has similar measures in the history of the Korean Peninsula, but also the agreement to tear the black and black types of white paper is also commonplace.
Although there is no trusted data to support the reasons behind North Korea's position changes, it is clear that this is still a phase of staged and synchronized solutions, which is exactly the same as North Korea's previous ideas and has not changed.Without nuclearization measures, then relax the ideas of sanctions, there is no room for intersection.
It can be said that once the United States agrees, plus other prescriptions, such as South Korea's follow -up, it is equivalent to comprehensively cracking down on the US limit pressure network and making it a loss.
The new round of nuclear non -chemical process is showing the danger of wearing new shoes and taking the old road. There is a essential difference between the vision of the negotiation results and the bottom line of each other.Historical experience has proved that it is also the root cause of the past many nuclearization negotiations, and the end of the peaceful negotiations ended endlessly.
In the case of comprehensive sanctions that have not been terminated and Trump's political needs are still strong, negotiations must be continued in the future.
What the North Korean regime must understand is that if it seeks to obtain space for survival and development through stages and simultaneous walking, at the same time, the goal of indefinitely delay and eventually actual nuclear support will deviate from the maximum number of equivalent of the interests of the interests of the country, andIt is bound to run counter to the U.S. target, which cannot ease the increasingly tense situation, increase the pain of the people of the country, will also exacerbate the risk of nuclear leakage and nuclear diffusion in the region, exacerbate regional uncertainty, and become a accelerator for geopolitical competition in various countries.The source of war.
The United States should also realize that the Korean Peninsula, as an unfinished geographical strategy area, has determined that its role is very plastic and means that it is related to the national interests of the region.Without the geography, history, and reality of the Korean Peninsula, there is no way out to seek exclusive unilateral solutions.The United States must integrate its own strategy into the needs of countries in the region, and adopt a solution mechanism with bilateral and multi -sides as a effective supplementation mechanism to achieve positive results.
(The author is a Chinese current affairs commentator)
