Author: Shi Qiping (the author is a senior commentator of Hong Kong Phoenix Satellite TV)
With less than 3 weeks of the Sino -US trade war on March 1, US President Trump said last week that he would not meet with the Chinese President ...Some American media quoted the US government as saying that ... it is possible to meet Trump in Haihu Manor in the United States in mid -March.
Trump did not intend to meet with ... to meet on March 1 because the negotiations between the two parties may not have results. This is different from the early expectations of Chinese side. Of course, the United States has the intention to put pressure on China.It is understood that the core controversial part of the currently negotiating game of both parties is the so -called structural reform of the United States.
The United States strongly requires structural reforms that China must carry out. The main contents are: 1. Rental tax reform.Change the indirect tax to direct tax, significantly reduce the tax rate, so that Chinese and foreign companies will get a fair competition opportunity.2. State -owned enterprises abandon monopoly, open markets such as electricity, telecommunications, oil, etc., and promote fair market competition.3. Reduce government intervention in the market and cancel various inspections, approval, and charges.Fourth, greatly changes labor policies, increase wages, and allow trade unions to exist and operate independently.5. Establish and improve the intellectual property protection system, and do not force foreign technology transfer.6. Ensure freedom of press and freedom of the Internet.7. Protecting private property rights and protecting private entrepreneurs must not deprive them of private property and restrict personal freedom.8. Cancel down subsidies for state -owned enterprises and export enterprises.
Since 1979, the reform and opening up of mainland China has been 40 years since 1979. In the final analysis, the entire reform is to transform the previous 100%of the public system into a market system. This transformation is understood from the perspective of economic theory.The power and property rights of control are released as much as possible to the market, and the market is divided into the role of the market with the government.
In the 40 years of reform and opening up, although the productivity has been released in large quantities, it is reflected in many beautiful economic indicators, but there are many economic, social, and political issues accompanied by the emergence of the major economic, social, and political issues.It is related to the division of the government.Deng Xiaoping said that China's reform and opening up is to cross the river with stones, and one step is to be a reasonable positioning of the market and government functions.
Look at the main content of structural reforms listed by the US government. The first, third, sixth, and seven are related to how to build a market environment that is fully competitive and fair competition;Related; as for the second and eighth, the part of the state -owned enterprise involves ideological and the government's power, it is the most difficult, but it is also a level that must be transformed into a real market economy.In general, the main content of these structural reforms is the core part of China's reform and opening up that has not yet been broken and extremely difficult to break through, but it must break through.
Of course, it can be seen that the United States put forward such a requirement that the starting point is to safeguard and fight for the largest interests of the United States, and it is by no means focusing on China's reform and opening up.Paradoxically, the United States' pressure on China for its own interests is likely to become a force to force China's reform. This situation is quite similar to that about 20 years ago China joined the WTO (WTO) negotiations.The promise made by the WTO was indeed a great challenge to China at that time. Afterwards, all the pressure eventually became a thrust that forced China to further reform.
China's reform and opening up touched the river to cross the river. In the last journey, it seems that it really depends on the United States.
Experts: The status of the trade war will rise no matter what the way to end Asia
The two -day U.S. -Central high -level trade negotiations were launched in Beijing on the 14th. The market optimistic that the two countries may be able to reach an agreement soon to end the trade war, but experts believe that no matter what the two countries end the war, follow the war. LaterThe global order of the trade war will become a real multi -pole world, and Asia's dominant position will only rise.
The Chief Economic Critics of Fario Magazine, Yuwa Hedrick-Wong, wrote on the 14th that the size of Asian GDP will surpass the total of the United States and Europe in 10 years.Order and create new wealth in Asia.According to IMF data, since the global financial crisis in 2008, the GDP of emerging Asia has grown 188%, and the United States and the European Union have grown only 19%and 13%, respectively.
The article pointed out that no matter what actions of the US government's next, the serious differences between the country's society and the degree of polarization will continue until the end of the trade war.Therefore, the United States' leadership in the global order of the post -trade war will not disappear, but it will be severely weakened, and Europe will increasingly care about the internal affairs of the mainland.Together, there is almost no space to pay attention to the issue of global leadership.
The article finally stated that despite the lack of free trade agreements in the region, Asia is still one of the highest economic integration in Europe worldwide.In addition, even if there are geopolitical issues, Asian companies can still find ways to cross -border trade, investment and cooperation.
