Ming Pao News Agency

On Tuesday, US time is the vote on the mid -term election. Whether the Republican Party can keep the control of the two hospitals has attracted much attention.In the past week, President Trump successively made a succession. While cooling the stock market for the Sino -US trade war, he played against immigration cards. It was still waiting to be seen whether the strategy was successful or not.If the Democratic Party seizes the control of the House of Representatives, it is possible to use storms such as Russia and start the impeachment presidential procedure, and Trump will inevitably be constrained.

In this mid -term election, the Democratic Party focuses on anti -Trump, but in terms of many policy issues, it has not challenged the Republican and Trump.However, curbing China's rise is the consensus between the two parties. No matter how the two parties have prolonged their seats in the two hospitals, Trump's foreign policy believes that it will not have much impact.

Trump sets up the issue of the Democratic Party.

This midterm election has become a trusted referendum to Trump to a certain extent.Polls show that the Democratic Party leads, but the 2016 election explained that the results of the polls cannot be fulfilled.Due to the controversy of Trump's administration, the voting rate of this US midterm election may break the record of only 30 to 40%in the first two sessions. In July, the Democratic Party ’s primaries' voting rate increased by 84%compared with the same period in 2014.

However, the Democratic Party's demands in the election campaign, in addition to social and political issues such as medical insurance, Tong Russia, and in response to the issues such as immigration provided by Trump, they seemed a little proof.The dilemma of the Democratic Party is to a large extent because of the division of public opinion. When Trump claims to be a nationalist, the opponent is classified as a globalist. When accusing them that they don't care so much about our country, the Democratic Party is afraidAs a globalist.

In fact, during President Obama, the United States, the United States expelled more than 2 million illegal immigrants, more than the previous president.In 2016, the US presidential election has witnessed anti -globalization emotions permeating the United States. Whether it is the Republican Trump or the Democratic Party's Bernie Sanders, they have stated their opposition to the Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) during the campaign. EvenHillary, who has a strong elite color, also expressed his reservation.It can be seen that Trump's accusation of the Democratic Party is not a fact, but it is just to cater to his voters.

American voters often point out that the two parties are half a catty, and everyone is the same.This point is the embarrassment of Democrats in the midterm elections: it is not willing to do globalist scapegoats, but also a set of alternatives that are truly different from Trump.

Progressive characters such as former presidential candidate Sanders and the 28-year-old House candidate, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, which are prefabricated this year.Freshly, it is difficult to threaten Trump in the presidential election two years later.

It is worth noting that during the mid -term election campaign, the Democratic Party has not criticized Trump's trade protectionist policy.Last week Trump's attitude towards the Sino -US trade war turned sharply, more due to the pressure of the economic situation at home and abroad.Last month, the U.S. stock bonds were frustrated and the renminbi approached 7, coupled with the blocked Brexit negotiations, the Italian budget crisis, and the end of the Merkel era in Germany, etc., all have become a new detonation point for global economic risks in the next year.

Trump regards the performance and unemployment rate of the stock market as an indicator of governing the country. The trend of the US economy and the fluctuation of the stock market are more directly under pressure on the White House policy.

The sharp fluctuation of the US financial market highlights investors' anxiety. On the one hand, it is related to the fundamental factors such as the Fed's interest rate hikes and the high valuation of US stocks. On the other hand, it is also affected by uncertainty in the trade war.According to statistics, at present, 80 % of toys in the United States, more than 50 % of shoes, and textile products are from China. If the United States really increases taxes on all Chinese goods, it will harm consumers' interests.

The rise of inflation has caused the Fed to continue to raise interest rates, which was unwilling to see it.With the disappearance of the tax reform effect next year, the negative impact of the trade war will appear, and the US economy will bear considerable pressure.

Democratic Party if controls the House of Representatives Trump or the crisis of impeachment

After the midterm elections, seeking re -election will become the main task of Trump, and avoiding the decline in the economy is essential for him.The trade war has a adverse effect on the China and the United States economy. In the case where the two parties need to be needed, this month's G20 Summit ’s Xi Special Conference has become a windshield for the cooling of the trade war and avoiding full -time cards in China and the United States.War, reaching settlement, but at least delaying its further upgrade, reaching a suspension agreement, and restarting negotiations are all possible.

Of course, the easing of the trade war does not mean that the China -US wrestling comes to an end, and curbing China's rise has always been the consensus of the American political circles.

If the Democratic Party seizes the control of the House of Representatives, the Democratic Party may use the storms such as Russia in the next two years to launch the impeachment presidential procedure in Congress.According to US law, the impeachment case must be passed by the House of Representatives with a simple majority. If more than two -thirds of the Senate passes the impeachment, the president will step down.The Democratic Party can obtain two -thirds of advantages in the Senate, and the opportunity is minimal, but if you can take over half of the seats, you will have the opportunity to pass the impeachment motion in the House.

Trump is facing impeachment, and there may be two development directions. One is to be busy dealing with Congress and temporarily put complex internal affairs and foreign issues. The other is to adopt the route, tough outside, and shift your sight.Fire missiles like Sudan terrorists.The results of this midterm election will have a matter of time on how to impact Trump's administration in the next two years and pay close attention to it. Economic Daily: There are three difficulties in the US -China trade consultation

Although US President Trump expressed his high willingness to resolve the US -China trade war and caused a warm response to the financial market, the road to negotiation in the future will encounter many obstacles, including Trump himself.

First of all, Trump's trading team has appeared internally.The main faction headed by Treasury Minister Mi Nuqin believes that the primary goal should be based on the reduction of the trade deficit, and the owner promotes the trade agreement at the G20 summit; howeverThe goal of strategic and suppressing China's rise, so it is against the restoration of negotiations at this stage.

Secondly, although Trump showed a reconciliation attitude towards China, there are still many unclear things.China is willing to reach an agreement with the United States on narrowing the trade deficit, but resist other requirements of the United States, including ending subsidies for strategic industries, ending forced technology transfer, and reducing the monopoly capabilities of state -owned enterprises.

Another obstacle is Trump's style; he often agrees with an agreement in principle, but then regrets it.At most, the trade agreement he reached so far has only improved the existing terms; the concessions he made have caused a rebound between the two parties.