Author: Hu Youwei
The Kuomintang finally decided to decide the presidential candidate with 70 % of the polls and 30 % of the party members.However, the noisy primary election method has settled, but it has not solved the problem that everyone cares about is more concerned: Can such a primary selection method be selected for the presidential candidate who stabilized the voucher?
From the results of various polls, the Democratic Progressive Party is not strong whether it is played by Tsai Ing -wen or Lai Qingde, and it is likely that they are likely to accompany the last seat in blue, green or multi -party battles.Therefore, in what way the Kuomintang should have, it is not a key factor to produce candidates who can get the top spot.
The remaining key factor is, of course, Ke Wenzhe chose not to choose the president.At present, from the general reflection of polls, if Ke runs, it will not only be better than Tsai Ing -wen or Lai Qingde, but also surpass all politicians who may register for election in the Blue Camp outside South Korea.In this situation, Han is in the embarrassing situation of people in the rivers and lakes.Especially when the Kuomintang must win this time, it has become the highest consensus of the Blue Camp, or at least the strategic goal of the Kuomintang Central Committee to decide the presidential candidate with the whole people to determine the presidential election although the Kuomintang Central Committee has rejected it.The polls have always ranked first, and have put great pressure on the Party Central Committee and Han.
It stands to reason that Han Gang was elected Mayor of Kaohsiung, and the presidential election had nothing to do with him. He only focused on the Kaohsiung city, and it was not the other thing.However, the prestige of his first popular king in Taiwan is not in front of him, and after all, he will inevitably be unable to do it. What is the life?The arch Korean waves.Faced with this pressure, if Han insisted not to choose the president, and finally let the Kuomintang fail to win the presidential election, Han would be inexplicable to become the biggest sinner of the Kuomintang. Can he afford this thousand?
But looking at the deepest layer, even though the sound of the arch Korean is loud, it is not just that Han nods to solve all problems.
First of all, although South Korean Yu has the highest support for polls, other politicians who want to choose President also have a certain confidence.Unless they voluntarily concession, they all expressed their support for South Korea, and the Party Central Committee has no reason to ask them not to register to participate in the party primary election.Therefore, if Han will not register for the president, other participants are unwilling to return. If the Party Central Committee recruits Han after the primary election is completed, the party will have a dispute again.Taking into account, I have played a election campaign with hidden concerns.
Secondly, although the voice of Gong Han is loud, how does the Kaohsiung response is another important factor that must be considered.After all, Han can be elected as the mayor of Kaohsiung through the aid of most Kaohsiung citizens. Now, if he is the mayor, he will choose the president soon, and it will inevitably owe citizens' love.When Han was elected as the mayor, the voter rate was 50 %. Earlier, two polls showed that among the citizens of Kaohsiung, the voting rate of the mayor of Han who was elected by Han was in favor of the president of Han.Therefore, the pro -green citizens are not counted. At least most of the blue camps and intermediate positions support the president of the Korean election, and Han can rest assured that the presidential election campaign.
Therefore, on the surface, the truth is very simple. Whoever is most confident can win, and nominated who.However, for the Kuomintang, the so -called Guardian overall situation is all the winning situation. In addition to those who nominate the nominations in positive, they must also prevent people from being unexpected, negatively inaction or even secretly tumbling their hind legs.Therefore, the road goes down again. One is that Han himself must clearly expressed his statement. If he is willing to save the party and save the country, he must register, compete with other participants, and persuade the citizens of Kaohsiung to make a backing.Otherwise, you must also clearly say that you do n’t choose, but you will fully assist the presidential candidate nominated by the party.But before the Party Central Committee opened in May, Han did not have to rush to express his position.On the one hand, see if his high support can continue. Second, the Blue Camp people who want to choose the president will think about it. Under the current situation of the Korean Liu, what should he go from the party, it is most suitable for the party to the party.
(The author is a professor at the Department of Journalism of China Cultural University)
