Author: Lu Xinchang (Author is an associate professor of the Department of International Enterprise Studies of National Taiwan University)
The industrial tariff discussion constructed by the Trump's ruling team with the National Security Terms 232 not only refuses to reject the appeal and evaluation of the WTO (WTO).The difference in differential disposal of the degree does not violate the equality obligations under the principle of the most beneficial country treatment.
Through the intimidation of imported imports in steel, aluminum products, and automobiles, the national security tariff instantly becomes the best negotiating chip, so that North American allies and South Korea who sign the free trade agreement agreeYears; and forced major minerals such as Brazil and the Soviet Union, actively limited the degree of processing and exports of steel and aluminum ingots, and abandoning the high -end market and value -added profit in the United States.
At present, the Sino -US trade negotiations are about to move back to the United States to carry out the third round of fighting and hand -to -hand combat; and the import of cars in the European Union, China and Japan will also be expressed by the White House this weekend.The purpose is to distribute domestic sensitive issues with the interests of specific industries, all of which are passed on to the absorption of trade opponents, or the guidance of the flow of industrial interests.
In the past six months, the EU Chairman Ronger announced several times to adopt revenge, and if necessary, it can only fight against madness; the Japanese government is committed to improving its relationship with Beijing, and investing in car exports and overseas.Replacement market and future life.As for the President of China ... In public speech, he stated its bottom line to adhere to the development of national sovereignty.
Although the national security tariffs will bring a tax of $ 73 billion in the United States; the Ministry of Commerce has also completed the report and submitted it to the White House as scheduled.However, for investigations on the automotive industry, Trump still has 90 days of permissions to make overall considerations.After all, it is rare to consistent with automotive -related industrial organizations and major automobile manufacturers, and believes that 25%of the tariffs of automobiles and components of lessons will only cause harm to the American automotive industry.
According to the evaluation, the number of unemployed related to the car is more than 700,000.What's more, for Trump, Trump also claims that if the negotiations have a progress in the effective date of tariffs from up to $ 200 billion in mainland China, he will consider delaying two months to complete the difficulties of China and the United States.
Trump's face changes, as he used to be impermanent; but government decentralization and professional autonomy under the global trade structure have already entered a high risk period of splitting and dismantling.
Zhang Jingwei: Trump's soft and excitement contradictions of the US house
On the evening of the 14th local time of the US Congress and the House of Representatives, the government budget was voted to prevent the government from closing again.The White House said earlier on the same day that US President Trump will sign the budget and announce that it has entered an emergency.Trump seems to compromise MDASH; mdash; signed a budget, but released a tough signal to Congress.Trump signed a budget to avoid the government's closure and have the effect of lift public opinion.
Trump set up a new record for the federal government for 35 days in order to fight against the Democratic House for more than $ 5.7 billion, and set up a federal government for 35 days.Based on the direct losses of $ 200 million per day reported by the US media, the loss caused by the federal government's closure far exceeds the construction of the wall.This does not talk about costs and regardless of the consequences, which has caused the American people to be extremely disgusted. Public opinion investigations in the past month have generally reflected that Americans' responsibility for this government's suspension is basically the MDASH; mdash; Trump will negative seven sevenThe Democratic Party takes three -point responsibility.
As the head of state, the direct and indirect effects brought by the federal government will point to the power center of the White House.The low support rate brought by this will become a tough injury to Trump's re -election.
Trump must compromise whether the public is prioritized or Trump's priority.On the 25th of last month, Trump signed a bill for the government to run for 21 days.In addition to improving public opinion support, it is more important to publish a state -of -the -art advice.On February 5, he was compensated as expected.
Guoqing Consulting is important to Trump. He wants to pass on the United States and the world through the Guoqing Counseling to the United States and the world's priority results, including his achievements that continue to retreat to the United States' strategic burden.It seems that Trump shows a never -admitted attitude, not only the Democratic Party's speaker Pelosi, but also adhered to his position.Trump's obsession is that if he cannot insist on building a wall plan, he will be a torch MDash; mdash; as Trump said, this is a shame.
Therefore, Trump urged the two parties to unite in the National Real Estate Counseling, and also emphasized that it would not compromise in the core policy.The wall -building plan will continue, and the cost of $ 5.7 billion in wall construction will also fight against the Democratic Party.The federal government only temporarily opens the door for 21 days MDASH; MDASH; in addition to taking care of the millions of people (Trump), which has been severely damaged due to the government stopping, is a state -owned counseling in Congress, and it is also a 21 -day pressure period for the Democratic Party.This is in line with Trump's art of negotiating on extreme pressure on the opponent.
Therefore, the Democratic Perlis obviously has not really learned about Trump's compromise.Now, the State of the People's Republic of China has been published, and Trump has also signed a budget, and Trump's low public opinion support has also been improved.At this time, Trump's anti -Ge hit, announcing that the country has entered an emergency, not only has the Democratic Party caught off guard, but also fulfill his promise of building a wall and improve public opinion support. The key is to solve the problem of wall building costs.It can be announced that the country's entering state can be deployed. Compared with US $ 750 billion in military expenditures, the cost of $ 5.7 billion can be described as nine cows and one hairy.Because of the emergency state, Trump can receive $ 8 billion-20 billion in funds.
Regardless of Trump's actuarial, Trump's willful will not only lead to increased cracks between the courtyard and the two parties, but also many people in the party oppose that this may violate the Constitution.What's even more ironic is that the emergency state was originally to limit the power of the president, but now it has become Trump's abuse of presidential power.The Speaker of the House of Representatives Pelosi made it clear on the 14th that there is no emergency in the southern border of the United States.Therefore, Trump's hard and hard political games are worthy of attention.
